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Middle East and Central Asia > Uzbekistan, Republic of

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Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Republic of Uzbekistan: Technical Assistance Report-Fiscal Transparency Evaluation Update
International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.
This Fiscal Transparency Evaluation report on the Republic of Uzbekistan provides a summary of progress made since that evaluation was conducted and is based on practices in place at the time of a Fiscal Affairs Department visit. Uzbekistan has improved its fiscal transparency practices against eight of the Code’s standards since the June evaluation. Most improvements have been accomplished in the areas of fiscal forecasts and budgeting, and fiscal risk disclosure. A road map has also been developed to expand the coverage and quality of fiscal reports and better align these with international standards, further enhance fiscal risk disclosure, and ensure greater parliamentary scrutiny of the budget. Work has also commenced to identify all off-budget fiscal activities, and, the government has committed to including these in future budget and government finance statistics (GFS) reports. Efforts are also underway to expand the coverage of GFS reports, so that they reflect all general government fiscal transactions, including those of nonmarket state-owned enterprises.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; budget; budget message; Uzbekistan; fund; expenditure; budget documentation; state budget; budget openness; budget organization; Budget planning and preparation; Fiscal risks; Macroeconomic and fiscal forecasts
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Republic of Uzbekistan: Technical Assistance Report-Report on the External Sector Statistics Mission (November 20–December 1, 2017)
International Monetary Fund. Statistics Dept.
At the request of the Republic of Uzbekistan authorities for technical assistance (TA) on external sector statistics (ESS), and with the support of the Middle East and Central Asia Department (MCD) of the International Monetary Fund (IMF), a mission from the IMF Statistics Department (STA) visited Tashkent from November 20 through December 1, 2017. This was the first TA mission on ESS since the Republic of Uzbekistan Presidential Order of September 12, 2017, “On Measures to Ensure the Accessibility and Openness of Economic and Financial Data for the Republic of Uzbekistan” was issued.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; SSC data; CBU responsibility; Republic of Uzbekistan President's order; balance of payments Statistics Department; bank supervision information; BOP transaction; CBU employee; SSC survey; PSA enterprise; CBU authority; economic activity; BOP compilation function; CBU function; External sector statistics; Data collection; Imports; Income; International investment position; BOP unit
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Republic of Uzbekistan: 2018 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for the Republic of Uzbekistan
International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
This 2018 Article IV Consultation highlights that Uzbekistan’s external position remains strong. External shocks, which began in 2014, lowered exports, commodity prices, and remittances and contributed to a decline in growth from about 8 percent to 5 percent in 2017. Growth of domestic employment remained below one percent. A loosening of fiscal and monetary policies, along with price and foreign exchange liberalization, caused inflation to pick up in late 2017 and was close to 20 percent in early 2018. International reserves were equivalent to 19 months of imports of goods and services at end-2017 and debt is low. GDP is projected to expand by about 5 percent in 2018–19, but domestic job creation will continue to lag.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; fiscal policy; debt; real GDP; Uzbekistan; government; FX market reform; FRD deficit; market FX rate; PPG debt; prudent fiscal policy; Public and publicly-guaranteed external debt; Credit; Central Asia; Global; East Asia; Europe
Cover IMF Working Papers
Determinants of Bank Interest Margins in the Caucasus and Central Asia
Raja Almarzoqi
and
Samy Ben Naceur
In this paper, we use a bank-level panel dataset to investigate the determinants of bank interest margins in the Caucasus and Central Asia (CCA) over the period 1998–2013. We apply the dealership model of Ho and Saunders (1981) and its extensions to assess the extent to which high spreads of banks in the CCA can be related to bank-specific variables, to competition, and to macroeconomic factors. We find that interest spreads are affected by operating cost, credit risk, liquidity risk, bank size, bank diversification, banking sector competition, and macroeconomic policies; but the impact depends on the country.
Keywords:
WP; interest margin; interest; bank
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
The Kyrgyz Republic: Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper
International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
This Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper on Kyrgyz Republic highlights that the period 2009 through filled with symbolic events marked a new milestone in the Kyrgyz Republic development and will enter the country’s history as the period of strength test for the Kyrgyz statehood and entire public administration system including socio-political, economic, environmental, financial and other areas of development management. The country development background during that period included the world financial crisis and growing uncertainty on world markets which created risks for all market actors including the Kyrgyzstan’s key trade partners such as Russia, Kazakhstan, and China. The government officially declared the country’s sustainable development-oriented policy. For Kyrgyzstan as a country with its still high poverty level, particularly in rural areas, and limited natural and financial resources, the sustainable development policy seems today’s logically and politically justified choice. The sustainable development model itself suggests striving for systemic, comprehensiveness, and balance in development. Transition to sustainable development suggests considering economic growth through the prism of human values and reasonable use of natural resources.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; Kyrgyz Republic government; staff training; community development; customs union; education system; feasibility study; foreign trade; government regulation; labor market; national budget; sustainable development; value chain; economic system; civil society; risk management; Sustainable development; Global; Central Asia
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Uzbekistan: 2012 Article IV Consultation
International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
This paper discusses 2012 Article IV Consultation of Republic of Uzbekistan. Uzbekistan has been experiencing strong momentum in economic growth supported by sustained public investment and increased prices for commodity exports. The IMF report suggests that it is important to ease the restrictiveness of the foreign exchange and trade regimes, as it impedes the development of the financial and private sectors and distorts resource allocation. Improvement economic data quality and transparency should also be a high- priority item in the action list.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; Uzbekistan; U.S. dollar; exchange rate; gross domestic product; commodity revenue; Uzbek authorities; export commodity; broad money growth; mineral revenue fund; Exports; Exchange rates; Global; Central Asia
Cover IMF Working Papers
Global Food Price Inflation and Policy Responses in Central Asia
International Monetary Fund
This paper examines the implications of elevated global food prices for inflation in select Central Asian economies - Kazakhstan, the Kyrgyz Republic, Tajikistan, and Uzbekistan. The findings suggest that global food inflation has significant short-run effects that build over time. Inflation outcomes simulated under alternative global wheat price assumptions underscore these vulnerabilities, and suggest that sustained administrative measures are unlikely to prove effective. In line with structural economic features, the interest rate channel of monetary policy is found to be limited, arguing for a broad policy strategy to control more expansive inflationary pressures. Looking ahead, measures to enhance supply responses, deepen domestic financial markets, develop adequate social safety nets, and increase central bank independence are warranted.
Keywords:
WP; price; food; headline inflation
Cover Policy Papers
Kyrgyz Republic - Joint Economic Assessment Report for the Kyrgyz Republic Donor Conference, Bishkek, July 27, 2010
International Monetary Fund
At the time of the 2005 review of the Fund’s transparency policy, it was agreed that information on key trends in implementation of the transparency policy would be circulated to the Board regularly, along with lists indicating the publication status of reports discussed by the Board. The set of tables provided in this report updates the last Key Trends2 with information on documents published through December 2009.
Keywords:
PP; private sector; economic crisis; Kyrgyz authorities; interim government; economic activity; economic recovery; Infrastructure; Budget planning and preparation; Housing; Securities; Global; Central Asia; Asia and Pacific
Cover Japan Administered Account for Selected IMF Activities (JSA)--Annual Report for Fiscal Year 2008
Japan Administered Account for Selected IMF Activities (JSA)--Annual Report for Fiscal Year 2008
International Monetary Fund

