A technical assistance mission was conducted during October 2023 by the IMF’s Regional Technical Assistance Center for Southern Africa (AFS), to support the Zimbabwe National Statistics Agency (ZIMSTAT) in the production of national accounts statistics for macroeconomic policy making. The mission reviewed the recently produced estimates of annual gross domestic product (GDP) by the production approach for the year 2022. ZIMSTAT had made considerable progress in cleaning the value added tax (VAT) turnover data. Methodological improvements had been introduced to the estimates. The mission discussed plans for the rebasing of GDP. The mission also reviewed the new quarterly estimates covering the period 2019 quarter 1 to 2023 quarter 2.
The mission assisted the staff of the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe (RBZ) to compile financial soundness indicators (FSIs) in line with the IMF’s 2019 FSIs Compilation Guide, and introduced a framework for incorporating new FSIs for insurance corporations.
International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
As a follow-up to the 2019 FSSR, a remote TA mission supported the RBZ on updating regulations to the Basel III capital framework. The mission reviewed Zimbabwe’s capital framework (laws, guidelines, and templates of prudential returns), identified areas to update capital requirements, discussed these areas with the management of the RBZ, and provided recommendations for drafting amendments in line with the Basel II/III framework approaches assessed as the most suitable to the Zimbabwean financial market characteristics.
Paula Cristina Seixas de Oliveira and João Luis Resende
The Financial Sector Stability Review (FSSR), which was conducted in November 2018, identified areas requiring improvement and technical assistance in Zimbabwe’s regulatory and supervisory frameworks, including the need to strengthen the capital framework for the banking sector. With the support of the IMF, the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe (RBZ) is planning to implement Basel III capital standards, considering Zimbabwe’s specific circumstances and applying proportionality. The mission reviewed Zimbabwe’s capital framework, which includes laws and regulations, identified areas for updating capital requirements, and discussed them with the RBZ management. The mission also made recommendations for drafting amendments that align primarily with the Basel III capital framework, particularly focusing on standardized approaches.
International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
At the request of the Reserve Bank of Zimbabwe (RBZ), the Monetary and Capital Markets (MCM) Department conducted a virtual mission from May 3 to June 10, 2022 to assist the RBZ on strengthening consolidated supervision framework. The main focus was to support the RBZ in updating the RBZ consolidated supervision framework, enhancing prudential reporting on a consolidated basis, strengthening the assessment of banking group’s risks, and intensifying cross-border and interagency cooperation.
Zimbabwe experienced severe exogenous shocks (cyclone Idai, protracted drought, and the COVID-19 pandemic) during 2019-20, which along with policy missteps in 2019, led to a deep recession and high inflation. Real GDP contracted cumulatively by 11.7 percent during 2019-20 and inflation reached 837 percent (y/y) by July 2020. Reflecting good rainfall and relaxation of containment measures, real GDP rose by 6.3 percent in 2021. A tighter policy stance since mid-2020 (relative to 2019) has contributed to reducing inflation to 60.7 percent (y/y) at end-2021. However, high double-digit inflation and wide parallel foreign exchange (FX) market premia persist. The economic downturn and high inflation increased the financial system vulnerabilities. Extreme poverty has risen and about a third of the population is at risk of food insecurity. The international community seeks improvements in domestic political conditions and economic policies to initiate reengagement with Zimbabwe. The authorities have started token payments to external creditors in a bid to revive international reengagement.
International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
As a follow-up to the 2019 FSSR, a remote TA mission supported the RBZ with the implementation of Basel III liquidity standards. The mission reviewed the RBZ drafts of the LCR and NSFR frameworks, discussed identified material gaps with the BSD management and relevant supervisors, and provided many recommendations on enhancing the drafts of liquidity regulations, monitoring tools, reporting templates, and disclosure. Further actions for implementing Basel III liquidity standards were agreed with the RBZ.
International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
The RBZ is in the process of recommencing on-site examinations, but due to COVID-19 operational restrictions, these will need to be undertaken remotely. The RBZ has developed a draft remote examination framework document to guide this work and requested AFS assistance to review the framework, and also provide information on how other supervisors are undertaking examinations remotely. The mission provided training on international practice of remote examinations, which was presented by supervisors from the Bank of Ghana (BOG), Bank of Thailand (BOT) and the De Nederlandsche Bank (DNB) and reviewed the draft remote examination framework document. The training covered adjustments to examination framework and operational issues and key points of consideration when undertaking examinations remotely. The mission also reviewed the RBZ consolidated examination manual, to provide feedback to the RBZ on the feasibility of undertaking supervisory examinations remotely, as described in the manual and provide points for consideration for undertaking such examination remotely.