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Europe > Ukraine

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Cover IMF Working Papers
A Market for Brown Assets To Make Finance Green
Mr. Domenico Fanizza
and
Laura Cerami
This paper proposes a market solution to enhance the role of the financial sector in the green transition. Developing a secondary market for “brown exposures” can allow banks to dispose more quickly of stranded assets thereby increasing their capacity to finance green investments. Furthermore, newly created instruments – the brown assets backed securities (B-ABS) - can expand the diversification opportunities for specialized green investors and, thus, attract additional resources for new green investments. The experience of the secondary market for non-performing loans suggests that targeted policy and regulatory measures can simultaneously support the development of the secondary market for brown assets and green finance.
Keywords:
Green finance; financial innovation; greenium; financial sector; climate change; market solution; experience of the secondary market; green transition; policy simulation; Climate finance; Nonperforming loans; Securities markets; Climate policy; Global; Europe
Cover Global Financial Stability Report, October 2022
Global Financial Stability Report, October 2022
Navigating the High-Inflation Environment
International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department

Abstract

Global financial stability risks have increased amid a series of cascading shocks. Chapter 1 analyzes the policy response of central banks to high inflation, the risks of a disorderly tightening of financial conditions, and debt distress among emerging and frontier markets. Markets have been extremely volatile, and a deterioration in market liquidity appears to have amplified price moves. In Europe, the energy crisis is contributing to a worsening outlook. In China, the property sector remains a key source of vulnerability. Chapter 2 examines how to narrow the climate financing gap in emerging market and developing economies. Climate policies, including carbon pricing, climate disclosures, and transition taxonomies, are crucial for enabling private climate finance. Innovative financial instruments can help to scale up private climate finance, but the public sector—including multilateral development banks—will have to play a key supporting role. Chapter 3 analyzes the contributions of open-end investment funds to fragilities in asset markets. Open-end investment funds play a key role in financial markets, but those offering daily redemptions while holding illiquid assets can amplify the effects of adverse shocks by raising the likelihood of investor runs and asset fire sales. This contributes to volatility in asset markets and potentially threatens financial stability.

