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Africa > Uganda

You are looking at 1 - 7 of 7 items for :

  • Type: Journal Issue x
  • Empirical Studies of Trade x
  • Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics x
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Cover IMF Research Bulletin
Research Bulletin, June 2014
International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Articles in the June 2014 issue of the IMF Research Bulletin look at “The Rise and Fall of Current Account Deficits in the Euro Area Periphery and the Baltics” (Joong Shik Kang and Jay C. Shambaugh) and “The Two Sides of the Same Coin?: Rebalancing and Inclusive Growth in China” (Il Houng Lee, Murtaza Syed, and Xin Wang). The Q&A looks at “Seven Questions on the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Low-Income Countries” (Andrew Berg, Luisa Charry, Rafael A. Portillo, and Jan Vleck). This issue of the Research Bulletin includes updated listings of IMF Working Papers, Staff Discussion Notes, and Recommended Readings from the IMF Bookstore. Readers can also find information on free access to a featured article from “IMF Economic Review.”
Keywords:
IRB; IMF research bulletin; bulletin; journal website; policy relevance; author guideline; debt challenge; sample content; Current account deficits; Trade balance; Income inequality; Current account; Personal income; Global; Caribbean; Baltics; Sub-Saharan Africa
Cover IMF Working Papers
Should African Monetary Unions Be Expanded? An Empirical Investigation of the Scope for Monetary Integration in Sub-Saharan Africa
Mr. Xavier Debrun
,
Ms. Catherine A Pattillo
, and
Mr. Paul R Masson
This paper develops a full-fledged cost-benefit analysis of monetary integration, and applies it to the currency unions actively pursued in Africa. The benefits of monetary union come from a more credible monetary policy, while the costs derive from real shock asymmetries and fiscal disparities. The model is calibrated using African data. Simulations indicate that the proposed EAC, ECOWAS, and SADC monetary unions bring about net benefits to some potential members, but modest net gains and sometimes net losses for others. Strengthening domestic macroeconomic frameworks is shown to provide some of the same improvements as monetary integration, reducing the latter’s relative attractiveness.
Keywords:
WP; central bank; monetary policy; CFA franc
Cover Regional Economic Outlook, October 2008, Sub-Saharan Africa
Regional Economic Outlook, October 2008, Sub-Saharan Africa
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.

Abstract

Sub-Saharan Africa's prospects have deteriorated somewhat and the risks have increased, according to this report. Growth in the region is projected to dip to 6 percent in 2008 and 2009. The fall is due mainly to the global food and fuel price shock, which has weighed particularly on growth in oil-importing countries, and to the global financial market turmoil, which has slowed global growth and demand for Africa's exports. Inflation is expected to rise to 12 percent in 2008, mainly on account of the food and fuel price shock. As a result of rising prices, particularly of food, poverty may well be on the increase in 2008. In 2009, inflation should ease to 10 percent, helped by recent commodity price declines. There are significant risks to the outlook related to a potentially deeper and longer period of global financial turmoil and resulting slowdown in global activity, and substantial uncertainty concerning commodity prices.

Keywords:
REO; oil-exporting country; fuel price; oil-importing country; middle-income country; broad money; WEO database; oil importer; oil exporter; price shock; Dem. rep.; trade balance; growth episode; Exchange rate arrangements; Inflation; Conventional peg; Floating exchange rates; Oil; Sub-Saharan Africa; Africa; Global; East Africa; Southern Africa; food price inflation; inflation pressure; Food prices; Income; Terms of trade
Cover IMF Working Papers
Welfare Gains of Aid Indexation in Small Open Economies
Anubha Dhasmana
Foreign aid flows to poor, aid-dependent economies are highly volatile and pro-cyclical. Shortfalls in aid coincide with shortfalls in GDP and government revenues. This increases the consumption volatility in aid dependent countries, thereby causing substantial welfare losses. This paper finds that indexing aid flows to exogenous shocks like a change in the terms of trade can significantly improve the welfare of aid-dependent country by lowering its output and consumption volatility. Compared to the benchmark specification with stochastic aid flows, indexation of aid flows to terms of trade shocks can reduce the cost of business cycle fluctuations in the recipient country by four percent of permanent consumption. Moreover, use of indexed aid can allow donors to reduce the aid flows by three percent without lowering the level of welfare in the recipient country.
Keywords:
WP; business cycle; developing country
Cover Regional Economic Outlook, October 2007, Sub-Saharan African
Regional Economic Outlook, October 2007, Sub-Saharan African
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.

Abstract

The region's prospects look strong. Growth in sub-Saharan Africa should reach 6 percent in 2007 and 6¾ percent in 2008. The economic expansion is strongest in oil exporters but cuts across all country groups. This would extend a period of very good performance. In recent years, sub-Saharan Africa has been experiencing its strongest growth and lowest inflation in over 30 years.

Keywords:
REO; Dem. rep.; oil exporter; current account; development expenditure; nonfuel commodity price; terms of trade shock; expenditure program; Fiscal space; Terms of trade; Oil; Medium-term budget frameworks; Sub-Saharan Africa; Africa; Global; West Africa
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Uganda: Background Paper
International Monetary Fund
This Background Paper presents a long-term perspective on investment and output performance in Uganda, beginning after the country gained independence in the early 1960s. Against the background of long-term trends in savings, investment, and output, the paper describes the initial conditions that led to the adoption of adjustment policies. The macroeconomic policy mix, together with important structural policies, is analyzed and the outcomes are assessed for 1987–94, during which Uganda pursued an ongoing adjustment program supported by successive arrangements with the IMF under the structural adjustment facility and the enhanced structural adjustment facility.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; Uganda; GDP ratio; ratio; fiscal policy; primary sector; growth performance; adjustment effort; structural adjustment; growth process; Uganda shilling; reform agenda; growth potential; physical capital; Domestic savings; Exports; Terms of trade; Consumption; Sub-Saharan Africa
Cover Payments Arrangements and the Expansion of Trade in Eastern and Southern Africa
Payments Arrangements and the Expansion of Trade in Eastern and Southern Africa
Ms. Sena Eken
,
Mr. John F. Laker
, and
Mr. Shailendra J. Anjaria

Abstract

In late 1979, the African Center for Monetary Studies requested, on behalf of the Association of African Central Banks (AACB), that the Fund staff prepare a study describing the existing payments, exchange control, and exchange rate arrangements in the proposed 17-nation Preferential Trade Area (PTA) of Eastern and Southern African States, analyzing any payments obstacles to trade in the region, and recommending improvements in payments arrangements that would promote intraregional trade.

Keywords:
OP; trade; Kenya; PTA arrangement; fund staff visit; EAC trade; fund staff; trade expansion; payments arrangement; Currencies; Exports; Imports; Currency convertibility; Credit; Africa; Southern Africa