Narrow Your Choices

Refine By Topic

Refine By Series

Refine By Language

Refine By Date

—

Refine By IMF Taxonomy

Refine By JEL Taxonomy

Refine by LOC Taxonomy

Refine By THEMA Taxonomy

  • Print
  • Save

Middle East and Central Asia > Yemen, Republic of

You are looking at 1 - 10 of 14 items for :

  • Type: Journal Issue x
  • Petroleum industry and trade x
Clear All Modify Search
Cover IMF Working Papers
Assessing Oil and Non-Oil GDP Growth from Space: An Application to Yemen 2012-17
Majdi Debbich
This paper uses an untapped source of satellite-recorded nightlights and gas flaring data to characterize the contraction of economic activity in Yemen throughout the ongoing conflict that erupted in 2015. Using estimated nightlights elasticities on a sample of 72 countries for real GDP and 28 countries for oil GDP over 6 years, I derive oil and non-oil GDP growth for Yemen. I show that real GDP contracted by a cumulative 24 percent over 2015-17 against 50 percent according to official figures. I also find that the impact of the conflict has been geographically uneven with economic activity contracting more in some governorates than in others.
Keywords:
WP; real GDP; radiant heat; conflict; economic growth; nighttime lights; nightlights data; nightlights intensity; producing governorate; oil production data; data remains; growth in Yemen; VIIRS data; satellite data; real GDP equation; Oil; Oil production; Natural gas sector; Economic recession; Oil sector; Sub-Saharan Africa
Cover Policy Papers
Economic Diversification in Oil-Exporting Arab Countries
International Monetary Fund
countries face similar challenges to create jobs and foster more inclusive growth. The current environment of likely durable low oil prices has exacerbated these challenges. The non-oil private sector remains relatively small and, consequently, has been only a limited source of growth and employment. Because oil is an exhaustible resource, new sectors need to be developed so they can take over as the oil and gas industry dwindles. Over-reliance on oil also exacerbates macroeconomic volatility. Greater economic diversification would unlock job-creating growth, increase resilience to oil price volatility and improve prospects for future generations. Macro-economic stability and supportive regulatory and institutional frameworks are key prerequisites for economic diversification...
Keywords:
PP; exporting; economy; GDP; diversification; economic diversification; labor market; public spending; IMF staff estimate; exchange rate; job creation; oil price; Oil prices; Oil; gas and mining taxes; Public sector; Global
Cover Departmental Papers
Avoiding the New Mediocre: Raising Long-Term Growth in the Middle East and Central Asia
Ms. Pritha Mitra
,
Amr Hosny
,
Gohar Minasyan
,
Mr. Mark Fischer
, and
Gohar Abajyan
Raising the Middle East and Central Asia’s long-term growth prospects is critical for meeting the region's pressing need for jobs and higher living standards.
Keywords:
DPPP; DP; physical capital; GCC MENAP; exporter; oil exporter; oil importer; physical capital accumulation; foreign direct investment; physical capital growth; employment growth; Productivity; Oil; Employment; Capital accumulation; Oil prices; Middle East and Central Asia; Global
Cover Departmental Papers
Subsidy Reform in the Middle East and North Africa: Recent Progress and Challenges Ahead
Mr. Carlo A Sdralevich
,
Miss Randa Sab
,
Mr. Younes Zouhar
, and
Ms. Giorgia Albertin
In the Middle East and North Africa (MENA) countries price subsidies are common, especially on food and fuels. However, these are neither well targeted nor cost effective as a social protection tool, often benefiting mainly the better off instead of the poor and vulnerable. This paper explores the challenges of replacing generalized price subsidies with more equitable social safety net instruments, including the short-term inflationary effects, and describes the features of successful subsidy reforms.
Keywords:
DPPP; DP; subsidy reform; exchange rate; fuel price; price increase; price subsidy; energy subsidy; food subsidy; fuel subsidy; Energy subsidies; Fuel prices; Inflation; Oil prices; Social assistance spending; Middle East; North Africa; East Africa; Middle East and Central Asia; Global; oil importer; oil exporter; reform outcome; reforms in the Middle East; Oil
Cover IMF Working Papers
A Primeron Fiscal Analysis in Oil-Producing Countries
Mr. Paulo A Medas
and
Ms. Daria V Zakharova
This paper proposes an integrated approach to fiscal policy analysis in oil producing countries (OPCs) geared towards addressing their unique and complex policy challenges. First, an accurate assessment of the fiscal stance in OPCs can be obscured by large and volatile oil revenue flows. Second, uncertain and volatile oil revenue flows can complicate the management of macroeconomic policies in these countries. Third, given the exhaustibility of oil reserves, OPCs need to address longer-term sustainability and intergenerational equity issues. The use of non-oil fiscal indicators, stress tests, medium-term frameworks, and permanent oil income models can greatly aid in addressing these challenges.
Keywords:
WP; oil revenue; oil price; fiscal policy analysis; medium term; annual budget; economic growth; policy response; fiscal policy; oil producing countries; resource revenue; expenditure quality; oil price volatility; oil GDP; oil price shock; oil revenue uncertainty; B. managing oil revenue volatility; expenditure volatility; WEO oil price; rate of return; revenue performance; Oil; gas and mining taxes; Oil prices; Fiscal stance; Middle East and Central Asia
