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Europe > Norway

You are looking at 1 - 10 of 77 items for :

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Cover IMF Working Papers
Climate-Related Stress Testing: Transition Risk in Colombia
Can Sever
and
Manuel Perez-Archila
This paper builds a framework to quantify the financial stability implications of climate-related transition risk in Colombia. We explore risks imposed on the banking system based on scenarios of an increase in the domestic carbon tax by using bank- and firm-level data. Focusing on the deterioration of firms’ balance sheets and the exposure of banks to different sectors, we assess the extent to which such policy shock would transmit from nonfinancial firms to the banking system. We observe that sectors are affected unevenly by a higher carbon tax. Agriculture, manufacturing, electricity, wholesale and retail trade, and transportation sectors appear to be the most important in the transmission of the risk to the banking system. Results also suggest that a large increase in the carbon tax can generate significant but likely manageable financial stability risks, and that a gradual increase in the carbon tax to meet a higher target over several years could be preferable in terms of financial risks. A gradual increase would also have the benefit of allowing for a smoother adjustment to higher carbon tax for stakeholders.
Keywords:
Climate crisis; climate change; transition risk; carbon emission; carbon tax; green economy; environmental taxes; banking stress; stress testing; financial stability; Colombia; D. banking data; risk to the banking system; nonfinancial firm; Carbon tax; Greenhouse gas emissions; Commercial banks; Loans; Global; Caribbean
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Norway: Financial Sector Assessment Program-Technical Note-Cybersecurity Risk Supervision and Oversight
International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
The Norwegian financial system has a long history of incorporating new technology. Norway is at the forefront of digitization and has tight interdependencies within its financial system, making it particularly vulnerable to evolving cyber threats. Norway is increasingly a cashless society, with surveys and data collection suggesting that only 10 percent of point-of-sale and person-to-person transactions in 2019 were made using cash.1 Most payments made in Norway are digital (e.g., 475 card transactions per capita per annum)2 and there is an increase in new market entrants providing a broad range of services. Thus, good cybersecurity is a prerequisite for financial stability in Norway.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; cybersecurity incident; cybersecurity risk; incident report; NSM cybersecurity principle; FSA plan; incident information; information sharing; risk management; cybersecurity risk supervision; oversight function; Cyber risk; Financial sector; Financial stability assessment; PFM information systems; Securities; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Norway: Financial Sector Assessment Program-Technical Note-Systemic Liquidity
International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Norwegian banks and other financial institutions rely heavily on capital markets for liquidity and risk management. Liquidity conditions in the Norwegian financial sector are affected by central bank operations and the lending and funding activities of financial institutions, both domestically and abroad. Nearly 40 percent of the funding of Norwegian banks is obtained from market sources, using commercial paper, covered bonds, and senior unsecured bonds issued both domestically and abroad. Correspondingly, money markets, foreign exchange (FX) swap markets and bond markets are crucial to the credit intermediation process and a dislocation in these markets—the inability of financial institutions to roll over, or obtain new, funding—could have significant consequences for financial stability. Against this background, this note analyzes core funding markets for Norwegian banks and assesses Norges Bank’s capacity to manage systemic liquidity conditions and counteract liquidity shocks in normal times and in times of stress.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; spot market; commercial paper; cross holdings; FX swap market; liquidity support; government bond; central bank; U.S. dollar; secondary market; mortgage loan; government bond market; market development; Liquidity; Covered bonds; Currency swaps; Sovereign bonds; Collateral; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Norway: Financial Sector Assessment Program-Technical Note-Banking Regulation and Supervision
International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
