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Middle East and Central Asia > Saudi Arabia

You are looking at 1 - 3 of 3 items for :

  • Type: Journal Issue x
  • Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: General x
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Cover IMF Working Papers
Cross-Border Risks of a Global Economy in Mid-Transition
Etienne Espagne
,
William Oman
,
Jean-François Mercure
,
Romain Svartzman
,
Ulrich Volz
,
Hector Pollitt
,
Gregor Semieniuk
, and
Emanuele Campiglio
This paper analyzes the cross-border risks that could result from a decarbonization of the world economy. We develop a typology of cross-border risks and their respective channels. Our qualitative and quantitative scenario analysis suggests that the mid-transition – a period during which fossil-fuel and low-carbon energy systems co-exist and transform at a rapid pace – could have profound stability and resilience implications for global trade and the international financial system.
Keywords:
Climate change; transition risks; cross-border risks; trade; international money and finance.; asset purchase; energy export; baseline export; baseline GDP; cost of capital; Non-renewable resources; Climate policy; Exports; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
Another Piece of the Puzzle: Adding Swift Data on Documentary Collections to the Short-Term Forecast of World Trade
Narek Ghazaryan
,
Mr. Alexei Goumilevski
,
Mr. Joannes Mongardini
, and
Aneta Radzikowski
This paper extends earlier research by adding SWIFT data on documentary collections to the short-term forecast of international trade. While SWIFT documentary collections accounted for just over one percent of world trade financing in 2020, they have strong explanatory power to forecast world trade and national trade in selected economies. The informational content from documentary collections helps improve the forecast of world trade, while a horse race with machine learning algorithms shows significant non-linearities between trade and its determinants during the Covid-19 pandemic.
Keywords:
SWIFT; trade forecast; machine learning; trade message; IMF working papers; DFM forecast; IMF working paper No. 21/293; linear regression forecast; Merchandise export; Imports; Exports; Credit; Trade finance; Trade balance; Global; Australia and New Zealand; Asia and Pacific
Cover Foreign and Intratrade Policies of Arab Countries
Foreign and Intratrade Policies of Arab Countries
Mr. Saíd El-Naggar

Abstract

The challenge facing the Arab countries to maintain economic growth in the face of the deteriorating terms of trade affecting all developing countries was addressed in a seminar held in Abu Dhabi in early 1992. This volume, edited by Said El-Naggar, includes papers by contributors from the region as well as from the IMF.

Keywords:
BOOK; country; trade; state; government; protectionism; Abu Dhabi fund; Ministry of economy; Union country; world trade growth; tariff vis-à-vis; Arab country; industrial country; government intervention; Exports; Tariffs; Imports; Trade policy; Trade barriers; Maghreb; Middle East; East Asia; North America; South Asia; North Africa