Middle East and Central Asia > Uzbekistan, Republic of

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International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
The Technical Assistance (TA) mission, conducted in Tashkent, Uzbekistan, from August 21 to 31, 2023, assisted the Central Bank of Uzbekistan’s (CBU) authorities in developing their stress testing (ST) framework for the banking sector. This TA was the second of a multi-mission TA project following on the recommendations of the 2020 Financial Sector Stability Review (FSSR). This mission duly assessed the progress on the implementation of the previous mission (2022) that had introduced a multi-horizon ST tool based on explicit macroeconomic scenarios along with a credit risk satellite model. The purpose of this mission was to build on the earlier work and further strengthen the capacity of the Financial Stability Department (FSD) staff to carry out stress tests and thus assess the resilience of the Uzbek banking system. The high-level objectives of the mission encompassed improving performance of the credit risk and profit & loss satellite models, providing training on ST scenario design with working procedures for cross-departmental collaboration, and setting up guidelines to operate, maintain and improve the ST toolkit and communicate the results with senior management and general public.
Raja Almarzoqi
and
Samy Ben Naceur
In this paper, we use a bank-level panel dataset to investigate the determinants of bank interest margins in the Caucasus and Central Asia (CCA) over the period 1998–2013. We apply the dealership model of Ho and Saunders (1981) and its extensions to assess the extent to which high spreads of banks in the CCA can be related to bank-specific variables, to competition, and to macroeconomic factors. We find that interest spreads are affected by operating cost, credit risk, liquidity risk, bank size, bank diversification, banking sector competition, and macroeconomic policies; but the impact depends on the country.
Mr. Gianni De Nicolo
,
Mr. Sami Geadah
, and
Mr. Dmitriy L Rozhkov
This paper documents the great divide in the level of financial development between the Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) 7 countries and the more advanced economies in transition, in particular those of Central and Eastern Europe and Baltic states. It discusses the roots of financial underdevelopment in the CIS-7 countries by examining the differentials in interest rate spreads between the CIS-7 countries and the transition economies that have achieved faster financial development. The roots of the divide are traced to weaknesses in the institutional infrastructure for financial intermediation, which lead to a combination of low depositor trust in the banking system and high credit risk. High credit risk stems mainly from the poor creditor-rights protection and weak auditing and accounting standards. Financial sector reform strategies that fail to give priority to the resolution of weaknesses in the basic financial infrastructure are unlikely to be successful in letting the CIS-7 countries bridge the great divide.