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Europe > Ukraine

You are looking at 1 - 10 of 119 items for :

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Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Togo: Demande d’un accord de 42 mois au titre de la facilité élargie de crédit-communiqué de presse; rapport des services du FMI; analyse de viabilité de la dette; annexe d’information; déclaration de l’administrateur pour le Togo
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Bien que sa croissance ait bien résisté aux chocs ces dernières années, le Togo fait face à un niveau élevé d’insécurité alimentaire et d’attaques terroristes, et ses besoins en matière de développement demeurent considérables. Les déficits budgétaires et la dette ont augmenté, ce qui a eu pour effet d’annuler la baisse de l’endettement obtenue au cours de la période de l’accord FEC de 2017–20, de réduire la marge de manoeuvre budgétaire et les réserves permettant d’absorber les chocs, et de contribuer aux vulnérabilités au sein de l’Union économique et monétaire ouestafricaine (UEMOA). Deux banques sous-capitalisées, l’une publique et l’autre récemment privatisée, font peser des risques sur la stabilité du secteur financier et sur les finances publiques. Les autorités sollicitent un soutien financier de 200 % de la quote-part du Togo (293,60 millions de DTS) dans le cadre d’un accord au titre de la FEC d’une durée de 42 mois.
Keywords:
Objectif du programme ECF; Le Fonds; Accord ECF; Programme ECF; un soutien financier; fonction gouvernementale; la viabilité de la dette; Banques commerciales; Global; Afrique occidentale.
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Togo: Request for a 42-Month Arrangement Under the Extended Credit Facility-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Togo
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
This paper discusses Togo’s Request for a 42-Month Arrangement under the Extended Credit Facility (ECF). Togo continues to face headwinds, following a series of shocks in recent years. The ECF-arrangement will help accelerate poverty reduction, maintain macroeconomic stability, and catalyze further external financing, benefitting Togo and thereby contributing to the macroeconomic and external stability in the West African Economic and Monetary Union (WAEMU). The authorities will strengthen debt sustainability through a large fiscal consolidation in line with a dual fiscal anchor. By providing and catalyzing concessional financing for budget purposes, the program will help ease trade-offs between enhancing inclusion through higher social spending and strengthening debt sustainability. It will also help maintain macroeconomic and external stability in the WAEMU. In order to support growth and limit fiscal and financial sector risks, the authorities will strengthen public financial management, improve the business environment, and ensure the reform of the remaining state-owned bank that was not completed under preceding programs.
Keywords:
ECF program objective; The Fund; ECF arrangement; ECF program; financial support; government function; Debt sustainability; Commercial banks; Global; West Africa
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Ukraine: Third Review of the Extended Arrangement Under the Extended Fund Facility, Requests for a Waiver of Nonobservance of Performance Criterion, and Modifications of Performance Criteria-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Ukraine
International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
This paper presents Ukraine’s Third Review of the Extended Arrangement under the Extended Fund Facility (EFF), Requests for a Waiver of Nonobservance of Performance Criterion, and Modifications of Performance Criteria. The EFF continues to provide a strong anchor for the authorities’ economic program, which has remained on track despite extremely challenging circumstances due to Russia’s ongoing war in Ukraine. The authorities also met all structural benchmarks through end-February, underscoring their continuing commitment to an ambitious reform agenda. The Board approved the authorities’ request for a waiver for nonobservance of the December performance criterion on tax revenues, which was missed by a minor amount. The ongoing war continues to strain Ukraine’s public finances. External disbursements on appropriate concessional terms, together with strong domestic resource mobilization are necessary for Ukraine to meet its financing needs and secure fiscal and debt sustainability. Stronger revenue mobilization, underpinned by the recently approved National Revenue Strategy, while avoiding measures that erode the tax base, will be critical to secure fiscal sustainability.
