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Africa > Uganda

You are looking at 11 - 20 of 48 items for :

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Cover IMF Working Papers
Monetary Policy in a Developing Country: Loan Applications and Real Effects
Charles Abuka
,
Ronnie K Alinda
,
Ms. Camelia Minoiu
,
José-Luis Peydró
, and
Mr. Andrea F Presbitero
The transmission of monetary policy to credit aggregates and the real economy can be impaired by weaknesses in the contracting environment, shallow financial markets, and a concentrated banking system. We empirically assess the bank lending channel in Uganda during 2010–2014 using a supervisory dataset of loan applications and granted loans. Our analysis focuses on a short period during which the policy rate rose by 1,000 basis points and then came down by 1,200 basis points. We find that an increase in interest rates reduces the supply of bank credit both on the extensive and intensive margins, and there is significant pass-through to retail lending rates. We document a strong bank balance sheet channel, as the lending behavior of banks with high capital and liquidity is different from that of banks with low capital and liquidity. Finally, we show the impact of monetary policy on real activity across districts depends on banking sector conditions. Overall, our results indicate significant real effects of the bank lending channel in developing countries.
Keywords:
WP; bank balance; Monetary policy transmission; Bank lending channel; Bank balance sheet channel; Developing countries; lending rate; demand shock; market power; bank capital; Loans; Bank credit; Credit; Financial statements; Liquidity; Sub-Saharan Africa; East Africa
Cover IMF Working Papers
Identifying Constraints to Financial Inclusion and Their Impact on GDP and Inequality: A Structural Framework for Policy
Ms. Era Dabla-Norris
,
Yan Ji
,
Robert M. Townsend
, and
Ms. Filiz D Unsal
We develop a micro-founded general equilibrium model with heterogeneous agents to identify pertinent constraints to financial inclusion. We evaluate quantitatively the policy impacts of relaxing each of these constraints separately, and in combination, on GDP and inequality. We focus on three dimensions of financial inclusion: access (determined by the size of participation costs), depth (determined by the size of collateral constraints resulting from limited commitment), and intermediation efficiency (determined by the size of interest rate spreads and default possibilities due to costly monitoring). We take the model to a firm-level data from the World Bank Enterprise Survey for six countries at varying degrees of economic development—three low-income countries (Uganda, Kenya, Mozambique), and three emerging market countries (Malaysia, the Philippines, and Egypt). The results suggest that alleviating different financial frictions have a differential impact across countries, with country-specific characteristics playing a central role in determining the linkages and tradeoffs between inclusion, GDP, inequality, and the distribution of gains and losses.
Keywords:
WP; participation cost; Gini coefficient; cost of capital; intermediation cost; Financial inclusion; inequality; income distribution; hetergenous agents; optimal contract; credit regime; lending interest rate; Self-employment; Credit; Income inequality; Collateral
Cover IMF Working Papers
Determinants of Bank Interest Margins in Sub-Saharan Africa
Mr. Calixte Ahokpossi
Financial intermediation is low in sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) compared to other regions of the world. This paper examines the determinants of bank interest margins using a sample of 456 banks in 41 SSA countries. The results show that market concentration is positively associated with interest margins, but the impact depends on the level of efficiency of each bank. In particular, compared to inefficient banks, efficient ones increase their margins more in concentrated markets. This indicates that policies that promote competition and reduce market concentration would help lower interest margins in SSA. The results also show that bank-specific factors such as credit risk, liquidity risk, and bank equity are important determinants of interest margins. Finally, interest margins are sensitive to inflation, but not to economic growth or public or foreign ownership. There are regional differences within SSA regarding the level of interest margins even after controlling for other factors.
Keywords:
WP; center; bank; interest margin; Banks interest margins; commercial banks; bank margin; bank inefficiency; bank activity; bank data; bank size; bank characteristic; bank behavior; Credit risk; Liquidity risk; State-owned banks; Foreign banks; Sub-Saharan Africa; East Africa; West Africa; Southern Africa
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Uganda: Fifth Review Under The Policy Support Instrument And Request For Program Extension: Staff Report; Press Release on the Executive Board Discussion; and Statement by the Executive Director for Uganda
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Uganda has benefited from international reserve accumulation. The fiscal stance is tighter mainly owing to delays in execution of a large hydropower project. A suspension of budget support owing to theft of donor funds has curtailed spending plans and hurt growth prospects. The authorities have acknowledged the damage from corruption and responded to the concerns of development partners. Tight policies have led to the achievement of program targets. Sound macroeconomic policies need to be accompanied by reinforced efforts to fight corruption.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; authority; increase transparency; monetary policy; fiscal policy; management; disinflationary effort; government finances; core inflation; budget support; authorities' fiscal policy; Budget planning and preparation; Inflation; Commercial banks; Oil; gas and mining taxes; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Uganda: Third Review Under the Policy Support Instrument, Request for Waiver of Nonobservance of an Assessment Criterion, and Request for Modification of Assessment Criteria: Staff Report; Press Release on the Executive Board Discussion; and Statement by the Executive Director for Uganda
International Monetary Fund
This paper presents key findings of the Third Review for Uganda under the policy support instrument. Monetary policy has been tightened significantly to reduce core inflation, supported by a contractionary fiscal stance. All but one of the seven quantitative assessment criteria were met at end-June; most structural benchmarks were met, although several with delay. Tighter monetary and fiscal policies in the near term aim to reduce inflation rapidly, while medium-term policies strive to create fiscal space to support stepped-up public infrastructure investment.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; disinflation effort; monetary policy; authority; fiscal policy; EAC partner state; IMF's framework; government finances; macroeconomic fundamentals; safeguards policy; X. exchange rate arrangement; credit growth; Inflation; Budget planning and preparation; Arrears; Commercial banks; Financial Sector Assessment Program; Global
Cover Policy Papers
Enhancing Financial Sector Surveillance in Low-Income Countries - Case Studies
International Monetary Fund
This supplement presents ten case studies, which highlight the roles of targeted policies to facilitate sustainable financial deepening in a variety of country circumstances, reflecting historical experiences that parallel a range of markets in LICs. The case studies were selected to broadly capture efforts by countries to increase reach (e.g., financial inclusion), depth (e.g., financial intermediation), and breadth of financial systems (e.g., capital market, cross-border development). The analysis in the case studies highlights the importance of a balanced approach to financial deepening. A stable macroeconomic environment is vital to instill consumer, institutional, and investor confidence necessary to encourage financial market activity. Targeted public policy initiatives (e.g., collateral, payment systems development) can be helpful in removing impediments and creating infrastructure for improved market operations, while ensuring appropriate oversight and regulation of financial markets, to address potential sources of instability and market failures. 
