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Asia and Pacific > Thailand

You are looking at 1 - 10 of 102 items for :

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Cover Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Asia Pacific
Regional Economic Outlook, October 2018, Asia Pacific
Asia at the Forefront: Growth Challenges for the Next Decade and Beyond
International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept

Abstract

Growth in the first half of 2018 was softer than in 2017, especially in advanced economies. In contrast, growth remained robust in emerging market economies and broadly in line with expectations. After rising to 6.9 percent in 2017, growth in China continued to be strong into the first half of 2018 but has likely slowed since, given the latest high-frequency indicators, including weakening investment growth. In Japan, after exceeding potential for two years, growth dropped into negative territory in the first quarter of 2018 before rebounding sharply in the second quarter. In India, growth continues to recover steadily after the disruptions related to demonetization and the rollout of the goods and services tax in the last fiscal year.1 And in ASEAN-4 economies (Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Thailand), growth generally lost momentum in the first half of 2018, except in Thailand.

Keywords:
REO; IMF staff calculation; economy; trade; growth strategy; growth; growth slowdown; Asia's growth; growth engine; trade tension scenario; Productivity; Total factor productivity; Tariffs; Digitalization; Global financial crisis of 2008-2009; Asia and Pacific; Global
Cover The ASEAN Way
The ASEAN Way
Sustaining Growth and Stability
Ms. Ana Corbacho
and
Mr. Shanaka J Peiris

Abstract

The first part of the book examines the evolution of monetary policy and prudential frameworks of the ASEAN­5, with particular focus on changes since the Asian financial crisis and the more recent period of unconventional monetary policy in advanced economies. The second part of the book looks at policy responses to global financial spillovers. The third and last part of the book elaborates on the challenges ahead for monetary policy, financial stability frameworks, and the deepening of financial markets.

Keywords:
BOOK; monetary policy; exchange rate; economy; inflation expectation; transmission mechanism; monetary policy framework; ASEAN economy; Association of Southeast Asian Nations-5; inflation-targeting regime; Macroprudential policy; Financial sector stability; Inflation; Foreign exchange intervention; Global; Asia and Pacific; North America; Southeast Asia; Europe; countercyclical monetary policy; Global financial crisis of 2008-2009; Caribbean
Cover IMF Working Papers
Revisiting the Determinants of Capital Flows to Emerging Markets--A Survey of the Evolving Literature
Mrs. Swarnali A Hannan
This paper documents the evolution of gross and net capital flows to emerging market economies and surveys the large literature on the potential drivers. While the capital flow landscape has been shaped by the evolution of both global and country-specific factors, the relative importance of these factors has varied over time and differs depending on the type of capital flows. The findings from the survey of the literature thus underscores the importance of policies in both source and recipient countries in shaping capital flows.
Keywords:
Capital flows; emerging markets; push and pull factors; literature survey; novel high frequency portfolio-capital dataset; understanding capital control; differential vis-à-vis; capital openness; interest rate differential vis-à-vis; push factor; evolving capital flow landscape; gross capital flow; high frequency portfolio-capital dataset; capital allocation; Emerging and frontier financial markets; Capital inflows; Capital controls; Global financial crisis of 2008-2009; Global
Cover Realizing Indonesia's Economic Potential
Realizing Indonesia's Economic Potential
Mr. Luis E Breuer
,
Mr. Jaime Guajardo
, and
Mr. Tidiane Kinda

Abstract

Analytical work on Indonesian macroeconomic and financial issues, with an overarching theme on building institutions and policies for prosperity and inclusive growth. The book begins with a 20-year economic overview by former Finance Minister Chatib Basri, with subsequent chapters covering diverse sectors of the economy as well as Indonesia’s place in the global economy.

