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Asia and Pacific > Thailand

You are looking at 1 - 10 of 37 items for :

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  • Pension Funds; Non-bank Financial Institutions; Financial Instruments; Institutional Investors x
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Cover IMF Working Papers
Capital Flow Data – A Guide for Empirical Analysis and Real-time Tracking
Mr. Robin Koepke
and
Simon Paetzold
This paper provides an analytical overview of the most widely used capital flow datasets. The paper is written as a guide for academics who embark on empirical research projects and for policymakers who need timely information on capital flow developments to inform their decisions. We address common misconceptions about capital flow data and discuss differences between high-frequency proxies for portfolio flows. In a nowcasting “horse race” we show that high-frequency proxies have significant predictive content for portfolio flows from the balance of payments (BoP). We also construct a new dataset for academic use, consisting of monthly portfolio flows broadly consistent with BoP data.
Keywords:
WP; flow data; portfolio flow; debt flow; flow proxy; IMF balance of payments statistic; portfolio flows; fund flows; balance of payments; coincident indicators; IIF data; IMF balance of payments data; Capital flows; Stocks; Balance of payments statistics; Flow of funds; Emerging and frontier financial markets; Africa; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Thailand: Financial Sector Assessment Program-Technical Note-Risk Assessment
International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
This technical note on the risk assessment for Thailand discusses that the Thai banking system shows a substantial resilience to severe shocks. The solvency stress tests indicate that the largest banks can withstand an adverse scenario broadly as severe as the Asian financial crisis. While three banks would deplete their capital conservation buffer (CCB) under the adverse scenario, recapitalization needs would be minimal. A battery of complementary sensitivity stress tests, which allows to cover in more detail certain risk factors, also confirmed the overall picture of a resilient baking system: no particular vulnerability emerged from the analysis of the bond portfolio to an increase in government and corporate spreads, exposure to foreign exchange risk, and concentration risk in the loan portfolio, with the possible exception of one entity with a particular concentration on single-name exposures. The liquidity stress test on investment funds (IFs) showed that they would be able to withstand a severe redemption shock and its impact on the banks and the bond market would be limited.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; investment funds; central bank; fund family; liquid asset; fixed income; interest rate; mutual fund; banking sector; foreign exchange; sensitivity analysis; Stress testing; Mutual funds; Commercial banks; Currencies; Liquidity requirements; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Thailand: Financial Sector Assessment Program-Detailed Assessment of Observance-Insurance Core Principles
International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
This Detailed Assessment of Observance on Insurance Core Principles on Thailand discusses that the government of Thailand has made a concerted effort to develop the insurance sector. The government has implemented a series of insurance development plans toward this end. Some significant regulatory and supervisory challenges remain, however, if Thailand is to continue to meet the pressures of a changing market and to continue to build the trust on which future growth depends. Consideration should be given to vesting more supervisory authority for key supervisory decisions with the Commission rather than with the Minister and Cabinet. Vesting authority with the Commission will help to ensure that the insurance supervisor has adequate powers to meet the objectives of insurance supervision. With respect to winding up and exit from the market, the insurance legislation should be amended to clearly establish a point at which it is no longer permissible for a troubled insurer to continue in business.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; risk management; state enterprise; corporate governance; insurance coverage; steering committee; board of directors; interest rate; risk assessment; credit risk; senior management; limited company; risk capital; independent auditor; cash flow; preference shares; Insurance companies; Insurance; Internal controls; Capital adequacy requirements; Auditing; Global
Cover Coordinated Portfolio Investment Survey Guide (Third Edition)
Coordinated Portfolio Investment Survey Guide (Third Edition)
Venkat Josyula

Abstract

This third edition of the Coordinated Portfolio Investment Survey Guide has been prepared to assist economies that participate or are preparing to participate in the Coordinated Portfolio Investment Survey (CPIS). It builds on and updates the second edition of the CPIS Guide (2002) to reflect the adoption of the Balance of Payments and International Investment Position Manual, sixth edition (BPM6) as the standard framework for compiling cross-border position statistics.