Keywords:
PP; FX market; central bank; interest rate; banking sector; foreign currency; financial market; government bond; exchange rate; Securities markets; Commercial banks; Insurance; Government securities; Baltics; Africa; Global; West Africa; Caribbean
Cover IMF Working Papers
Capital Market Integration: Progress Ahead of the East African Community Monetary Union
Mr. Masafumi Yabara
Capital markets in the East African Community (EAC) face common challenges of low capitalization and liquidity, but to different degrees. EAC member countries have made noticeable progress in developing domestic capital markets through a regional approach, removing constraints on capital transactions and harmonizing market infrastructure. Nevertheless, empirical analysis suggests capital market integration has not deepened during the past few years in the EAC, although convergence of investment returns is taking place to some extent. Learning from the experience of the West African Economic and Monetary Union and the Association of Southeast Asian Nations, EAC countries would benefit from four actions to accelerate financial market integration: (i) further harmonize market infrastructure; (ii) strengthen regional surveillance mechanisms; (iii) encourage local currency bond issuance by multilateral financial institutions; and (iv) build the capacity of the existing regional institutions.
Keywords:
WP; EAC treasury bill market; market infrastructure; EAC capital market integration; EAC treasury bond bond market; EAC debt markets; East African Community; regional integration; monetary union; capital market; equity; stock; debt; bond; beta convergence; sigma convergence; cointegration; EAC Treasury Bill; EAC capital markets; Stock markets; Securities markets; Capital markets; Capital market integration; Treasury bills and bonds; Sub-Saharan Africa; West Africa; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
Assessing Bank Competition within the East African Community
Sarah Sanya
and
Matthew Gaertner
This paper is an empirical analysis of competitiveness in the banking system of four out of the five East African Community (EAC) countries2. The results show that the degree of competition is low due to a combination of structural and socio-economic factors. By way of preview, the analysis ranks the countries in terms of banking sector competitiveness in the following order: Kenya, Tanzania, Uganda and Rwanda.
Keywords:
WP; return on assets; concentration ratio; EAC country; bank competition; East African Community; Competition; Banking; Financial sector; H-statistic; Lerner Index; bank regulation; bank performance indicator; EAC banking systems; bank freedom; banks output; Commercial banks; Foreign banks; Credit; Africa
Cover Departmental Papers
The Global Financial Crisis and Adjustment to Shocks in Kenya, Tanzania, and Uganda: A Balance Sheet Analysis Perspective
Ms. Iyabo Masha
This paper analyzes the impact of the global financial crisis on the banking systems in Kenya, Tanzania, and Uganda, and their responses to it, using information from banking system balance sheets. The paper undertakes two distinct analyses. In the first analysis, the focus is on the trend in intersectoral balances and positions in the long run, using annual data for 2001–08. The second analysis uses monthly data for December 2007–May 2009 to determine how intersectoral balance sheets adjusted in the short run to sudden changes in the economic environment during the recent global financial crisis.
Keywords:
DPPP; DP; foreign currency; share; securities; loan; currency; accounts receivable; net po; Intersectoral asset; net foreign currency position; foreign currency position; positions of Kenya; forex liability; Kenyan shilling; Currencies; Financial derivatives; Loans; Foreign currency exposure; Global
Cover Policy Papers
Heavily Indebted Poor Countries (HIPC) Initiative and Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative (MDRI) - Status of Implementation
International Monetary Fund
This report provides an update on the status of implementation, impact and costs of the enhanced Heavily Indebted Poor Country (HIPC) Initiative and the Multilateral Debt Relief Initiative (MDRI) since mid-2006. It also discusses the status of creditor participation in both initiatives and the issue of litigation of commercial creditors against HIPCs.
Keywords:
PP; NPV terms; completion point; MDRI debt relief; enhanced HIPC Initiative; debt service; post-completion-point HIPCs; Debt relief; Debt service; Exports; Stocks; Debt sustainability; Africa