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Africa > Uganda

You are looking at 1 - 10 of 33 items for :

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Cover IMF Working Papers
Assessing Vulnerabilities to Corruption in Public Procurement and Their Price Impact
Aly Abdou
,
Olivier Basdevant
,
Elizabeth David-Barrett
, and
Mihaly Fazekas
Public procurement can be highly vulnerable to corruption. This paper outlines a methodology and results in assessing corruption risks in public procurement and their impact on relative prices, using large databases on government contracts and tenders. Our primary contribution is to analyze how price differential in public procurement contracts can be explained by corruption risk factor (aggregated in a synthetic corruption risk index). While there are intrinsic limitations to our study (price differentials can come from structural reasons, such as a limited number of potential suppliers) it still provides a guiding tool to assess where corruption risks would have the biggest budgetary impact. Such analysis helps inform mitigating policies owing to the granular data used.
Keywords:
public procurement; corruption; corruption risks; procurement cost; price differential; corruption risk; price impact; procurement contract; data collection methodology; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Kenya: Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Selected Issues
Keywords:
trading environment; D. policy effort; gender imbalance; wage employment; market share; Exports; Women; Gender inequality; Competition; Global; Africa; East Africa; Southern Africa; Sub-Saharan Africa
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Togo: Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Selected Issues
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; Togo; outlay; authority; education outlay; frontier
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Togo: Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
This Selected Issues paper investigates state-owned financial institutions’ (SOFIs) performance in developing economies. It focuses on Sub-Saharan Africa, zooming in on the Togolese experience with SOFIs and privatization, at a time when the Togolese government has decided to further disengage from the financial sector. Typically set up with a public interest and financial inclusion mandate, SOFIs tend to weaken financial stability and fiscal discipline in developing economies, especially if they are not typically regulated and supervised on the same basis as other banks. Togo’s and cross-country experiences suggest that performance improves more after privatization when the government fully relinquishes control, when banks are privatized to strategic investors rather than through share issues, and when bidding is open to all, including foreign banks. The success of privatization also hinges on the business environment for competition, governance, and entry, on banks’ valuation and how policy concerns are dealt with, as well as on owner’s prudential review quality.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; Togo; outlay; authority; education outlay; frontier; social spending; spending leakage; ECF program; education expenditures in Togo; health performance; WAEMU country; frontier analysis; Privatization; State-owned banks; Corruption; Commercial banks; Sub-Saharan Africa; Global
Cover IMF Research Bulletin
IMF Research Perspectives: Spring-Summer 2019
The Spring-Summer 2019 issue of the IMF Research Perspectives explores how technology deals with old questions. Articles discuss the ways technological progress and the increased availability of data have helped in some areas, while presenting new challenges for analyzing various matters. The issue also includes an interview with Gita Gopinath, the new director of the IMF Research Department.
Keywords:
IRB; economy; heightened economic risk; investor; energy consumption; asset price; work agenda; investor sentiment; dream job; modeling work; Global; Sub-Saharan Africa; Africa; Consumption; Asset prices; Personal income; Robotics; Income; IMF research perspective; measuring sentiment; director of the research DepartmentTechnological change; future of work; impact of Africa
Cover IMF Working Papers
Using Administrative Data to Enhance Policymaking in Developing Countries: Tax Data and the National Accounts
Lisbeth Rivas
and
Mr. Joe Crowley
Statistical agencies worldwide are increasingly turning to new data sources, including administrative data, to improve statistical coverage. Administrative data can significantly enhance the quality of national statistics and produce synergies with tax administration and other government agencies, supporting better decision making, policy advice, and economic performance. Compared to economic censuses and business surveys, administrative data are less burdensome to collect and produce more timely, detailed, and accurate data with better coverage. This paper specifically explores the use of value added tax and income tax records to enhance the compilation of national accounts statistics.
Keywords:
WP; enterprise; information; tax; tax data; reporting burden; Administrative Data; National Accounts; Value Added Tax; tax authorities; tax authority; pay as you earn; Value-added tax; Personal income; Income and capital gains taxes; Data collection; Pacific Islands
Cover IMF Working Papers
VAR meets DSGE: Uncovering the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Low-Income Countries
Ms. Grace B Li
,
Mr. Stephen A. O'Connell
,
Mr. Christopher S Adam
,
Mr. Andrew Berg
, and
Mr. Peter J Montiel
VAR methods suggest that the monetary transmission mechanism may be weak and unreliable in low-income countries (LICs). But are structural VARs identified via short-run restrictions capable of detecting a transmission mechanism when one exists, under research conditions typical of these countries? Using small DSGEs as data-generating processes, we assess the impact on VAR-based inference of short data samples, measurement error, high-frequency supply shocks, and other features of the LIC environment. The impact of these features on finite-sample bias appears to be relatively modest when identification is valid—a strong caveat, especially in LICs. However, many of these features undermine the precision of estimated impulse responses to monetary policy shocks, and cumulatively they suggest that “insignificant” results can be expected even when the underlying transmission mechanism is strong.
