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Middle East and Central Asia > Oman

You are looking at 1 - 10 of 13 items for :

  • Type: Journal Issue x
  • Debt; Debt Management; Sovereign Debt x
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Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
سلطنة عُمان: مشاورات المادة الرابعة لعام 2024 – بيان صحفي؛ وتقرير الموظفين
International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
حققت سلطنة عُمان تحسنا ملحوظا في أساسيات اقتصادها. فقد تحسن مركز المالية العامة والمركز الخارجي تحسنا كبيرا، في حين يشهد النمو غير الهيدروكربوني انتعاشا في ظل انخفاض التضخم. كما زادت ثقة المستثمرين، مما يمهد الطريق لزيادة استثمارات القطاع الخاص. ويمكن لجهود لإصلاح المستمرة تعظيم المكاسب المتحققة من هذه الإنجازات، والمساعدة على تحقيق التحول الاقتصادي المستهدف على النحو الوارد في رؤية عُمان 2040.
Keywords:
ترسيخ الاستدامة المالية; تقوية مؤسسات المالية العامة; إدارة السيولة; رؤية عُمان 2040; زيادة الفرص التجارية
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Oman: 2024 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; and Staff Report
International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
Oman has achieved a remarkable improvement in its economic fundamentals. The fiscal and external positions have strengthened significantly, while nonhydrocarbon growth is picking up amid low inflation. Investor confidence has increased, paving the way for rising private sector investments. Sustained reform efforts would amplify gains from these accomplishments and help achieve the targeted economic transformation as set out under Oman Vision 2040.
Keywords:
FSAP update mission; ROSC reassessment mission; FSAP mission; data ROSC; debt management strategy; FSAP participation; Oil prices; Anti-money laundering and combating the financing of terrorism (AML/CFT); Global
Cover Selected Issues Papers
Mitigating Fiscal Risks in Oman
Abdullah Alhassan
and
Dalia Aita
Fiscal risks are multifaceted in Oman and their potential impact on the fiscal position could be significant. Identification, monitoring, transparent reporting, and effective risk management of fiscal risks are a key component of a sound medium-term fiscal framework and paramount in underpinning fiscal credibility and the sustainability of public finances. This note revisits the exposure of Oman’s fiscal position to an array of potential risks, zooming in on the impact of oil price volatility and potential risks stemming from state-owned enterprises. It documents actions taken by Omani policymakers to mitigate the impact of fiscal risks and provides further recommendations on fiscal risk disclosure and management.
Keywords:
Oman; Fiscal Risks; Oil Price; Transparency; oil price volatility; copyright page; impact of fiscal risk; SOEs performance; SOEs debt; budget preparation process; downside oil price scenario; SOEs governance; Oil prices; Public enterprises; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
طنة عُمان: سلطنة عُمان مشاورات المادة الرابعة لعام 2023
International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
التضخم للمستمر. أما معدا لإصلاحا ة وزخميتاومه أسعار النفط المععافيا تدت يشهد النشاط الاقتصاد اق:يسلا ىلع ضئاوف قيقحت إلى يرلجاا سابحلاة وملعاا ةيالملا ةصدرأ تلوحت ،زلعجا نم تاونس عدبف .نخفضام لظف عم ايربنخفاضا كا العام عالقطا نيد ضنخفاة. ومة العايللمال ةيلاحترازا ةرادلإاأسعار الطاقة و عفاترا ةيفلخ نامُع ةيؤر" ذينفت يف اريبا كمدقت تاطللسا ترزحوأ .نوديلر لكبملا دالسدا يف ةيتثنائسلاا تاروفولا ماتخدسا تانوبوكررديهلا ىلع نامُع نةطلس تمادعا نم ه للحدب غي القيامبما ينم ثيركناك اله لالا يز نكول ،"2040 .ينوبدروكريهر اليغ وملنا آفاق زيعزتو
Keywords:
سلطنة عُمان مشاورات المادة الرابعة لعام 2023 البيان الصحفي ، وتقرير خرباء الصندوق، ومرفق المعلومات
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Oman: 2023 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Oman
International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
The 2023 Article IV Consultation discusses that Oman’s economic recovery continues while inflation remains contained which is supported by favorable oil prices and sustained reform momentum. The banking sector remains resilient. Profitability has recovered to prepandemic levels, capital and liquidity ratios are well above regulatory requirements, and nonperforming loans remain low and sufficiently provisioned. Stress tests suggest that banks are resilient to credit and liquidity shocks. Risks to the economic outlook are balanced. Sustaining the reform momentum under Oman Vision 2040 will be key to building resilience and boosting prospects for more inclusive, diversified, and sustainable private sector-led non-hydrocarbon growth. This requires further efforts to improve institutional quality, reduce the state footprint, and enhance the business environment, which in turn would help amplify productivity gains from labor market and financial development reforms. It also calls for the steadfast implementation of the new social protection and labor laws, leveraging digitalization, and accelerating green investments and advancing policies to meet climate commitments.
