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Social Science > Demography

You are looking at 1 - 10 of 21 items for :

  • Type: Journal Issue x
  • Personal Income and Other Nonbusiness Taxes and Subsidies x
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Cover IMF Working Papers
Drivers and Effects of Residence and Citizenship by Investment
Sofronis Clerides
,
Maria Delgado Coelho
,
Alexander D Klemm
, and
Christos Kotsogiannis
This paper discusses under what circumstances residence and citizenship by investment (RBI or CBI) schemes could be used by individuals engaging in tax avoidance or evasion. It describes the market for CBI and RBI and how features of the offered programs might reveal the underlying motivations of governments offering them. The paper then presents empirical evidence on the conditions under which such schemes are offered. Finally, the paper estimates the impact of such schemes on investment, house prices, and public revenues.
Keywords:
Residence by Investment; Citizenship by Investment; Tax Evasion.; house price growth; CRBI scheme; investment requirement; CRBI program; CRBI data; CBI program; Housing prices; Personal income tax; Tax evasion; Inflation; Global; Caribbean
Cover Selected Issues Papers
The Bulgarian Pension System: Caught Between Adequacy and Sustainability: Bulgaria
Jean-Jacques Hallaert
During the COVID-19 pandemic, the Bulgarian authorities increased pensions substantially to support pensioners’ living standards and aggregate demand. These increases have become permanent and improved the adequacy of pensions. However, not matched by revenue measures, they have widened the deficit of the pension system. Reforms that increase the incentives to contribute to the pension system and thus revenue would improve the financial sustainability of the pension system and reduce fiscal risks.
Keywords:
Bulgaria; Pension; Pension Adequacy; Financial Sustainability; Fiscal Risk from Pensions; pension entitlement; pension level; entitlements in social insurance; IMF staff calculation; Pension spending; Pensions; Aging; Pension system sustainability; Tax allowances; Europe; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
Agglomeration, Innovation, and Spatial Reallocation: The Aggregate Effects of R&D Tax Credits
Alexandre Sollaci
I investigate the aggregate effects of R&D tax credits in the US. Because it subsidizes R&D activity and because credit rates vary between states, this policy has both spatial and dynamic effects on the economy. To address this issue, I construct an endogenous growth model with spatial heterogeneity and agglomeration spillovers in innovation. Aggregate outcomes in this model are thus affected by the spatial distribution of the population in the economy, which is itself endogenous and reacts to policy. I use this framework to identify a set of local R&D subsidies that maximize aggregate welfare.
Keywords:
agglomeration; innovation; R&D tax credits; R&D activity; R&D subsidy; R&D tax credit rate; aggregate outcome; Tax allowances; Credit ratings; Productivity; Wages; Global; elasticity of agglomeration; welfare effect; elasticity of congestion
Cover IMF Working Papers
Universal Health Care 101: Lessons for the Eastern Caribbean and Beyond
Ms. Evridiki Tsounta
Despite the increasing interest in universal health care, little is known about the optimal way to finance, design, and implement it. This paper attempts to fill this gap by providing some general policy recommendations on this important issue. While most of the paper addresses the Eastern Caribbean Currency Union (ECCU) countries, its policy implications are applicable to any country. The paper finds that the best financing option is country-specific depending on a country’s economic, cultural, institutional, demographic and epidemiological characteristics, as well as political economy considerations. However, taxation should be the primary financing source. It also concludes that an appropriate and realistic benefit package would need to be designed to ensure the system’s financial viability. Regarding the optimal way to implement universal health care, certain preconditions are needed, including sound public administration, a small informal economy, and a transparent health financing system that builds social consensus.
Keywords:
WP; health cost; health system; government Health spending; health financing goal; country authorities; Health economics; government expenditure; financing system; health financing; ECCU country; ECCU health system; health card; health outcome; health system attainment; health affair; health system performance; Health care spending; Health care; Social security contributions; Aging; Caribbean
Cover IMF Working Papers
Tax and Pension Reform in the Czech Republic—Implications for Growth and Debt Sustainability
Mr. Dennis P Botman
and
Ms. Anita Tuladhar
The Czech Republic has embarked on an ambitious tax reform and expenditure package to bring the deficit sustainably below 3 percent, and intends to reduce the deficit to 1 percent of GDP by 2012. To address the long-term fiscal challenge due to population aging, pension reform proposals are also being considered. In this paper we assess the macroeconomic effects of these measures using the Global Fiscal Model. The tax reform package will achieve a more efficient tax system. If implemented successfully with the intended expenditure savings measures, debt is projected to improve markedly while output would expand. Fiscal sustainability will not be restored, however, even if further measures to bring the deficit to 1 percent of GDP by 2012. Instead, raising the retirement age and prefunding future aging costs would be needed to keep debt below 60 percent of GDP through 2050.