Keywords:
M&G; portfolio investment data collection system; investment; CPIS data template; survey questionnaire; investment survey; CPIS metadata questionnaire; Securities; Portfolio investment; Stocks; Foreign direct investment; Bonds; Global; Caribbean; CPIS data; securities holding; portfolio investment liability; liability position; CPIS Task Force; portfolio investment securities; Business enterprises
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Thailand: Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
This Selected Issues paper examines the impact of key structural fiscal reforms on growth and other macro variables in Thailand. The study simulates the impact of: a public infrastructure push; labor market policies, including an increase in the pensionable age and in provision of childcare services; and a change in the composition of taxes from income taxes to value added tax to shed light on the desired composition of additional taxes to be levied in the longer term. The results indicate that structural reforms enabling higher infrastructure investment, stronger labor participation, and more efficient taxation can raise growth significantly and contribute to addressing domestic and external imbalances.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; financial condition; ASEAN economy; rule; loan; portfolio investment; monetary policy transmission mechanism; retirement age; inflation objective; infrastructure investment; Financial integration; Macroprudential policy; Macroprudential policy instruments; Financial sector stability; Regional integration; Global; Asia and Pacific
Cover IMF Working Papers
Spillovers from Japan’s Unconventional Monetary Policy to Emerging Asia: a Global VAR approach
Mr. Giovanni Ganelli
and
Nour Tawk
We use a Global VAR model to study spillovers from the Bank of Japan’s quantitative and qualitative easing (QQE) on emerging Asia.1 Our main result is that, despite an appreciation of their currencies vis-à-vis the yen, the impact on emerging Asia’s GDP tended to be positive and significant. Our results suggest that the positive effect of QQE on expectations, by improving confidence, more than offset any negative exchange rate spillover due to expenditure switching from domestic demand to Japanese goods. They also suggest that spillovers from QQE might have worked mainly through the impact of expectations and improved confidence, captured by increases in equity prices, rather than through balance sheet adjustments which might have been captured by movements in the monetary base.
Keywords:
WP; price; Japan; interest rate; Japan's QQE; net export; QQE; Spillovers; Emerging Asia; equity price; Japan MSCI index; currency appreciation; Japan's price competitiveness; equity price shock; Japan's quantitative easing program; QQE in Japan; stock price effect; price boom; equity price increase; Inflation; Stocks; Monetary base; Unconventional monetary policies; Exchange rates; Asia and Pacific; Global; Europe
Cover IMF Working Papers
G-20 Data Gaps Initiative II: Meeting the Policy Challenge
Mr. Robert M Heath
and
Evrim Bese Goksu
The G-20 Data Gaps Initiative (DGI), which aimed at addressing the information needs that were revealed by the 2007/2008 global financial crisis, concluded its first phase and started a second phase (DGI-2) with the endorsement of G-20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors in September 2015. The DGI-2 recommendations maintain the continuity of DGI-1 but reflecting the evolving policy needs focus more on datasets that support the monitoring of risks in the financial sector and the analysis of the inter-linkages across the economic and financial systems. The paper presents the DGI as an overarching initiative, bringing together various statistical frameworks for a complete picture of the economic and financial system to support the work of policy makers.
Keywords:
WP; economy; DGI; G20 industrial nations; market; global financial system; data gaps; financial interconnections; global financial crisis; cross-border interconnectedness; financial sector; surveillance; regulation; securities financing market; IMF CDIS; short-term debt; data standard; DGI recommendation; DGI project; IMF paper; IMF managing director's action plan; DGI framework; CDS market; market complexity; Financial sector stability; Financial statements; Government finance statistics; Commercial banks; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
The Impact of Global Liquidity on Financial Landscapes and Risks in the ASEAN-5 Countries
Tao Sun
This paper analyzes the transmission of global liquidity to the ASEAN-5 countries (ASEAN-5), including the impact on financial landscapes and risks to financial stability. It finds that global liquidity transmission and changing financial landscapes have contributed to increases in risks to financial stability in ASEAN-5. Therefore, policymakers in ASEAN-5 should prepare for possible liquidity tightening, strengthen regulation of nonbanks, and establish a comprehensive financial stability framework. A number of couontries are well-advanced in this process.
Keywords:
WP; ASEAN-5; nonbank; market; asset; global liquidity; financial landscape; financial stability; market liquidity; credit-to-GDP ratio; nonbank development; liquidity transmission; liquidity shortage; nonbanks hereafter; diminished market liquidity; asset-to-GDP ratio; International liquidity; Financial sector stability; Financial sector risk; Liquidity; Securities; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
People’s Republic of China–Hong Kong Special Administrative Region: Financial Sector Assessment Program-Insurance Core Principles-Detailed Assessment of Observance
International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
This Insurance Core Principles Detailed Assessment Report was prepared in the context of the Financial Sector Assessment Program for the People’s Republic of China–Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (HKSAR). The report describes that the insurance penetration and density in HKSAR is among the top 10 in the world. Foreign-owned insurers are dominant in the HKSAR insurance sector, and account for about 72 percent of total assets as at end-2012. The long-term insurance industry is highly concentrated, while the market share of general insurance industry is more evenly distributed. All except one of the top-10 insurance groups are all foreign owned, with much larger consolidated operations compared to their operations in HKSAR. The Insurance Authority is responsible for regulating and supervising the insurance industry of the HKSAR. It is supported by the Office of the Commissioner of Insurance, a government department in the HKSAR. A self-regulatory system is used to supervise the conduct of business of intermediaries.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; insurance intermediary; risk management; insurance business; insurance group; holding company; corporate governance; long-term insurer; reinsurance arrangement; Insurance companies; Insurance; Virtual currencies; Solvency; Anti-money laundering and combating the financing of terrorism (AML/CFT); Global; Asia and Pacific
Cover IMF Working Papers
Sudden Stops, Output Drops, and Credit Collapses
Jihad Dagher
This paper proposes a tractable Sudden Stop model to explain the main patterns in firm level data in a sample of Southeast Asian firms during the Asian crisis. The model, which features trend shocks and financial frictions, is able to generate the main patterns observed in the sample during and following the Asian crisis, including the ensuing credit-less recovery, which are also patterns broadly shared by most Sudden Stop episodes as documented in Calvo et al. (2006). The model also proposes a novel explanation as to why small firms experience steeper declines than their larger peers as documented in this paper. This size effect is generated under the assumption that small firms are growth firms, to which there is support in the data. Trend shocks when combined with financial frictions in this model also generate strong leverage effects in line with what is observed in the sample, and with other observations from the literature.
Keywords:
WP; mover accent; market value; business cycle; interest rate; transition probability; Financial liberalization; welfare gain; financial deepening; economic growth; small firm; maximization problem; productivity parameter; firm decrease; growth firm; leverage firm; Sudden stops; Financial frictions; Stocks; Business cycles; Southeast Asia