The IMF Country Reports Series covers economic and financial developments and trends in member countries. Each report, prepared by a staff team after discussions with officials of the country, is published at the option of the member.
This Selected Issues paper analyzes the medium-term macroeconomic outlook for India. The paper highlights that in the strong adjustment scenario, the joint effect of strong fiscal consolidation and ambitious structural reforms would bring the Indian economy onto a sustainable high growth path, reaching 7 percent around the turn of the century. Although there could be some initial dip in growth, owing to the contractionary effects of fiscal retrenchment, this should be temporary as a strong surge in investment, together with productivity improvements related to structural reforms, should drive an acceleration in growth performance.