Keywords:
WP; GDP deficit; deficit target; debt sustainability; reform package; tax reform
Cover IMF Working Papers
Policy Challenges of Population Aging in Ireland
Ms. Dora M Iakova
and
Mr. Dennis P Botman
The projected rise in age-related government spending as a share of GDP in Ireland over the next forty years is among the highest in the euro area. In the absence of reforms, public debt will increase to unsustainable levels. This paper uses the IMF's Global Fiscal Model to compare the macroeconomic effects of different fiscal strategies to accommodate the rise in age-related spending. The simulations suggest that adopting a package of measures, including an increase in the retirement age, broadening the tax base, and raising indirect taxes, would be a more growth-friendly strategy than relying exclusively on raising the social security contribution rate.
Keywords:
WP; spending; debt; GDP; rate; social security contribution rate
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Ireland: Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund
This Selected Issues paper discusses Ireland’s trade and financial linkages with key partner countries. The paper uses a vector autoregression to examine the impact of shocks to partner country GDP and shocks to Irish competitiveness on Irish GDP. Two main findings are that shocks to U.S. GDP have a much larger impact on the variance of Irish GDP than shocks to the euro area or the United Kingdom. The paper also uses the IMF’s Global Fiscal Model to compare the effects of alternative fiscal adjustment strategies on employment and growth.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; Ireland; GDP; spending; labor market; debt; financial system; arm's length content; social security contribution rate; Ireland's private-sector indebtedness; competitiveness affect Ireland; U.K. GDP; debt issuance; net debt path; credit growth; Pension spending; Aging; Social security contributions; Labor market flexibility; Global; Europe
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Republic of Moldova: Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper Annual Evaluation Report 2005
International Monetary Fund
This paper reviews the Poverty Reduction Strategy Annual Evaluation Report 2005 for Moldova. Economic growth and income redistribution policies promoted in the context of Economic Growth and Poverty Reduction Strategy (EGPRS) implementation contributed to higher incomes and improved access of population to social services, which led to higher living standards and poverty reduction in Moldova. During 2002–04, poverty rates decreased by 14.5 percentage points. By 2004, only 26.5 percent of the population of Moldova was poor. The most essential decrease took place in 2002–03.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; gross domestic product; absolute poverty; State budget; exchange rate; poverty line; national budget; subsistence level; budget revenue; real value; Country modernization - people's welfare; financial support; State registration Chamber; Social assistance spending; Central and Eastern Europe
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Greece: Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund
This Selected Issues paper analyzes the growth prospects of the Greek economy. It is estimated that exceptional factors boosted growth by 1 percentage point per year in recent years and, under current trends and policies, growth is likely to drop to about 3 percent by the end of the decade. The paper places the recent strong growth performance of the Greek economy in a historical and international context. It also assesses the impact of exceptional factors on growth, and presents statistical estimates of potential growth.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; pension benefit; TFP growth; GDP growth; labor force; pension expenditure; participation rate; Pension spending; Pensions; Aging; Migration; Total factor productivity; Eastern Europe; Europe; publication policy; pension deficit; reader comment; evolution of pensioner; Social security contributions
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Belgium: Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund
This Selected Issues paper analyzes the challenge of population aging for Belgium. It argues that the aging strategy should be broadened to include more explicitly the objective of raising employment rates to foster potential growth. The paper discusses assumptions underlying the official aging projections, and presents an alternative baseline scenario on the basis of unchanged policies. It discusses the feasibility of strategies that rely exclusively on either fiscal or labor market adjustment, and illustrates the benefits of a two-pronged strategy. The paper also examines employment effects of reductions in labor taxes in a wage-bargaining model.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; labor market; employment rate; labor market reform; GDP growth; wage norm; cost projection; labor market adjustment; Employment; Labor costs; Aging; Tax wedge; Wages; Europe