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Africa > Uganda

You are looking at 1 - 4 of 4 items for :

  • Type: Journal Issue x
  • External debt x
  • Fiscal Policy x
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Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Uganda: 2017 Article IV Consultation and Eighth Review Under the Policy Support Instrument-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Uganda
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
This 2017 Article IV Consultation highlights that Uganda’s recent economic performance has been sound, notwithstanding a slowdown in growth. Real GDP growth is estimated to have slowed to 3.9 percent in FY2016/17, reflecting domestic factors and external headwinds, including the drought in the Horn of Africa. The banking sector remains well-capitalized overall. However, elevated nonperforming loans have constrained bank lending which contributed to the growth slowdown. Food price inflation increased owing to the drought, but core inflation was 5.1 percent in May 2017, in line with the Bank of Uganda’s target. The outlook is broadly favorable. With steadfast policy implementation and assuming improved weather conditions, growth could accelerate to 5 percent in FY2017/18.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; core inflation; rate; report; food price inflation; payment arrears; inflation outlook; staff appraisal; Bank of Uganda's Monetary Policy Committee; Arrears; Credit; Sub-Saharan Africa; East Africa; Africa
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Uganda: Seventh Review Under the Policy Support Instrument, Request for a New Policy Support Instrument and Cancellation of Current Policy Support Instrument: Staff Report; Staff Supplements; Press Release on the Executive Board Discussion; and Statement by the Executive Director for Uganda.
International Monetary Fund
This paper discusses key findings of the Seventh Review Under the Policy Support Instrument (PSI) for Uganda. The medium-term outlook for Uganda remains favorable but risks are on the rise. Growth is expected to rebound to its potential in the coming two years on the heels of a supportive fiscal stance and higher global and regional growth. It remains vulnerable to exogenous shocks as well as to election-related uncertainties. IMF staff supports the authorities’ request for a new three-year PSI to anchor their near- and medium-term policies.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; request; debt; cancellation; Uganda; real GDP; EAC integration agenda; infrastructure development; psi-supported program; NDP objective; authorities' drive; policy support; monetary management; Public and publicly-guaranteed external debt; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Tanzania: Selected Issues and Statistical Appendix
International Monetary Fund
This Selected Issues paper analyzes trends in Tanzania’s external competitiveness and export performance. Using various multilateral and bilateral real exchange rates, the paper looks at developments in Tanzania’s real effective exchange rate since 1990. It evaluates the misalignment in the real exchange rate based on results from an equilibrium real exchange rate model that accounts for changes in the economic fundamentals. An analysis of other qualitative aspects of competitiveness is presented, and an assessment of public domestic debt evolution in Tanzania is also provided.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; Tanzania; debt; debt position; domestic debt; Tanzania government; US. dollar; position in Tanzania; Real exchange rates; Domestic debt; Real effective exchange rates; Africa
Cover IMF Working Papers
Fiscal Sustainability in African HIPC Countries: A Policy Dilemma?
Ms. Annalisa Fedelino
and
Alina Kudina
This paper looks at the link between fiscal policy and debt sustainability in a number of African countries participating in the Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) Initiative. The paper finds that, on the basis of current fiscal policies, debt levels will remain unsustainable even after these countries graduate from the HIPC Initiative. This finding has important policy implications. By the very requirements of the HIPC Initiative, these countries are expected to increase significantly their poverty-reducing expenditure-possibly resulting in weaker fiscal primary balances and worsening debt sustainability outlook. As offsetting fiscal tightening may not be viable, ensuring debt sustainability may thus require increased availability of (nondebt-creating) grants. Otherwise, debt sustainability in HIPC countries may prove elusive in the long term.
Keywords:
WP; exchange rate; Debt sustainability; HIPC Initiative; concessional financing; GDP ratio; HIPC completion point; sustainability threshold; debt level; debt ratio; debt-sustainability target; debt problem; creating flow; Fiscal stance; Exchange rate adjustments; Sub-Saharan Africa