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Middle East and Central Asia > Oman

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  • Type: Journal Issue x
  • Macroeconomic Aspects of International Trade and Finance: General x
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Cover IMF Working Papers
Cross-Border Risks of a Global Economy in Mid-Transition
Etienne Espagne
,
William Oman
,
Jean-François Mercure
,
Romain Svartzman
,
Ulrich Volz
,
Hector Pollitt
,
Gregor Semieniuk
, and
Emanuele Campiglio
This paper analyzes the cross-border risks that could result from a decarbonization of the world economy. We develop a typology of cross-border risks and their respective channels. Our qualitative and quantitative scenario analysis suggests that the mid-transition – a period during which fossil-fuel and low-carbon energy systems co-exist and transform at a rapid pace – could have profound stability and resilience implications for global trade and the international financial system.
Keywords:
Climate change; transition risks; cross-border risks; trade; international money and finance.; asset purchase; energy export; baseline export; baseline GDP; cost of capital; Non-renewable resources; Climate policy; Exports; Global