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Africa > Uganda

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Cover Departmental Papers
A Rebalancing Act for China and Africa: The Effects of China’s Rebalancing on Sub-Saharan Africa’s Trade and Growth
Mr. Roger Nord
and
Ms. Wenjie Chen
How does China’s new growth model affect sub-Saharan Africa? To address this question, this paper first looks at the growing ties between China and Africa; attempts to estimate more precisely the impact on growth through the trade channel; and finally draws some policy implications regarding whether this means an end of the Africa Rising narrative or merely the beginning of a new chapter.
Keywords:
DPPP; DP; center; China; commodity; Sub-Saharan Africa; commodity exporter; China's growth; frontier economy; investment-driven commodities exporter; growth experience; FDI flow; sub-Saharan Africa result; idiosyncratic shock; Bloomberg L.P.; commodity price system; Customs dataset; countries in sub-Saharan Africa; Exports; Commodity prices; Foreign direct investment; Direction of trade; Africa; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
Growth in Africa Under Peace and Market Reforms
Ms. Olessia Korbut
,
Mr. Gonzalo Salinas
, and
Cheikh A. Gueye
Economic stagnation in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) has led several economists to question the region’s ability to attain sustained economic growth, some of them arguing for the need to shift away from natural resource - based exports. Yet, we find that low growth has not been common to all SSA countries and that those that achieved political stability and significantly liberalized their economies experienced high growth in income per capita, as high as ASEAN-5 countries. This group of SSA countries attained high growth while maintaining their specialization in natural resource exports. Our analysis also rejects the hypothesis of reverse causality: that good growth performance allowed countries to attain political stability or liberalize their economies.
Keywords:
WP; country; liberalization; state interventionism; growth; Africa; structural adjustment; SSA country; liberalization program; SSA economy; natural resource; Natural resources; Personal income; Comparative advantage; Exports; East Asia; South Asia
Cover IMF Working Papers
Do South-South Trade Agreements Increase Trade? Commodity-Level Evidence from COMESA
Anna Maria Mayda
and
Mr. Chad Steinberg
South-South trade agreements are proliferating: Developing countries signed 70 new agreements between 1990 and 2003. Yet the impact of these agreements is largely unknown. This paper focuses on the static effects of South-South preferential trade agreements stemming from changes in trade patterns. Specifically, it estimates the impact of the Common Market for Eastern and Southern Africa (COMESA) on Uganda's imports between 1994 and 2003. Detailed import and tariff data at the 6-digit harmonized system level are used for more than 1,000 commodities. Based on a difference-in-difference estimation strategy, the paper finds that-in contrast to evidence from aggregate statistics-COMESA's preferential tariff liberalization has not considerably increased Uganda's trade with member countries, on average across sectors. The effect, however, is heterogeneous across sectors. Finally, the paper finds no evidence of trade-diversion effects.
Keywords:
WP; COMESA country; tariff rate; trade diversion; trade creation