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Middle East and Central Asia > Qatar

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Cover Global Financial Stability Report, October 2024
Global Financial Stability Report, October 2024
Steadying the Course: Uncertainty, Artificial Intelligence, and Financial Stability
International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department

Abstract

Chapter 1 shows that although near-term financial stability risks have remained contained, mounting vulnerabilities could worsen future downside risks by amplifying shocks, which have become more probable because of the widening disconnect between elevated economic uncertainty and low financial volatility. Chapter 2 presents evidence that high macroeconomic uncertainty can threaten macrofinancial stability by exacerbating downside tail risks to markets, credit supply, and GDP growth. These relationships are stronger when debt vulnerabilities are elevated, or financial market volatility is low (during episodes of a macro-market disconnect). Chapter 3 assesses recent developments in AI and Generative AI and their implications for capital markets. It presents new analytical work and results from a global outreach to market participants and regulators, delineates potential benefits and risks that may arise from the widespread adoption of these new technologies, and makes suggestions for policy responses.

Keywords:
financial stability; vulnerabilities; uncertainty; risk; artificial intelligence; capital markets; tail risk; uncertainty index; monetary policy; mortgage rate; market liquidity risk; fiscal policy uncertainty; Emerging and frontier financial markets; Financial sector stability; Sovereign bonds; Credit; Global; Middle East; Europe; Central and Eastern Europe; South America
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
People’s Republic of China–Hong Kong Special Administrative Region: Financial Sector Assessment Program-Crisis Management and Bank Resolution Framework-Technical Note
International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
This Technical Note on Crisis Management and Bank Resolution Framework was prepared in the context of the Financial Sector Assessment Program for the People’s Republic of China–Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (HKSAR). Overall, the existing institutional framework facilitates communication and coordination domestically, as well as on a cross-border basis. Information sharing and coordination among domestic regulatory authorities and with the Government is undertaken through a variety of formal mechanisms, which are supported by sound legal bases for the exchange of confidential information. There are complementary structures in place for macro- and micro-prudential supervision that contribute to the prevention and identification of problems in banks. Market-wide or bank intrinsic risk issues will be identified by macroprudential surveillance and bank supervision in the Hong Kong Monetary Authority, or by other financial sector regulatory bodies. The deposit protection scheme is transparent, and trusted; however, steps should be taken to enhance efficiency of pay-outs and to ensure the scheme’s sustainability.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; problem bank; contingent bank Capital Facility; financial system; resolution process; HKMA supervisor; resolution authorities; bank failure; discount window; member bank; Artificial intelligence; Bank resolution framework; Lender of last resort; Financial sector stability; Bank resolution; Asia and Pacific; Global