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Western Hemisphere > Suriname

You are looking at 1 - 2 of 2 items for :

  • Type: Journal Issue x
  • Business Fluctuations; Cycles x
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Cover IMF Working Papers
Labor Market Issues in the Caribbean: Scope to Mobilize Employment Growth
Ms. Magda E. Kandil
,
Mrs. Genevieve M Lindow
,
Mr. Mario Mansilla
,
Mr. Joel Chiedu Okwuokei
,
Jochen M. Schmittmann
,
Qiaoe Chen
,
Xin Li
,
Marika Santoro
, and
Solomon Stavis
The paper examines the determinants of employment growth, drawing on data available across a sample of Caribbean countries. To that end, the paper analyzes estimates of the employment-output elasticity and the response of employment growth to major sources of labor market determinants, in the long and short run. The main determinants of employment include government investment and private sector credit, while the major determinants of external performance are real effective exchange rate, the price of major exporting commodities, the number of tourists, and growth in major trading partners. The paper concludes with a menu of policy recommendations and structural reforms towards sustaining high employment growth and higher living standards in the Caribbean.
Keywords:
WP; employment growth; labor market; employment-output elasticity; business cycles; Caribbean; macro policies; structural reforms; private sector; elasticity estimate; government employment program; determination flexibility; job content; Employment; Labor markets; Unemployment rate; Unemployment; Labor force; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
Does Demand Volatility Lower Growth and Raise Inflation? Evidence from the Caribbean
Ms. Magda E. Kandil
The paper investigates asymmetry in the allocation of aggregate demand shocks between real output growth and price inflation over the business cycle in a sample of fifteen Caribbean countries. In most countries, the evidence indicates the existence of structural constraints, implying that positive demand shocks feed predominantly into prices while negative demand shocks mainly affect output. The high variability of aggregate demand in Caribbean countries, frequently exposed to shocks that are exacerbated by pro-cyclical policy stance, tends to create an upward bias on inflation and a downward bias on real output growth, on average, over time. The analysis highlights the benefits of eliminating structural rigidities responsible for asymmetric real and inflationary effects and points to the dangers of procyclical macroeconomic policies that exacerbate the adverse effects of demand variability.
Keywords:
WP; price inflation; demand variability; output growth; trend inflation; energy price; price rigidity; trade balance; Demand Shocks Asymmetric Effects Contractionary and Inflationary Biases; price uncertainty; price flexibility; output contraction; price inflation to expansionary demand shocks; product price; real growth; inflation bias; expansionary demand shock; inflation to expansionary demand shocks; Inflation; Exchange rates; Production growth; Sticky prices; Exchange rate arrangements; Caribbean