This note presents a targeted review of selected aspects in the regulation and supervision of banks in Norway. The review is carried out as part of the 2020 Norway Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP) and the findings and recommendations are based on the regulatory framework in place and the supervisory practices employed at end-October 2019. The note focuses on the powers and responsibilities, independence, and resourcing of Finanstilsynet (FSA); its supervisory approach and enforcement powers and practices; key aspects of the prudential framework; and mechanisms to prevent abuse of financial services.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; risk assessment; FSA budget; FSA decision; FSA expectation; FSA power; supervisory guidance; FSA onsite; FSA control; FSA approach; due diligence; FSA staff; FSA plan; Financial stability assessment; Anti-money laundering and combating the financing of terrorism (AML/CFT); Credit risk; Capital adequacy requirements; Operational risk; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Norway: Financial Sector Assessment Program-Technical Note-Systemic Risk Oversight and Macroprudential Policy Framework
International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
While Norway’s institutional arrangement for macroprudential policy is uncommon, the authorities have shown strong willingness to act. The Ministry of Finance (MoF) is the sole macroprudential decision-maker in Norway, which is rare in international comparison. However, Norges Bank and the Finanstilsynet (FSA) play important advisory roles. In recent years, the authorities have taken substantive and wide-ranging macroprudential policy actions in response to growing systemic vulnerabilities—and these seem to have been effective in slowing down some of the riskier trends. The macroprudential policy toolkit is well stocked and actively used.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; CRE sector; CRE market; CRE company; CRE risk; FSA survey; liquid asset; central bank; foreign currency; mortgage loan; financial system; Macroprudential policy; Financial stability assessment; Macroprudential policy instruments; Financial sector stability; Countercyclical capital buffers; Global; Mortgages
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Norway: Financial Sector Assessment Program-Technical Note-Financial Safety Nets
International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Norway has made substantial progress in strengthening its framework for financial crisis management and bank safety nets since the 2015 FSAP. The Norwegian authorities have implemented the EU framework. The Bank Recovery and Resolution Directive (BRRD) has been transposed into the Norwegian legal framework mainly by amendments to the Financial Institutions and Financial Groups Act and accompanying regulations. Finanstilsynet (the Financial Supervisory Authority of Norway, FSA) has been designated as Norway’s resolution authority. Resolution financing options were broadened by establishing a resolution fund. While the Deposit Guarantee Scheme Directive (DGSD) has yet to be brought into the European Economic Area (EEA) agreement, Norway has, in fact, already transposed it into the Norwegian law. This provides the Norwegian authorities with a broadened and detailed regulatory framework for dealing with weak banks.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; government stabilization tool; financial crisis; FSA decision; FSA resolution function; FSA valuation; FSA's resolution; government backstop; government employee protection; government funding; government indemnity; government support; resolution framework; resolution authority; resolution fund; resolution authorities; Financial stability assessment; Bank resolution framework; Bank resolution; Crisis management; Crisis resolution; Global; Europe
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Norway: Financial System Stability Assessment-Press Release; and Statement by the Executive Director for Norway
International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Much of the work of the Financial Sector Assessment Program (FSAP) was conducted prior to the COVID-19 pandemic, with the missions ending on February 13, 2020. Given the FSAP’s focus on medium-term challenges and vulnerabilities, however, its findings and recommendations for strengthening policy and institutional frameworks remain pertinent. The report was updated to reflect key developments and policy changes since the mission work was completed. It also includes a risk analysis that quantifies the possible impact of the COVID-19 crisis on bank solvency. Since the previous FSAP in 2015, the Norwegian authorities have taken welcome steps to strengthen the financial system. Regulatory capital requirements for banks were raised and actions were taken to bolster the weak capital position of insurers. Alongside other macroprudential measures, temporary borrower-based measures for residential mortgages were introduced, which seem to have had some moderating impact on segments of the housing market. The resolution framework was also strengthened, with the implementation of the Bank Recovery and Resolution Directive (BRRD) and the designation of Finanstilsynet (FSA) as the resolution authority.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; cybersecurity risk oversight; government measure; cybersecurity risk supervision; risk analysis; financial market volatility; resolution authority's mandate; Financial stability assessment; Stress testing; Anti-money laundering and combating the financing of terrorism (AML/CFT); Liquidity requirements; Insurance companies; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
