Narrow Your Choices

Refine By Countries

Refine By Series

Refine By Language

Refine By Date

—

Refine By IMF Taxonomy

Refine By JEL Taxonomy

Refine by LOC Taxonomy

Refine By THEMA Taxonomy

  • Print
  • Save

Social Science > Emigration and Immigration

You are looking at 1 - 10 of 14 items for :

  • Type: Journal Issue x
Clear All Modify Search
Cover IMF Working Papers
The Macroeconomic Effects of Large Immigration Waves
Philipp Engler
,
Ms. Margaux MacDonald
,
Mr. Roberto Piazza
, and
Galen Sher
We propose a novel approach to measure the dynamic macroeconomic effects of immigration on the destination country, combining the analysis of episodes of large immigration waves with instrumental variables techniques. We distinguish the impact of immigration shocks in OECD countries from that of refugee immigration in emerging and developing economies. In OECD, large immigration waves raise domestic output and productivity in both the short and the medium term, pointing to significant dynamic gains for the host economy. We find no evidence of negative effects on aggregate employment of the native-born population. In contrast, our analysis of large refugee flows into emerging and developing countries does not find clear evidence of macroeconomic effects on the host country, a conclusion in line with a growing body of evidence that refugee immigrants are at disadvantage compared to other type of immigrants.
Keywords:
Immigration; productivity; dynamic gains; immigration wave; immigration shock; immigration episode; OECD migration flow data; migration shock; Migration; Employment; Total factor productivity; Estimation techniques; Middle East
Cover IMF Working Papers
Regional Labor Mobility in Spain
Lucy Qian Liu
This paper studies the main factors that explain the low regional mobility in Spain, with a view to identifying policy options at the regional and central level to promote labor mobility. The empirical analysis finds that house prices, labor market conditions, and the pervasiveness of labor market duality at the regional level are the main determinants for Spain’s regional mobility, while labor market institutions and policies play an important role at the national level. Policies that facilitate wage setting flexibility and reduce labor market duality could help enhance the functioning of the labor market, thereby promoting labor mobility. There may be also room for policies to incentivize people to move and provide support through targeted active labor market policies.
Keywords:
Labor mobility; interregional migration; regional labor market; gravity; labor market variable; migration flow; labor market duality; protection benefit; labor market condition; duality issue; labor market indicator; migration outflow; Labor markets; Migration; Labor force; Unemployment rate; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Euro Area Policies: Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
This Selected Issues paper focuses on long-term impact of Brexit on the European Union (EU). This paper examines consequences of Brexit on the EU27 under various post-Brexit scenarios by using two different complementary approaches. Our results, which are broadly in line with recent findings in the literature, are twofold. First, Brexit would have negative effects on the EU27 as well, given the depth and the complexity of the EU-U.K. integration. Similar to various empirical studies, it has been observed that the estimated long-term output and employment losses (in percent) for the EU27 in the study are on average lower than the corresponding losses for the UK estimated in the literature. The level of output and employment are estimated to fall at most by up to 1.5 percent and 0.7 percent in the long run in the event of a ‘hard’ Brexit scenario, respectively. A “soft” Brexit outcome would lead to much lower losses.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; Brexit; employment growth; job prospect; youth employment; U.K. migrant; EU-U.K. trade integration; euro area; Labor force; Employment; Unemployment; Unemployment rate; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
Storm Clouds Ahead? Migration and Labor Force Participation Rates in Europe
Benjamin Hilgenstock
and
Zsoka Koczan
The paper examines the potential effects of international migration on labor force participation in advanced economies in Europe. It documents that migration played a significant role in alleviating aging pressures on labor supply by affecting the age composition of receiving countries’ populations. However, micro-level analysis also points to differences in average educational levels, as well as differences in the effects of any given level of education on participation across migrants and natives. Difficulties related to the recognition of educational qualifications appear to be associated with smaller effects of education on the odds of participation for migrants, especially women.
Keywords:
WP; migrant; Labor force participation; aging; migration; migration scenario; participation decision; integration policy; policy stance; age effect; net migration; way migrant; age composition effect; Europe
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Portugal: Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
This Selected Issues paper estimates the fiscal impact of demographic changes in Portugal and the euro area over the period 2015–2100. Under the baseline projections of the United Nations, Portugal is among the countries in the euro area that is expected to be most hurt by demographic developments. During 2015–2100, its population is expected to shrink by about 30 percent while the old-age dependency ratio is expected to more than double, driven mostly by low fertility, higher longevity, and migration outflows. Age-related public spending would increase by about 6 percentage points of GDP under the baseline over the period 2015–50, and the public debt path would become unsustainable in the absence of offsetting policies.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; bank; asset; lending; profitability; IMF staff calculation; banks assets; ECB's asset purchase; ECB support; bank capital level; bank asset structure; Health care spending; Aging; Pension spending; Migration; Global; Europe; Eastern Europe
Cover Finance & Development
Finances & Développement, mars 2015
International Monetary Fund. External Relations Dept.
Finances & Développement, mars 2015
Keywords:
FD; F&D; worker; firm; IMF-World Bank; job growth; income
Cover Finance & Development
Finance and Development, March 2015
International Monetary Fund. External Relations Dept.
Finance and Development, March 2015
Keywords:
FD; F&D; worker; firm; IMF-World Bank; job growth; income
Cover Finance & Development
Finance and Development, March 2015
International Monetary Fund. External Relations Dept.
Finance and Development, March 2015
Keywords:
FD; F&D; worker; firm; IMF-World Bank; job growth; income
Cover Finance & Development
Finanzas y Desarrollo, marzo de 2015
International Monetary Fund. External Relations Dept.
Finanzas y Desarrollo, marzo de 2015
Keywords:
FD; F&D; worker; firm; IMF-World Bank; job growth; income
Cover Finance & Development
Finance & Development, March 2015
International Monetary Fund. External Relations Dept.
This chapter discusses the impact of global recession on the working population and looks at the future of work in the global economy from a variety of angles. IMF economist Prakash Loungani leads off with an overview of the global jobs landscape and examines the reasons behind the slow recovery of jobs in the wake of the global financial crisis. The chapter also highlights an argument for a jobs- and wage-led global recovery, while IMF researchers probe the relationship between declining trade union membership and inequality.
Keywords:
FD; F&D; worker; firm; IMF-World Bank; job growth; income; household enterprise employment; jobs package; crisis level; Unemployment; Wages; Income inequality; Personal income; Global; Europe; Sub-Saharan Africa; Africa; Caribbean