Abstract

This paper reports a brief description of the IMF and its activities, focusing in particular on its technical assistance (TA) activities. The report then describes in greater detail the Japan Administered Account for Selected Fund Activities (JSA)—including its objectives, size, scope, and use, as well as assessments of its activities, with a focus on fiscal year (FY) 2008—and the TA activities and scholarship programs that it finances. The IMF finances technical assistance for its member countries, devoting some 25 percent of its annual operating budget to TA work and training. Although most technical assistance is financed through internal resources, external financing from bilateral and multilateral partners has been increasing over the past few years and constitutes an important pillar. The responsibilities of the Regional Office in Tokyo include collaborative efforts between the IMF and Japan that strengthen economic prospects in the Asia-Pacific region, and also include support of various regional policy forums, such as Asia-Pacific Economic Cooperation, the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, and the Pacific Islands Forum.

Keywords:
MISC RPT; MISC; IMF's technical assistance; structural adjustment program; TA activity; Japan's contribution; policy dialogue; balance of payments difficulty; Tax law; Capital markets; Monetary statistics; Financial sector; Asia and Pacific; Central America; Central Asia; Global; Africa
Cover IMF Working Papers
Efficiency Costs of Myanmar’s Multiple Exchange Rate Regime
Masahiro Hori
and
Yu Ching Wong
Myanmar's multiple exchange rate system creates various economic distortions. This paper describes the exchange rate practices in Myanmar, develops a model of foreign exchange markets, and presents the efficiency costs imposed by quasi-fiscal operation under the current exchange rate regime. The results of our model-based analyses indicate that the equilibrium exchange rate under the unified market could be at around K 400-500 per U.S. dollar, and using the equilibrium exchange rate (instead of the official exchange rate) as the accounting rate increases trade openness to more than 20 percent from less than 1 percent measured by official statistics. The total efficiency loss caused by the current multiple exchange rate regime is estimated at about 14-17 percent of GDP in 2006/07.
Keywords:
WP; exchange rate