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Africa > Uganda

You are looking at 1 - 4 of 4 items for :

  • Type: Journal Issue x
  • Natural Disasters x
  • Climate change x
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Cover IMF Working Papers
How Persistent are Climate-Related Price Shocks? Implications for Monetary Policy
Alain N. Kabundi
,
Mr. Montfort Mlachila
, and
Jiaxiong Yao
Climate change is likely to lead to more frequent and more severe supply and demand shocks that will present a challenge to monetary policy formulation. The main objective of the paper is to investigate how climate shocks affect consumer prices in a broad range of countries over a long period using local projection methods. It finds that the impact of climate shocks on inflation depends on the type and intensity of shocks, country income level, and monetary policy regime. Specifically, droughts tend to have the highest overall positive impact on inflation, reflecting rising food prices. Interestingly, floods tend to have a dampening impact on inflation, pointing to the predominance of demand shocks in this case. Over the long run, the dominant monetary policy paradigm of flexible inflation targeting faced with supply-induced climate shocks may become increasingly ineffective, especially in LIDCs. More research is needed to find viable alternative monetary policy frameworks.
Keywords:
climate change; monetary policy; monetary policy models; food price inflation drought; monetary policy paradigm; supply and demand shock; IMF working paper 22/207; IT country; Natural disasters; Inflation; Monetary policy frameworks; Global; Caribbean
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Uganda: Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Selected Issues
Keywords:
E. inflation outlook; Core CPI inflation; neutral rate; climate change event; parameter value; Natural disasters; Climate change; Inflation; Infrastructure; Monetary stance; Global; Sub-Saharan Africa
Cover Regional Economic Outlook, April 2020, Sub-Saharan Africa
Regional Economic Outlook, April 2020, Sub-Saharan Africa
COVID-19: An Unprecedented Threat to Development
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.

Abstract

Sub-Saharan Africa is facing an unprecedented health and economic crisis that threatens to throw the region off its stride, reversing the encouraging development progress of recent years. Furthermore, by exacting a heavy human toll, upending livelihoods, and damaging business and government balance sheets, the crisis threatens to retard the region’s growth prospects in the years to come. Previous crises tended to impact affect countries in the region differentially, but no country will be spared this time.

Keywords:
REO; IMF staff calculation; economic activity; Sub-Saharan Africa; price; forest cover increases rainwater infiltration; World Bank enterprise survey; submarine cable; climate change challenge; terms of trade; tech firm; climate change Policy Assessment; sub-Saharan Africa use email; financing adaptation; rainfall anomaly; Natural disasters; Climate change; Infrastructure; Digitalization; Africa; Global; Southern Africa; East Africa
Cover Regional Economic Outlook, April 2020, Sub-Saharan Africa
Regional Economic Outlook, April 2020, Sub-Saharan Africa
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.

Abstract

To come when report is received.

Keywords:
REO; IMF staff calculation; economic activity; Sub-Saharan Africa; price