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Africa > Uganda

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Cover IMF Working Papers
Monetary Policy Implementation and Volatility Transmission along the Yield Curve: The Case of Kenya
Mr. Emre Alper
,
Mr. R. Armando Morales
, and
Mr. Fan Yang
This paper analyzes the degree to which volatility in interbank interest rates leads to volatility in financial instruments with longer maturities (e.g., T-bills) in Kenya since 2012, year in which the monetary policy framework switched to a forward-looking approach, relative to seven other inflation targeting (IT) countries (Ghana, Hungary, Poland, South Africa, Sweden, Thailand, and Uganda). Kenya shows strong volatility transmission and high persistence similar to other countries in transition to a more forward-looking monetary policy framework. These results emphasize the importance of a strong commitment to an interbank rate as an operational target and suggest that the central bank could reduce uncertainty in short-term yields significantly by smoothing out the overnight interest rates around the policy rate.
Keywords:
WP; Kenya; rate; Monetary policy implementation; inflation targeting; volatility transmission; interbank rate; overnight rate; headline inflation; inflation objective; money market rate; monetary policy Analysis Unit; interbank rate corridor; inflation target range; interbank market rate; overnight market interest rate; inflation modeling; inflation expectation; Interbank rates; Central bank policy rate; Yield curve; Treasury bills and bonds; Monetary policy frameworks; Africa; Global; interest rate volatility; policy rate change; interbank rate series; year inflation expectation
Cover Policy Papers
Enhancing Financial Sector Surveillance in Low-Income Countries - Case Studies
International Monetary Fund
This supplement presents ten case studies, which highlight the roles of targeted policies to facilitate sustainable financial deepening in a variety of country circumstances, reflecting historical experiences that parallel a range of markets in LICs. The case studies were selected to broadly capture efforts by countries to increase reach (e.g., financial inclusion), depth (e.g., financial intermediation), and breadth of financial systems (e.g., capital market, cross-border development). The analysis in the case studies highlights the importance of a balanced approach to financial deepening. A stable macroeconomic environment is vital to instill consumer, institutional, and investor confidence necessary to encourage financial market activity. Targeted public policy initiatives (e.g., collateral, payment systems development) can be helpful in removing impediments and creating infrastructure for improved market operations, while ensuring appropriate oversight and regulation of financial markets, to address potential sources of instability and market failures. 
Keywords:
PP; FX market; central bank; interest rate; banking sector; foreign currency; financial market; government bond; exchange rate; Securities markets; Commercial banks; Insurance; Government securities; Baltics; Africa; Global; West Africa; Caribbean
Cover IMF Working Papers
Capital Market Integration: Progress Ahead of the East African Community Monetary Union
Mr. Masafumi Yabara
Capital markets in the East African Community (EAC) face common challenges of low capitalization and liquidity, but to different degrees. EAC member countries have made noticeable progress in developing domestic capital markets through a regional approach, removing constraints on capital transactions and harmonizing market infrastructure. Nevertheless, empirical analysis suggests capital market integration has not deepened during the past few years in the EAC, although convergence of investment returns is taking place to some extent. Learning from the experience of the West African Economic and Monetary Union and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, EAC countries would benefit from four actions to accelerate financial market integration: (i) further harmonize market infrastructure; (ii) strengthen regional surveillance mechanisms; (iii) encourage local currency bond issuance by multilateral financial institutions; and (iv) build the capacity of the existing regional institutions.
Keywords:
WP; EAC treasury bill market; market infrastructure; EAC capital market integration; EAC treasury bond bond market; EAC debt markets; East African Community; regional integration; monetary union; capital market; equity; stock; debt; bond; beta convergence; sigma convergence; cointegration; EAC Treasury Bill; EAC capital markets; Stock markets; Securities markets; Capital markets; Capital market integration; Treasury bills and bonds; Sub-Saharan Africa; West Africa; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
Bank Efficiency and Competition in Low-Income Countries: The Case of Uganda
Mr. David Hauner
and
Mr. Shanaka J Peiris
There is a concern that the state-dominated, inefficient, and fragile banking systems in many low-income countries, especially in sub-Saharan Africa, are a major hindrance to economic growth. This paper systematically analyzes the impact of the far-reaching banking sector reforms undertaken in Uganda to improve competition and efficiency. Using models that have been previously used only in industrial countries, we find that the level of competition has increased significantly and has been associated with a rise in efficiency. Moreover, on average, larger banks and foreign-owned banks have become more efficient, while smaller banks have become less efficient in the face of increased competitive pressures.
Keywords:
WP; bank; banking sector
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Uganda: Background Paper on Issues in Financial Sector Reform, and Statistical Appendix
International Monetary Fund
This Background Paper examines issues in Uganda’s financial sector reform. In Uganda, reforms in the financial sector have included the liberalization of interest rates, the development of instruments of indirect monetary control, the modernization of banking legislation, the restructuring of the central bank, and reforms in the commercial banking system. These reforms are aimed at improving monetary management, which would enhance the prospects for achieving stabilization. Ultimately, financial sector reforms will contribute to long-term sustainable growth by mobilizing domestic savings and channeling these resources to the most profitable investment projects.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; bank; monetary management; loan; excess reserves; BOU recapitalization; government bank; BOU statute; treasury bill market; BOU loss; interest rate; Sembule bank; BOU Export Refinance Scheme; Commercial banks; Treasury bills and bonds; Nonperforming loans; Loans; Distressed institutions; Africa; East Africa