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Europe > Norway

You are looking at 1 - 4 of 4 items for :

  • Type: Journal Issue x
  • International Policy Coordination and Transmission x
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Cover IMF Working Papers
Spillovers to and from the Nordic Economies: A Macroeconometric Model Based Analysis
Mr. Francis Vitek
This paper analyzes the transmission of shocks and policies among and across the Nordic economies and the rest of the world. This spillover analysis is based on a pair of estimated structural macroeconometric models of the world economy, disaggregated into thirty five national economies. We find that the Nordic economies are heavily exposed to external macroeconomic and financial shocks, but have significant scope to mitigate their domestic macroeconomic impacts through coordinated policy responses, given their high degree of regional integration.
Keywords:
WP; economy; Nordic economy; output spillover; Spillover analysis; Trade linkages; Financial linkages; External risks; Policy coordination; output loss; spillover coefficient; risk premium shock; export exposure; source economy; Return on investment; Spillovers; Stock markets; Securities markets; Exports; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
Does Fiscal Policy Affect Interest Rates? Evidence from a Factor-Augmented Panel
Mr. Salvatore Dell'Erba
and
Mr. Sergio Sola
This paper reconsiders the effects of fiscal policy on long-term interest rates employing a Factor Augmented Panel (FAP) to control for the presence of common unobservable factors. We construct a real-time dataset of macroeconomic and fiscal variables for a panel of OECD countries for the period 1989-2012. We find that two global factors—the global monetary and fiscal policy stances—explain more than 60 percent of the variance in the long-term interest rates. Compared to the estimates from models which do not account for global factors, we find that the importance of domestic variables in explaining long-term interest rates is weakened. Moreover, the propagation of global fiscal shocks is larger in economies characterized by macroeconomic and institutional weaknesses.
Keywords:
WP; basis point; Fiscal Policy; Interest rates; Real time data; Cross-sectional dependence; Heterogeneous panels; world interest rate; fiscal policy stance; aggregate fiscal policy; FAP estimation method; time effect; estimation procedure; inflation rate; Long term interest rates; Central bank policy rate; Short term interest rates; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
The Euro’s Effecton Trade Imbalances
Mr. Helge Berger
and
Volker Nitsch
When does trade become a one-way relationship? We study bilateral trade balances for a sample of 18 European countries over the period from 1948 through 2008. We find that, with the introduction of the euro, trade imbalances among euro area members widened considerably, even after allowing for permanent asymmetries in trade competitiveness within pairs of countries or in the overall trade competitiveness of individual countries. This is consistent with indications that pair-wise trade tends to be more balanced when nominal exchange rates are flexible. Intra-euro area imbalances also seem to have become more persistent with the introduction of the euro, some of which is linked to labor market inflexibility. Reviewing the direction of imbalances, we find that bilateral trade surpluses are decreasing in the real exchange rate, decreasing in growth differentials, and increasing in the relative volatility of national business cycles. Finally, countries with relatively higher fiscal deficits and less flexible labor and product markets exhibit systematically lower trade surpluses than others.
Keywords:
WP; trade imbalance; member country; dependent variable; imbalances; trade balance; trade surplus; trade deficit; euro; EMU; European integration; product market; × EMU; exchange rate variability; area trade; exchange rate volatility; euro area member; Plurilateral trade; Trade surpluses; Exchange rates; Trade deficits
Cover IMF Working Papers
Globalization, Tax Competition and the Future of Tax Systems
Mr. Vito Tanzi
This paper discusses the implications for tax systems of globalization of capital markets and of economies. It shows the extent to which particular taxes are affected by the globalization process. It speculates on future developments in this area and on tax competition.
Keywords:
WP; enterprise; country; tax rate; tax competition; tax-haven country; multinational enterprise; tax authorities; net effect; closed economy; enterprise's branch; intra-firm trade; Income and capital gains taxes; Income tax systems; Competition; Corporate income tax; Global