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Republic of Yemen: 2007 Article IV Consultation: Staff Report; Staff Supplements; Public Information Notice on the Executive Board Discussion; and Statement by the Executive Director for the Republic of Yemen
International Monetary Fund
This 2007 Article IV Consultation highlights that despite recent progress in poverty reduction, Yemen remains far from achieving the Millennium Development Goals. Oil production has been declining since 2000, and in the absence of major discoveries, proven oil reserves could be depleted in some 10 years' time. Economic performance in 2006 was generally favorable, but was accompanied by an increase in inflation. Overall real GDP growth reached 4 percent in 2006, with a 6 percent non-oil growth offsetting an 8 percent decline in oil production.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; government; Yemen; debt; price; inflation outlook; drive inflation; private sector import activity; Sta balance of payments statistics mission; net amount; UN Security Council resolution; Inflation; Balance of payments statistics; Oil; gas and mining taxes; Global; Middle East
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Republic of Yemen: Statistical Appendix
International Monetary Fund
In recent years, the IMF has released a growing number of reports and other documents covering economic and financial developments and trends in member countries. Each report, prepared by a staff team after discussions with government officials, is published at the option of the member country.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; net; Yemen; deposit; Yemen Gulf bank; commercial bank bank deposit; central bank of Yemen; factor income; return on equity; capital goods; pension fund deposit; return on assets; output share; quasi money deposit; fund staff estimate; public enterprise deposit; Oil; Commercial banks; Bank deposits; Imports; Oil exports; Africa
Cover IMF Working Papers
Domestic Petroleum Product Prices and Subsidies: Recent Developments and Reform Strategies
Mr. David Coady
,
Mr. Taimur Baig
,
Mr. Joseph Ntamatungiro
, and
Mr. Amine Mati
The paper reviews recent developments in the pass-through of international to domestic petroleum product prices, in the different fuel pricing regimes, and in fuel subsidies in a range of emerging market and developing economies. The main finding of the paper is the limited price pass-through in many countries and the consequent increase in fuel subsidies. The paper proposes that key elements of a successful strategy to contain subsidies should comprise: making subsidies explicit; making pricing mechanisms more robust; combining reductions in subsidies with measures to protect the poorest; using the resulting savings well, and transparency and consultation.
Keywords:
WP; price; country; government; fuel price; fiscal policy; petroleum; subsidies; price pass-through; liberalized price regime; petroleum product price; kerosene price; administered import price; gasoline pricing mechanisms price; gasoline price; oil price pass-through; refinery price; price signal; price liberalization; price stabilization scheme; Fuel prices; Oil prices; Inflation; Energy subsidies; Oil; Africa
Cover IMF Working Papers
Yemen: Exchange Rate Policy in the Face of Dwindling Oil Exports
Todd Schneider
,
Nabil Ben Ltaifa
,
Mr. Faisal Ahmed
, and
Mr. Saade Chami
This paper investigates the likely implications of declining oil production on Yemen's equilibrium exchange rate, and discusses policy options to ensure a smooth transition to a nonoil economy. The empirical results suggest that, as oil production and foreign exchange earnings fall, the Yemeni rial will have to adjust downward in real effective terms to keep pace with the equilibrium exchange rate. In light of strong pass-through from exchange rate depreciation to domestic inflation, this could entail a substantial depreciation in nominal terms. Given the nature of the adjustment, a floating exchange rate regime appears to be the best option, if supported by appropriate macroeconomic policies. However, given public fixation on a exchange rate stability, a softly managed float would be a better option for Yemen whereby the central bank may have to lead the market toward the equilibrium exchange rate.
Keywords:
WP; exchange rate; crawling peg; Yemen; depreciation; Exchange rates; adjustment process; oil; equilibrium exchange rate; exchange rate depreciation; regime in the form; developments in Yemen; crawling peg exchange regime; exchange rate development; band in an effort; nominal exchange rate; real effective exchange rate; exchange rate pass-through effect; exchange rate band; crawling peg regime; Real exchange rates; Real effective exchange rates; Oil production; Exchange rate arrangements; Africa; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Republic of Yemen: Statistical Appendix
International Monetary Fund
In recent years, the IMF has released a growing number of reports and other documents covering economic and financial developments and trends in member countries. Each report, prepared by a staff team after discussions with government officials, is published at the option of the member country.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; foreign currency; enterprise; central bank of Yemen; oil company profits; net exposure; capital goods; core consumer price index; Oil; Commercial banks; Bank deposits; Currencies; Public enterprises; Africa