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Africa > Malawi

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Cover IMF Working Papers
How do Climate Shocks Affect the Impact of FDI, ODA and Remittances on Economic Growth?
Alassane Drabo
The three main financial inflows to developing countries have largely increased during the last two decades, despite the large debate in the literature regarding their effects on economic growth which is not yet clear-cut. An emerging literature investigates the dependence of their effects on some country characteristics such as human and physical capital constraint, macroeconomic policy and institutional capacity. This paper extends the literature by arguing that climate shocks may undermine the effect of Foreign Direct Investment (FDI), official development assistance (ODA) and migrants’ remittances on economic expansion. Based on neoclassical growth framework, the theoretical model indicates that FDI, ODA, and remittances improve economic growth, and the size of the effect increases with good absorptive capacity. However, climate shocks reduce this positive effect of financial flows in developing countries. Using a sample of low and middle-income countries from 1995 to 2018, the empirical investigation confirms the theoretical conclusions. Developing countries should build strong resilience to climate change. Actions are also needed at global level to reduce greenhouse gases emissions, and build strong structural resilience to climate shocks especially in developing countries.
Keywords:
inflows-economic growth nexus; effect of ODA; income group; role of Climate; effect of foreign direct investment; Climate change; Absorptive capacity; Foreign direct investment; Human capital; Middle East; East Asia; Asia and Pacific; North Africa; South Asia; Global
Cover Departmental Papers
Mozambique Rising: Building a New Tomorrow
Ms. Doris C Ross
,
Victor Duarte Lledo
,
Mr. Alex Segura-Ubiergo
,
Mr. Yuan Xiao
,
Ms. Iyabo Masha
,
Mr. Alun H. Thomas
, and
Mr. Keiichiro Inui
This publication highlights Mozambique’s remarkably strong growth over the two decades since the end of the civil war in 1992, as well as the major challenges that remain for the country to rise out of poverty and further its economic development. Chapters explore such topics as the role of megaprojects and their relationship to jobs and growth; infrastructure and public investment; Mozambique's quest for inclusive growth; developing the agricultural sector; and building a social protection floor.
Keywords:
DPPP; DP; natural resource; foreign direct investment; private sector; exchange rate; economic growth; resource revenue; civil war; management system; primary sector; per capita income; distribution network; investment project; stabilization fund; Public investment and public-private partnerships (PPP); Public investment spending; Natural resources; Infrastructure; Agricultural sector; Sub-Saharan Africa; Africa; Global; Southern Africa
Cover IMF Working Papers
Debt Sustainability, Public Investment, and Natural Resources in Developing Countries: the DIGNAR Model
Mr. Giovanni Melina
,
Ms. Susan S. Yang
, and
Luis-Felipe Zanna
This paper presents the DIGNAR (Debt, Investment, Growth, and Natural Resources) model, which can be used to analyze the debt sustainability and macroeconomic effects of public investment plans in resource-abundant developing countries. DIGNAR is a dynamic, stochastic model of a small open economy. It has two types of households, including poor households with no access to financial markets, and features traded and nontraded sectors as well as a natural resource sector. Public capital enters production technologies, while public investment is subject to inefficiencies and absorptive capacity constraints. The government has access to different types of debt (concessional, domestic and external commercial) and a resource fund, which can be used to finance public investment plans. The resource fund can also serve as a buffer to absorb fiscal balances for given projections of resource revenues and public investment plans. When the fund is drawn down to its minimal value, a combination of external and domestic borrowing can be used to cover the fiscal gap in the short to medium run. Fiscal adjustments through tax rates and government non-capital expenditures—which may be constrained by ceilings and floors, respectively—are then triggered to maintain debt sustainability. The paper illustrates how the model can be particularly useful to assess debt sustainability in countries that borrow against future resource revenues to scale up public investment.
Keywords:
WP; natural resource; Natural resources; Public Investment; Debt Sustainability; Small Open DSGE Models; DIGNAR; Developing Countries; investment path; scaling-up investment target; investment efficiency; investment adjustment cost parameter; investment approach; investment scaling-up path; resource revenue; Public investment spending; Commercial borrowing; Consumption taxes; Sub-Saharan Africa; Africa
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Malawi: Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper
International Monetary Fund
The Malawi Growth and Development Strategy II (MGDS-II) is a poverty reduction strategy for the period 2006–11, which is aimed at fulfilling Malawi’s future developmental aspiration—Vision 2020. The strategy identifies broad thematic areas and key priority areas to bring about sustained economic growth. A striking feature of this strategy is that the various governmental organizations, private sector, and general public are equal stakeholders. However, successful implementation of MGDS-II will largely depend on sound macroeconomic management and a stable political environment.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; economic growth; natural resources; private sector; climate change; MGDS II; community development; Infrastructure; Transportation; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Malawi: Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper: Growth and Development Strategy
International Monetary Fund
This paper focuses on the Poverty Reduction Strategy Paper (PRSP) and the Malawi Growth and Development Strategy (MGDS). The MGDS is the overarching strategy for Malawi from fiscal year 2006/07 to 2010/2011. The purpose of the MGDS is to serve as a single reference document for policymakers in government; the private sector; civil society organizations; donors and cooperating partners and the general public on socioeconomic growth and development priorities for Malawi. The overriding philosophy of the MGDS is poverty reduction through sustainable economic growth and infrastructure development.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; natural resource; risk management; public goods; local government; net exporter; quality of life; transaction costs; value chain; corporate governance; civil society; exchange rate; HIV and AIDS; Infrastructure; Africa; Sub-Saharan Africa