Keywords:
budget financing needs; support program; General government finance; FX cash market stability support; baseline financing gap; inflation moderate; budget support grant; SOE state ownership Policy; Budget planning and preparation; Fiscal risks; International reserves; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
St. Lucia: 2023 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; and Staff Report
International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
The 2023 Article IV Consultation highlights that St. Lucia’s tourist-dependent economy has rebounded strongly after the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic and the commodity import price shock due to Russia’s war in Ukraine. Output is currently near the pre-pandemic level, while higher government revenue has narrowed the fiscal deficit. The gross domestic product growth projection in 2023, at 3.2 percent, is lower than 2022 as tourism demand continues the recovery and the economy approaches the existing production capacity. Afterward, it is projected to gradually decline toward a potential rate of 1.5 percent in the medium-term. With output approaching full recovery, the priority is to start rebuilding fiscal and financial buffers and place public debt on a solid downward trend, anchored on the regional debt ceiling, through growth-friendly fiscal consolidation and fiscal rules. In the banking sector, it is important to reach full compliance with the regional central bank’s provisioning requirements. The momentum of reforms to address disincentives to bank lending should be maintained by passing legislation to expedite loan collateral appropriation. Draft legislation to strengthen the regulation and supervision of credit unions should be passed, and the planned asset quality review carried forward.
Keywords:
CARTAC TA; St. Lucia economy; CARTAC country; full employment; investment portfolio; Credit bureaus; Credit; External sector statistics; Global; Caribbean
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Kyrgyz Republic: 2023 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Kyrgyz Republic
International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
The 2023 Article IV Consultation highlights that the Kyrgyz economy grew strongly in 2023, led by construction and trade, despite the challenging regional environment. Tax revenue mobilization improved, and public debt declined. Headline inflation fell from 14.7 percent in December 2022 to 7.3 percent in December 2023, supported by a marked reduction in food and fuel inflation, but demand pressures have kept core inflation elevated. The official current account deficit has remained significant due to the decline in net remittance inflows, lower gold exports, and unrecorded re-exports. Output is expected to grow at its potential rate of 4 percent in the medium term, inflation decline to mid-single digits, and public debt remain contained. Current favorable macroeconomic conditions present a window of opportunity to strengthen the policy framework and raise growth prospects through structural reforms. The priorities are strengthening governance, including management and privatization of state-owned enterprises, enhancing competition, reforming the electricity sector, and strengthening social safety nets.
Keywords:
staff appraisal; Kyrgyz authorities; policy recommendation; January monetary policy meeting; headline inflation; Debt sustainability analysis; Government finance statistics; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Republic of Kazakhstan: Financial Sector Assessment Program-Detailed Assessment of Observance of the Basel Core Principles for Effective Banking Supervision
International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
This paper presents Detailed Assessment of Observance of the Basel Core Principles for Effective Banking Supervision for the Republic of Kazakhstan Financial Sector Assessment Program. Along with the financial stability mandate, the Agency of the Republic of Kazakhstan for the Regulation and Development of the Financial Market (ARDFM) pursues a development objective, including by supporting the expansion of banks’ loans portfolio, which can conflict with the safety and soundness of banks and the banking system, and it is not subordinate to it. ARDFM began its activities during the coronavirus pandemic. Banks’ asset quality, while improving, remains a source of concern. However, supervisory discretion is constrained as the law enables the ARDFM to exert its motivated judgment. The ARDFM should perform a more intrusive oversight of related party transactions, including onsite reviews. In addition, the authorities should take more stringent corrective measures vis-à-vis gaps in banks’ related party framework and practices.
Keywords:
regulator's independence; prudential mandate; risk-based supervision; consolidated supervision; related parties; NPL definition; interest rate risk; AML/CFT; IMF-World Bank Financial Sector Assessment Program; Kazakhstan tenge; due diligence; adequacy ASSESSMENT process; staff team of the International Monetary Fund; banking group; risk weight assets; Internal controls; Stress testing; Credit risk; Market risk; Operational risk; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Malta: 2023 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Malta
International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
The 2023 Article IV Consultation highlights that Malta has experienced an impressive recovery from the pandemic and demonstrated resilience to shocks resulting from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine. The challenge for the medium term is to ensure a robust policy framework to foster strong, socially- and environmentally-sustainable, and inclusive growth. Risks to the outlook are tilted to the downside in part due to spillover effects from a possible escalation of Russia’s war in Ukraine or of the Israel–Gaza conflict, as well as a deeper-than-expected economic downturn in Europe. Domestically, wage and inflationary pressures could be higher and more persistent. On the upside, lower-than-expected commodity prices would help decelerate inflation, ease fiscal pressures, and boost growth. Key priorities include containing demand pressures by accelerating fiscal consolidation, exiting gradually from the current fixed energy price policy while protecting vulnerable groups, maintaining financial stability, and boosting structural reform efforts. Boosting productivity will be imperative to achieve strong, socially-and environmentally sustainable, and inclusive growth.