The Effectiveness of Borrower-Based Macroprudential Measures: A Quantitative Analysis for Slovakia
Pavol Jurca
,
Ján Klacso
,
Eugen Tereanu
,
Marco Forletta
, and
Mr. Marco Gross
We develop a semi-structural quantitative framework that combines micro and macroeconomic data to assess the effectiveness of combinations of borrower-based macroprudential measures in Slovakia. We expand on the integrated dynamic household balance sheet model of Gross and Población (2017) by introducing an endogenous loan granting feature, in turn to quantify the potential (ex-ante) impact of macroprudential measures on resilience parameters, compared with a counterfactual no-policy scenario, under adverse macroeconomic conditions. We conclude that (1) borrower-based measures can noticeably improve household and bank resilience to macroeconomic downturns, in particular when multiple measures are applied; (2) those measures tend to complement each other, as the impact of individual instruments is transmitted via different channels; and (3) the resilience benefits are more sizeable if the measures effectively limit the accumulation of risks before an economic downturn occurs, suggesting that an early, preemptive implementation of borrower-based measures is indeed warranted.
Keywords:
WP; borrower; lending; household portfolio; loan; mortgage lending; payment obligation; policy measure; borrower leverage; behavior assumption; policy instrument; growth path; Mortgages; Loans; Personal income; Bank soundness; Financial statements; Global; Borrower-based macroprudential policy; household micro data; macro-financial linkages; mortgage borrower; HFCS data mortgage
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Norway: 2019 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Norway
International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
While many advanced economies are experiencing slower growth, Norway’s output has continued to expand strongly, helped by a robust labor market, positive terms of trade, and some competitiveness gains. Core inflation has picked up to close to 2¼ percent. Residential house price growth has softened significantly but prices remain overvalued, and household debt continues to rise. Commercial real estate risks are also intensifying and combine with mounting external risks to cloud the outlook. The Christian Democrats have recently joined Prime Minister Solberg’s governing coalition, which now enjoys a majority in parliament.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; rate; authority; debt; fiscal policy; liability positions vis-à-vis nonresident; mainland GDP; household debt-sustainability; exchange arrangement; further rate hike; property price growth; monetary policy normalization; expenditure saving; core inflation; Housing prices; Anti-money laundering and combating the financing of terrorism (AML/CFT); Inflation; Labor markets; Employment; Global; Baltics; transparency policy; article IV of the IMF's article; money market rate
Cover IMF Working Papers
Cash Use Across Countries and the Demand for Central Bank Digital Currency
Mr. Tanai Khiaonarong
and
David Humphrey
The level and trend in cash use in a country will influence the demand for central bank digital currency (CBDC). While access to digital currency will be more convenient than traveling to an ATM, it only makes CBDC like a bank debit card—not better. Demand for digital currency will thus be weak in countries where cash use is already very low, due to a preference for cash substitutes (cards, electronic money, mobile phone payments). Where cash use is very high, demand should be stronger, due to a lack of cash substitutes. As the demand for CBDC is tied to the current level of cash use, we estimate the level and trend in cash use for 11 countries using four different measures. A tentative forecast of cash use is also made. After showing that declining cash use is largely associated with demographic change, we tie the level of cash use to the likely demand for CBDC in different countries. In this process, we suggest that one measure of cash use is more useful than the others. If cash is important for monetary policy, payment instrument competition, or as an alternative payment instrument in the event of operational problems with privately supplied payment methods, the introduction of CBDC may best be introduced before cash substitutes become so ubiquitous that the viability of CBDC could be in doubt.
Keywords:
WP; cash use; payment instrument; cash share forecast; cash substitute; cash payment; cash forecasting; central bank digital currency; use data; Currencies; Payment systems; Central Bank digital currencies; Bank deposits; Digital currencies; Europe