Keywords:
Omani authorities; liability positions vis-à-vis nonresident; article IV consultation mission; SOE divestment drive; state footprint; arrangements in Oman; Government asset and liability management; Fiscal stance; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Gulf Cooperation Council: Economic Prospects and Policy Challenges for the GCC Countries
International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
This paper on the Gulf Cooperation Council (GCC) discusses economic prospects and policy priorities for the GCC countries. A comprehensive package of policies should be implemented to respond to near-term shocks and uncertainty and to firmly address medium- and long-term challenges. In the near term, fiscal policy should remain prudent, avoiding procyclical spending and using the windfall from higher oil prices to rebuild buffers. Targeted and temporary fiscal measures could be undertaken to respond to shocks, if they materialize. In the medium term, GCC countries should continue pursuing fiscal consolidation consistent with ensuring intergenerational equity and sustainability, supported by a credible rules-based medium-term fiscal framework. Continued financial sector reforms are needed to support growth and stability. Structural policies should continue focusing on diversifying the economies away from hydrocarbon. Reform efforts aimed at further enhancing product market regulations, labor markets, and governance will spur growth, as will efficient investments in digital and green initiatives to accelerate transformation and support energy transition. The industrial policy should be carefully calibrated and not substitute for structural reforms while minimizing related inefficiencies.
Keywords:
Gulf Cooperation Council; GCC Countries; OPEC; GCC country; centrality indices; policies in the GCC; GCC net; GCC's acceleration; financial market; Inflation; Oil prices; Climate finance; Financial statements; Global; Middle East
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Oman: 2022 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; and Staff Report
International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
This 2022 Article IV Consultation discusses Oman’s strong vaccination efforts have allowed for the relaxation of all social distancing restrictions, and the economic recovery is gaining traction. Uncertainties continue to cloud the outlook, with downside risks dominating in the short run. Reinforcing fiscal sustainability over the medium term, as envisaged under the Medium-Term Fiscal Plan, requires further revenue and expenditure measures. The exchange rate peg continues to serve Oman well. Efforts to strengthen the monetary transmission mechanism and establish the treasury single account should be carefully coordinated to maintain adequate banking system liquidity. Prudential rules should be restored to pre-pandemic levels as the impact of the pandemic declines. Close monitoring of banks’ asset quality remains essential. Steadfast implementation of reforms under Vision 2040 is needed to foster strong, job-rich, private sector-led growth. This would require enhancing labor market flexibility, improving the business environment, advancing state-owned-enterprises reforms, leveraging digitalization, and tackling climate challenges.
Keywords:
IMF staff calculation; banking system liquidity; article IV consultation mission; oil price outlook; liability positions vis-à-vis nonresident; liquidity management framework; Fiscal consolidation; Oil prices; Fiscal stance; Global; Middle East and Central Asia
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Oman: 2021 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Oman
International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
Sultan Haitham ascended to the throne in January 2020 and has committed to implementing strong fiscal and structural reforms to address longstanding vulnerabilities. In addition to persistent fiscal deficits arising from incomplete adjustment to lower oil prices since 2015, Oman faced twin shocks from the COVID-19 pandemic and a collapse in oil prices in 2020 that amplified fiscal and external vulnerabilities. The authorities moved rapidly to contain the spread of COVID-19 infections and provided broad-based policy measures to limit its impact on the economy. In addition, frontloaded fiscal consolidation has been implemented in the 2021 budget as part of the authorities’ Medium-Term Fiscal Plan (MTFP) which aims to eliminate the fiscal deficit over the medium term. Banks have high capital buffers and liquidity, but credit risk is a concern going forward. Structural reforms have been accelerated under Oman Vision 2040 to boost non-oil private sector growth and facilitate job creation.
Keywords:
staff appraisal; Omani authorities; government financing; hydrocarbon revenue; liability positions vis-à-vis nonresident; Oil prices; Fiscal stance; Global; Middle East
Cover Departmental Papers
Learning to Live with Cheaper Oil: Policy Adjustment in MENA and CCA Oil-Exporting Countries
Mr. Martin Sommer
,
Mr. Allan G Auclair
,
Mr. Armand Fouejieu
,
Ms. Inutu Lukonga
,
Mr. Saad N Quayyum
,
Amir Sadeghi
,
Mr. Gazi H Shbaikat
,
Mr. Andrew J Tiffin
, and
Mr. Bruno Versailles
This paper discusses the challenges posed by low oil prices in the MENA and CCA regions, the adjustment policies adopted so far, and remaining adjustment needs and future risks.
Keywords:
DPPP; DP; oil exporter; exporter; oil price; price; GCC; debt ratio; GCC country; CCA country; IMF staff estimate; U.S. dollar; Gulf exporter; Oil prices; Oil; Fiscal consolidation; Government debt management; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
Does Public-Sector Employment Fully Crowd Out Private-Sector Employment?
Mr. Alberto Behar
and
Mr. Junghwan Mok
We quantify the extent to which public-sector employment crowds out private-sector employment using specially assembled datasets for a large cross-section of developing and advanced countries, and discuss the implications for countries in the Middle East, North Africa, Caucasus and Central Asia. These countries simultaneously display high unemployment rates, low private-sector employment rates and high proportions of government-sector employment. Regressions of either private-sector employment rates or unemployment rates on two measures of public-sector employment point to full crowding out. This means that high rates of public employment, which incur substantial fiscal costs, have a large negative impact on private employment rates and do not reduce overall unemployment rates.
Keywords:
WP; private sector; private-sector employment; Employment; Crowding out; Middle East and Central Asia; employment rate; crowding-out effect; C. private-sector employment; employment dataset; MENAP country; outcomes in the MCD; MCD country; employment equation; MCD countries' employment data; CCA country; labor force; Public employment; Employment rate; Government debt management; Unemployment; Middle East