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Africa > Malawi

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Cover IMF Working Papers
The Quality of the Recent High-Growth Episode in Sub-Saharan Africa
Mr. Marcelo Martinez
and
Mr. Montfort Mlachila
The paper explores the quality of the recent high-growth episode in sub-Saharan Africa by examining the following two questions: (i) what has been the nature and pattern of SSA growth over the past 15 years and how does it compare with previous episodes? (ii) has this growth had an impact on socially desirable outcomes, for example, improvements in health, education and poverty indicators? To do this, the paper first examines various aspects of the fundamentals of growth in SSA—levels, volatility, sources, etc.—according to various country analytical groupings. Second, it explores the extent to which the growth has been accompanied by improvements in social indicators. The paper finds that the quality of growth in SSA over the past 15 years has unambiguously improved, although progress in social indicators has been uneven.
Keywords:
WP; Real GDP growth; health outcome; TFP improvement; poverty-growth nexus; Quality of growth; social indicators; sub-Saharan Africa; income gain; per capita income; mortality rate; poverty-reducing pattern; gross investment; poverty outcome; Capita Real GDP growth; physical capital; poverty indicator; income difference; Total factor productivity; Personal income; Poverty reduction; Africa
Cover IMF Working Papers
Global Shocks and their Impacton Low-Income Countries: Lessons From theglobal Financial Crisis
Mr. Chris Papageorgiou
,
Hans Weisfeld
,
Ms. Catherine A Pattillo
,
Mr. Martin Schindler
,
Mr. Nikola Spatafora
, and
Mr. Andrew Berg
This paper investigates the short-run effects of the 2007-09 global financial crisis on growth in (mainly non-fuel exporting) low-income countries (LICs). Four conclusions stand out. First, for many individual LICs, 2009 was not extraordinarily calamitous; however, aggregate LIC output declined sharply because LICs were unusually synchronized. Second, the growth declines are on average well explained by the decline in export demand. Third, if the external environment facing LICs improves as forecast, their growth should rebound sharply. Finally, and contrary to received wisdom, there are few robust relationships between the cross-country growth variation and the policy and structural environment; the main exceptions are reserve coverage and labor-market flexibility.
Keywords:
WP; growth rate; Per-Capita GDP Growth; Global financial crisis; Low-income countries; External shocks; Short-run growth; external demand; non-fuel-exporting middle-income countries; regression analysis; demand growth; FDI shock; terms of trade growth; Terms of trade; Foreign direct investment; Production growth; Labor market flexibility; Exchange rate arrangements; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
South Africa: Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund
This Selected Issues paper highlights that cautious monetary and fiscal polices of South Africa during 1997 resulted in a return of financial investor confidence and capital inflows during 1997 and through April 1998. These policies helped the South African economy emerge successfully from the exchange market pressures of 1996 and weather the contagion from the East Asian crisis in the second half of 1997. Throughout 1997 and up until May 1998, inflation and market interest rates fell considerably, net international reserves increased, and the net open forward position of the Reserve Bank was reduced sharply.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; government; TFP growth; exchange rate; SADC country; Nontax revenue; capital share; foreign currency; Total factor productivity; Exports; Total expenditures; Commercial banks; Imports; Africa; Southern Africa; East Asia