Keywords:
BOOK; Indonesia; government; economy; commodity; value-added tax; trade exposure; streamlining product market; commodity exporter; foreign currency; Exports; Global financial crisis of 2008-2009; Infrastructure; Global; Southeast Asia; Asia and Pacific; East Asia; Africa; output dynamics
Cover IMF Working Papers
G-20 Data Gaps Initiative II: Meeting the Policy Challenge
Mr. Robert M Heath
and
Evrim Bese Goksu
The G-20 Data Gaps Initiative (DGI), which aimed at addressing the information needs that were revealed by the 2007/2008 global financial crisis, concluded its first phase and started a second phase (DGI-2) with the endorsement of G-20 Finance Ministers and Central Bank Governors in September 2015. The DGI-2 recommendations maintain the continuity of DGI-1 but reflecting the evolving policy needs focus more on datasets that support the monitoring of risks in the financial sector and the analysis of the inter-linkages across the economic and financial systems. The paper presents the DGI as an overarching initiative, bringing together various statistical frameworks for a complete picture of the economic and financial system to support the work of policy makers.
Keywords:
WP; economy; DGI; G20 industrial nations; market; global financial system; data gaps; financial interconnections; global financial crisis; cross-border interconnectedness; financial sector; surveillance; regulation; securities financing market; IMF CDIS; short-term debt; data standard; DGI recommendation; DGI project; IMF paper; IMF managing director's action plan; DGI framework; CDS market; market complexity; Financial sector stability; Financial statements; Government finance statistics; Commercial banks; Global
Cover Policy Papers
The Fund's Lending Framework and Sovereign Debt-Further Considerations
International Monetary Fund
In discussing the June 2014 paper, Executive Directors broadly supported staff’s proposal to introduce more flexibility into the Fund’s exceptional access framework to reduce unnecessary costs for the member, its creditors, and the overall system. Directors’ views varied on staff’s proposal to eliminate the systemic exemption introduced in 2010. Many Directors favored removing the exemption but some others preferred to retain it and requested staff to consult further with relevant stakeholders on possible approaches to managing contagion. This paper offers specific proposals on how the Fund’s policy framework could be changed, presents staff’s analysis on the specific issue of managing contagion, and addresses some implementation issues. No Board decision is proposed at this stage. The paper is consistent with the Executive Board’s May 2013 endorsement of a work program focused on strengthening market-based approaches to resolving sovereign debt crises.
Keywords:
PP; fund's lending framework; lending; further consideration; annex; framework; financing commitment; Market access criterion; debt restructuring; prospects lie; Debt restructuring; Debt sustainability; Spillovers; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
What has Capital Liberalization Meant for Economic and Financial Statistics
Mr. Robert M Heath
The liberalization of capital flows both in the domestic economy and cross-border has been among the most important policies adopted by IMF member countries over recent decades. The impact has been wide-ranging. This paper looks at the impact on the field of economic and financial statistics in the past two decades, as statisticians have responded to the changing policy needs. The paper considers the historical context of changes that have occurred, draws out the key trends, and asks where these trends might lead statisticians in the foreseeable future. The paper considers that there has been nothing short of a revolution in the field of economic and financial statistics over the past two decades led by a need for greater transparency; greater standardization; new data sets to support understanding of financial interconnections and financial sector risks; and the strengthening of the governance of the statistical function through greater independence of statistical agencies.
Keywords:
WP; economic statistics; economy; liberalization; market; financial crisis; leading indicator; capital account liberalization; transparency; data dissmination standards; Group of Twenty; financial sector; financial interconnections; data dissemination standard; SDDS subscription; world balance of payments system; policy interest; balance of payments compiler; IMF paper; GDDS country; market reaction; SDDS requirements; IMF surveillance; a number of economy; IMF staff in consultation; Special Data Dissemination Standard (SDDS); Financial statistics; Data dissemination; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
Global Monetary Tightening: Emerging Markets Debt Dynamics and Fiscal Crises
Mr. Julio Escolano
,
Ms. Christina Kolerus
, and
Mr. Constant A Lonkeng Ngouana
This paper finds that tightening global financial conditions can worsen emerging economies’ public debt dynamics through an increasing interest rate-growth differential, particularly if coupled with high global risk aversion. Latin America and emerging Europe are the regions most likely to be adversely affected. In addition, historical evidence—analyzed by means of a Poisson count model—suggests that the frequency of sovereign debt crises increases in emerging economies at the early stage of U.S. monetary tightening cycles, at times in which the term spread also rises. The timing may be related to abrupt switches of expectations about the future course of policy in the early stages of tightening cycles.
Keywords:
WP; debt crisis; Debt dynamics; emerging markets; sovereign debt crisis; unconventional; EM interest rates; EMS Interest Rate Growth Differential; growth differential; non-resident debt; EM debt dynamics; debt fundamentals; Bond yields; Yield curve; Monetary tightening; Global; Europe
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Malaysia: Financial Sector Assessment Program Banking System Spillovers-Technical Note
International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
This Technical Note focuses on banking system spillovers of Malaysia. The note examines the presence of foreign banks and the potential for problems in other jurisdictions to spillover to Malaysia and the overseas operations of Malaysian banks, which make their performance and solvency more exposed to economic and political developments abroad. A key facet of the current crisis is serious problems in advanced economy banks, suggesting a role for spillovers from their claims on Malaysia. Notwithstanding the Asian Financial Crisis, foreign claims of BIS-reporting banks on Malaysia have generally been on an increasing trend since the early 1990s.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; bank; bank claim; Malaysia; Eurozone bank; HSBC Holdings; Malaysian bank; U.K. bank; foreign bank; bank share; Singaporean bank; exposures to Malaysia; bank exposure; bank expansion; Foreign banks; Foreign currency exposure; Commercial banks; Bank credit; Asia and Pacific; Europe; East Asia; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Malaysia: Financial Sector Assessment Program Monetary Liquidity Frameworks-Technical Note
International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
This technical note on Monetary Liquidity Frameworks on Malaysia’s inflation analyzes that it has returned to a more stable path, after some wider fluctuations before and during the global financial crisis. On the liability side, Malaysian banks’ liquidity is based largely on deposits. The increase in foreign reserves at the Central Bank is a major driver of the growth of the Bank Negara Malaysia’s balance sheet. Monetary operations with Islamic banks are carried out through specific Shariah-compliant instruments.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; BNM; exchange rate; foreign exchange; bank; securities; active use; position vis-à-vis; central bank; liquidity position; interest rate; BNM's balance sheet; liquidity framework; liquidity condition; liquidity-releasing measure; Liquidity; International reserves; Global financial crisis of 2008-2009; Excess liquidity; Open market operations; Global