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Africa > Uganda

You are looking at 1 - 8 of 8 items for :

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Cover Departmental Papers
A Rebalancing Act for China and Africa: The Effects of China’s Rebalancing on Sub-Saharan Africa’s Trade and Growth
Mr. Roger Nord
and
Ms. Wenjie Chen
How does China’s new growth model affect sub-Saharan Africa? To address this question, this paper first looks at the growing ties between China and Africa; attempts to estimate more precisely the impact on growth through the trade channel; and finally draws some policy implications regarding whether this means an end of the Africa Rising narrative or merely the beginning of a new chapter.
Keywords:
DPPP; DP; center; China; commodity; Sub-Saharan Africa; commodity exporter; China's growth; frontier economy; investment-driven commodities exporter; growth experience; FDI flow; sub-Saharan Africa result; idiosyncratic shock; Bloomberg L.P.; commodity price system; Customs dataset; countries in sub-Saharan Africa; Exports; Commodity prices; Foreign direct investment; Direction of trade; Africa; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
Growth in Africa Under Peace and Market Reforms
Ms. Olessia Korbut
,
Mr. Gonzalo Salinas
, and
Cheikh A. Gueye
Economic stagnation in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) has led several economists to question the region’s ability to attain sustained economic growth, some of them arguing for the need to shift away from natural resource - based exports. Yet, we find that low growth has not been common to all SSA countries and that those that achieved political stability and significantly liberalized their economies experienced high growth in income per capita, as high as ASEAN-5 countries. This group of SSA countries attained high growth while maintaining their specialization in natural resource exports. Our analysis also rejects the hypothesis of reverse causality: that good growth performance allowed countries to attain political stability or liberalize their economies.
Keywords:
WP; country; liberalization; state interventionism; growth; Africa; structural adjustment; SSA country; liberalization program; SSA economy; natural resource; Natural resources; Personal income; Comparative advantage; Exports; East Asia; South Asia
Cover IMF Working Papers
External Debt Sustainability in HIPC Completion Point Countries: An Update
Jie Yang
and
Dan Nyberg
Despite substantial debt relief to HIPC Initiative completion point countries, long-term debt sustainability remains a challenge. This paper examines a number of structural factors affecting external debt sustainability. It shows that in HIPC completion point countries (i) the export base broadly remains narrow; (ii) fiscal revenue mobilization lags behind in some countries; and (iii) policy and institutional frameworks are still relatively weak. Achieving and maintaining longterm debt sustainability in completion point countries will require continued structural reforms, timely donor support, and close monitoring of new non-concessional borrowing.
Keywords:
WP; HIPC; HIPC country; HIPC Completion point countries; export; HIPC decision point; External Debt Sustainability; HIPCs; Low-Income Countries; HIPC completion; country grouping; HIPC CP country; export diversification; Exports; Debt sustainability; Export diversification; Agricultural commodities; Oil; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
Welfare Gains of Aid Indexation in Small Open Economies
Anubha Dhasmana
Foreign aid flows to poor, aid-dependent economies are highly volatile and pro-cyclical. Shortfalls in aid coincide with shortfalls in GDP and government revenues. This increases the consumption volatility in aid dependent countries, thereby causing substantial welfare losses. This paper finds that indexing aid flows to exogenous shocks like a change in the terms of trade can significantly improve the welfare of aid-dependent country by lowering its output and consumption volatility. Compared to the benchmark specification with stochastic aid flows, indexation of aid flows to terms of trade shocks can reduce the cost of business cycle fluctuations in the recipient country by four percent of permanent consumption. Moreover, use of indexed aid can allow donors to reduce the aid flows by three percent without lowering the level of welfare in the recipient country.
Keywords:
WP; business cycle; developing country
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Rwanda: Recent Economic Developments
International Monetary Fund
The government of Rwanda has recognized that economic development in most areas would have to be the responsibility of the private sector (particularly since military and civil service employment would be reduced), but that the public sector could still have a role in promoting economic equality by providing a social safety net, most importantly with a solvent social security system. Before the conflict in 1994, the private sector has accounted for only about 50 percent of employment in the formal sector, excluding the civil service.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; U.S. dollar; gross domestic product; sales tax; price index; private sector; tax revenue; economic planning; excess reserves; broad money; tertiary sector; income tax; money market; foreign exchange; Agricultural commodities; Tariffs; Civil service; Exports; Commercial banks; Sub-Saharan Africa; Africa
Cover Debt Relief for Low-Income Countries
Debt Relief for Low-Income Countries
The Enhanced HIPC Initiative
Mr. Kamau Thugge
and
Mr. Anthony R. Boote

Abstract

This pamphlet describes the IMF-World Bank initiative begun in 1996 to address in a comprehensive manner the overall debt burden of eligible heavily indebted poor countries (HIPCs) pursuing programs of adjustment and reform supported by the two organizations. The aim of the Initiative is to reduce these countries debt to sustainable levels so that they can meet current and future debt service obligations without unduly compromising growth. This pamphlet describes the rationale for and the main features of the Initiative as it was originally conceived in 1996 and its implementation through the fall of 1999, which culminated in the approval of an enhanced HIPC Initiative in late 1999 that is aimed at providing deeper and more rapid debt relief to a larger number of countries. The enhanced HIPC Initiative also seeks to ensure that debt relief is integrated into a comprehensive poverty reduction strategy that is developed with broad-based participation and tailored to the country's circumstances.

Keywords:
PAM; IMF board; debt; NPV; IMF's share; HIPCs; HIPCs need; executive boards of the World Bank; World Bank's share; Debt burden; Debt relief; Debt reduction; Debt sustainability; Sub-Saharan Africa
Cover IMF Working Papers
External Debt Histories of Ten Low-Income Developing Countries: Lessons from Their Experience
Mr. Kevin Ross
,
Mr. R. Brooks
,
Mr. Robert Powell
,
Ms. Ydahlia A. Metzgen Quemarez
,
Ms. Doris C Ross
,
Mr. Mariano Cortes
,
Saqib Rizavi
,
Benoit Ketchekmen
, and
Ms. Francesca Fornasari
The external debt burden of many low-income developing countries has increased significantly since the 1970s. Developments in a sample of ten countries show that the main factors behind the buildup of debt were (1) exogenous (adverse terms of trade shocks or weather), (2) a lack of sustained macroeconomic adjustment and structural reforms, (3) nonconcessional lending arid refinancing policies of creditors, (4) inadequate debt management, and (5) political factors (civil war and social strife). Future policies should limit the need for external financing and create an environment conducive to diversifying export growth, managing debt more prudently, and basing economic projections on more cautious assumptions.
Keywords:
WP; debt; export; price; Niger; Zambia; External Debt; HIPCs; Low-Income Countries; export base; debt-servicing capacity; export receipt; export concentration; debt problem; Bolivia's export earnings; world oil price projection; oil price projection; concessional terms; commodity price projection; financing needs; prudent debt strategy; Export performance; Debt burden; Exports; Agricultural commodities; Global
Cover Adjustment Programs in Africa
Adjustment Programs in Africa
The Recent Experience
Mr. Saleh M. Nsouli
and
Justin B. Zulu

Abstract

This paper reviews recent experience of African countries in the design and implementation of adjustment programs supported by use of Fund resources.

Keywords:
OP; deficit; rate of inflation; current account position; country; record SDR; consumer goods; excess demand pressure; sector disequilibrium; Public enterprises; Inflation; Credit; Current account deficits; Balance of payments deficits; Africa