Keywords:
IMF staff calculation; government energy policy; SDDS preparation; lower-than-expected commodity price; anti-corruption framework; Energy prices; Inflation; External sector statistics; Global; Europe
Cover Technical Notes and Manuals
Resolving Opaque Bank Ownership and Related-Party Exposures
Edda R Karlsdóttir
,
Rachid Awad
,
Ender Emre
,
Alessandro Gullo
,
Aldona Jociene
, and
Constant Verkoren
This note intends to provide advice to bank supervision and resolution authorities and policymakers seeking to deal with opaque bank ownership or significant overhang of related-party exposures.
Keywords:
bank Ownership structures; bank Ownership transparency; IMF Library; bank owner; related-party transaction; Basel Core Principles; Anti-money laundering and combating the financing of terrorism (AML/CFT); Bank resolution; State-owned banks; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Greece: 2023 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Greece
International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
The 2023 Article IV Consultation highlights that Greece’s economic outlook has improved notably. Growth-friendly fiscal consolidation can further strengthen public debt sustainability while supporting inclusive and green growth. Further tightening in the near term and maintaining a primary surplus in the medium term would help further strengthen public debt sustainability while limiting additional pressure on inflation. The resilience of the financial system should be further strengthened in an environment of higher-for-longer interest rates. The monitoring and management of risks associated with interest rates, liquidity and funding, and credit exposures should be further strengthened. Comprehensive reforms to address structural supply impediments would lift medium-term growth prospects amid a negative demographic outlook. Continued reforms in digitalizing public administration and tackling barriers to more competition would unlock higher private investment and improve productivity. Expeditious implementation of the National Recovery and Resilience Plan would help raise productivity by supporting the green and digital transition, and reskilling and upskilling the labor force. Rationalizing regulations would improve business dynamism and resource allocation. Continued reforms in digitalizing public administration and tackling barriers to more competition would unlock higher private investment and improve productivity.
Keywords:
IMF quota; transparency policy; potential GDP; headline inflation; core inflation; climate change adaptation; SDR million; government payment process; household resilience; higher-for-longer interest rates; currency of Greece; money market rate; liability positions vis-à-vis nonresident; bank profit; goods trade balance statistics; Inflation; Loans; Income; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
The Gambia: 2023 Article IV Consultation and Request for an Arrangement Under the Extended Credit Facility-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for The Gambia
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
This paper presents the 2023 Article IV consultation and Request for an Arrangement under the Extended Credit Facility (ECF) with The Gambia. The ECF-supported program aims to strengthen economic recovery, tackle inflation, address foreign exchange pressures, reduce debt vulnerabilities, advance structural reforms, and foster strong and inclusive growth. The Article IV policy consultation focused on drivers of inflation, macroeconomic implications of the gender gap, climate-related risks and policies, debt sustainability, and external stability. In view of lingering vulnerabilities, including the upcoming expiration of debt service deferrals, it would be important to build fiscal and external buffers. The authorities are encouraged to persevere in their ambitious structural reform agenda, including on enhancing governance and improving the business environment to support private sector-led growth and poverty reduction. Adopting strong climate-related policies and tackling gender inequality would also support more resilient and inclusive growth.
Keywords:
ECF arrangement; TA mission; reform agenda; liability positions vis-à-vis nonresident; IIP source data; foreign exchange pressure; arrangement Extended Credit Facility; article IV policy consultation; Budget planning and preparation; Global; Middle East; Africa; West Africa