Keywords:
WP; monetary policy; interest rate; transmission mechanism; Monetary Transmission Mechanism; Low Income Countries; Vector Autoregression Methods; Monte Carlo Methods; monetary policy shock; LIC environment; GDP gap; inflation rate; interest rate target; estimation environment; monetary policy effect; research environment; LIC context; features of the estimation environment; exchange-rate elasticity; monetary policy rule; Vector autoregression; Dynamic stochastic general equilibrium models; Structural vector autoregression; Supply shocks; Africa
Cover IMF Working Papers
Are African Households Heterogeneous Agents?: Stylized Facts on Patterns of Consumption, Employment, Income and Earnings for Macroeconomic Modelers
Ms. Louise Fox
This paper reviews the evidence on how households in Sub-Saharan Africa segment along consumption, income and earning dimensions relevant for quantitative macroeconomic policy models which incorporate heterogeneity. Key findings include the importance of home-grown food in the income and consumption of house-holds well up the income distribution, the lack of formal financial inclusion for all but the richest households, and the importance of non-wage income. These stylized facts suggest that an externally-generated macroeconomic shock and the short-term policy response would mainly affect the behavior and welfare of these richer urban households, who are also more likely to have the means to cope. Middle class and poor households, especially in rural areas, should be insulated from these external shocks but vulnerable to a wide range of structural factors in the economy as well as idiosyncratic shocks.
Keywords:
WP; wage employment; wage income; labor market; union wage effect; wage job; Sub-Saharan Africa; Inequality; macroeconomics; household heterogeneity; Macro Models; Macroeconomic Stabalization; Labor Economics; Informal Labor Market; Mobility; off season; wage earnings variation; low income; wage sector; Income; Personal income; Wages; Employment; Africa; West Africa
Cover IMF Research Bulletin
Research Bulletin, June 2014
International Monetary Fund. Research Dept.
Articles in the June 2014 issue of the IMF Research Bulletin look at “The Rise and Fall of Current Account Deficits in the Euro Area Periphery and the Baltics” (Joong Shik Kang and Jay C. Shambaugh) and “The Two Sides of the Same Coin?: Rebalancing and Inclusive Growth in China” (Il Houng Lee, Murtaza Syed, and Xin Wang). The Q&A looks at “Seven Questions on the Monetary Transmission Mechanism in Low-Income Countries” (Andrew Berg, Luisa Charry, Rafael A. Portillo, and Jan Vleck). This issue of the Research Bulletin includes updated listings of IMF Working Papers, Staff Discussion Notes, and Recommended Readings from the IMF Bookstore. Readers can also find information on free access to a featured article from “IMF Economic Review.”
Keywords:
IRB; IMF research bulletin; bulletin; journal website; policy relevance; author guideline; debt challenge; sample content; Current account deficits; Trade balance; Income inequality; Current account; Personal income; Global; Caribbean; Baltics; Sub-Saharan Africa
Cover IMF Working Papers
Taxation and Development: Again
Mr. Michael Keen
Issues of taxation and development, which have long been a central concern of the IMF, have attracted wider and renewed interest in the last few years. This paper reflects on three broad lessons of experience: that developing countries differ vastly in tax matters, and in ways that are less than fully understood; that the history of ‘big ideas’ in guiding tax reform for developing countries is decidedly mixed; and that the value of the emphasis often placed in this context on ‘informality’ is decidedly limited. It also asks whether ideas of ‘state building’ emphasized in some of the recent literature are likely to lead to practical advice much different from that commonly offered now.
Keywords:
WP; State building; revenue authority; progressive tax; building state institution; literature stresses formalization; State-building literature; tax system; Taxation and development; large taxpayer office; informality; Lusophone African country; personal income; land inequality; VAT withholding; colonizing country; Value-added tax; Personal income; Income and capital gains taxes; Tax administration core functions; Sub-Saharan Africa