Keywords:
frontier markets; debt distress; bond issuance; term premia; financing costs; portfolio flows; foreign reserves; macro uncertainty; European energy crisis; TPI; Transmission Protection Instrument; central banks; Growth-at-risk; market liquidity; dollar strength; rising interest rates; financial conditions; fragmentation; inflation; China property sector; China spillovers; market structure; corporate defaults; leveraged finance; house prices; stagflation; global bank stress test; monetary policy; emerging markets; developing economies; sustainable finance; green finance; climate finance; transition finance; taxonomies; fossil fuel investments; fossil fuel expansion; ESG scores; ESG funds; blended finance; structured finance; sovereign sustainable bonds; IMF Resilience and Sustainability Trust; carbon markets; Paris Agreement Article 6; climate information architecture; climate disclosures; climate data; multilateral development banks; climate change mitigation; climate change adaptation; climate ambition gap; transition plans; green bonds; sustainability-linked bonds; financial stability; liquidity mismatch; open-end investment funds; nonbank financial intermediation; asset management; fragility; liquidity; asset prices; asset price fragility; market stress; dash for cash; volatility; COVID-19 market turmoil; bond funds; corporate bonds; emerging markets; spillovers; fire sales; selling pressure; runs on funds; first mover advantage; strategic complementarities; redemptions; herding; monetary policy tightening; monetary policy uncertainty; liquidity management; antidilution levies; swing pricing; swing factors; cash buffers; developing economy; asset return volatility; ESG score; debt issuance; Emerging and frontier financial markets; Securities markets; Global; Asia and Pacific; Central and Eastern Europe; Middle East; Caribbean
Cover Global Financial Stability Notes
Drivers of Emerging Market Bond Flows and Prices
Mr. Evan Papageorgiou
and
Rohit Goel
An interesting disconnect has taken shape between local currency- and hard currency-denominated bonds in emerging markets with respect to their portfolio flows and prices since the start of the recovery from the COVID-19 pandemic. Emerging market assets have recovered sharply from the COVID-19 sell-off in 2020, but the post-pandemic recovery in 2021 has been highly uneven. This note seeks to answer why. Yields of local currency-denominated bonds have risen faster and are approaching their pandemic highs, while hard currency bond yields are still near their post-pandemic lows. Portfolio flows to local currency debt have similarly lagged flows to hard currency bonds. This disconnect is closely linked to the external environment and fiscal and inflationary pressures. Its evolution remains a key consideration for policymakers and investors, since local markets are the main source of funding for emerging markets. This note draws from the methodology developed in earlier Global Financial Stability Reports on fundamentals-based asset valuation models for funding costs and forecasting models for capital flows (using the at-risk framework). The results are consistent across models, indicating that local currency assets are significantly more sensitive to domestic fundamentals while hard currency assets are dependent on the external risk sentiment to a greater extent. This suggests that the post-pandemic, stressed domestic fundamentals have weighed on local currency bonds, partially offsetting the boost from supportive global risk sentiment. The analysis also highlights the risks emerging markets face from an asynchronous recovery and weak domestic fundamentals.
Keywords:
emerging markets, bonds, COVID-19, at-risk framework; bond flow; hard currency assets; portfolio flow; emerging market assets; hard currency-denominated bond; hard currency bond; Emerging and frontier financial markets; Currencies; Bonds; Securities markets; Capital flows; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Ukraine: Technical Assistance Report-Regulation of Market Abuse and Issuer Disclosure Requirements
International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
This Technical Assistance report examines regulation of market abuse and issuer disclosure requirements in Ukraine. The Ukrainian regulatory framework for market abuse and issuer disclosure requirements has significant gaps, whose impact is compounded by the National Securities and Stock Market Commission’s (NSSMC) lack of sufficient supervisory, investigative, and enforcement powers. This has contributed to overall lack of transparency and widespread misconduct in the market, including through issuance and trading of “fictitious” securities. To address the current challenges, the Ukrainian legislation needs to be aligned with the international standards to provide the NSSMC with sufficient means to require enhanced disclosures and combat market abuse.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; IOSCO principle; Eu legislation; NSSMC regulation; draft legislation; MAR law; insider dealing; Securities; Securities markets; Securities regulation; Stock markets
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Ukraine: Technical Assistance Report-Self-Funding of the National Securities and Stock Market Commission
International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
This paper discusses the self-funding model of the National Securities and Stock Market Commission (NSSMC) in Ukraine. There are a number of challenges with NSSMC’s funding and the constraints placed on it through the Ukrainian government budget process. The analysis conducted by the NSSMC and reviewed by the mission confirms the general benefits of moving to a self-funding model for the NSSMC. The legislative measures should be complemented by improvements in the NSSMC systems and processes. Self-funding of securities and other financial services regulators is increasingly becoming the international norm. The trend to self-funding is even more pronounced within Europe.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; fee revenue; supervision fee; market participant; fee payer; fee regime; NSSMC estimate; Budget planning and preparation; Securities markets; Securities; Personal income; Minimum wages; Europe
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Ukraine: Technical Assistance Report - Enhancing the Powers and Independence of the National Securities and Stock Market Commission
International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
This Technical Assistance Report discusses measures to enhance the powers and independence of the National Securities and Stock Market Commission (NSSMC) in Ukraine. The NSSMC faces significant challenges in its role as the regulator of the Ukrainian securities market. Market activity has been shrinking over the past few years, but misconduct—such as issuance and trading of “fictitious” securities—prevails. Key changes needed relate to enhancing the NSSMC’s ability to conduct investigations of and demand information from any legal or natural person, have access to information otherwise restricted by secrecy laws, assist foreign authorities even without an apparent violation of the Ukrainian securities laws, and maintain the confidentiality of information exchanged under the Multilateral Memorandum of Understanding.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; IOSCO principle; NSSMC chairman; enforcement activity; independence law; NSSMC's funding; use of resource; Budget planning and preparation; Securities markets; Legal support in revenue administration; Securities regulation; Securities
Cover Policy Papers
The Fund's Lending Framework and Sovereign Debt-Further Considerations
International Monetary Fund
In discussing the June 2014 paper, Executive Directors broadly supported staff’s proposal to introduce more flexibility into the Fund’s exceptional access framework to reduce unnecessary costs for the member, its creditors, and the overall system. Directors’ views varied on staff’s proposal to eliminate the systemic exemption introduced in 2010. Many Directors favored removing the exemption but some others preferred to retain it and requested staff to consult further with relevant stakeholders on possible approaches to managing contagion. This paper offers specific proposals on how the Fund’s policy framework could be changed, presents staff’s analysis on the specific issue of managing contagion, and addresses some implementation issues. No Board decision is proposed at this stage. The paper is consistent with the Executive Board’s May 2013 endorsement of a work program focused on strengthening market-based approaches to resolving sovereign debt crises.
Keywords:
PP; fund's lending framework; lending; further consideration; annex; framework; financing commitment; Market access criterion; debt restructuring; prospects lie; Debt restructuring; Debt sustainability; Spillovers; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
Financial Development in Emerging Europe: The Unfinished Agenda
Ms. Edda Zoli
This paper assesses the status of financial development in Emerging Europe, analyzes the factors that have shaped it, and discusses policy priorities. Financial development has progressed to varying degrees across the region. Macroeconomic stability and institutional quality have been important factors. Going forward, the EU integration process is likely to propel further reforms and shape financial development in EU members. In non-EU emerging economies the focus should be on maintaining macroeconomic stability and strengthening law enforceability. Creating a well-functioning government securities market, reinforcing corporate governance and creditor rights protection, and promoting the emergence of institutional investors would be beneficial.
Keywords:
WP; yield curve; market; liberalization; institutional investor
Cover Policy Papers
Assessing the Determinants and Prospects for the Pace of Market Access by Countries Emerging from Crisis - Further Considerations
International Monetary Fund
This paper essentially confirms the main findings of the paper previously discussed by the Board. It (i) discusses the external conditions and the domestic economic policy stance needed for a country to reaccess international Capital markets and (2) describes other considerations to reaccess markets, including a communications strategy and the design of debt instruments to regain market access.
Keywords:
PP; market access; market participant; debt instrument; risk appetite; global bond; target investor; international capital markets; debt restructuring; International capital markets; Bonds; Securities; Debt restructuring; Global
Cover IMF Survey
IMF Survey: Volume 29, Issue 18
International Monetary Fund. External Relations Dept.
The Web edition of the IMF Survey is updated several times a week, and contains a wealth of articles about topical policy and economic issues in the news. Access the latest IMF research, read interviews, and listen to podcasts given by top IMF economists on important issues in the global economy. www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/survey/so/home.aspx
Keywords:
SV; IMF approval; IMF's website; poverty reduction strategy paper; core mandate; IMF staff country; Health care; Poverty reduction strategy; Emerging and frontier financial markets; International capital markets; Global; Baltics; East Asia; IMF publication service; Caribbean