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Asia and Pacific > Maldives

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Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Bangladesh: Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund. Asia and Pacific Dept
Selected Issues
Keywords:
RMG industry; FDI inflow; health spending efficiency; Bangladesh labor force; TFP growth loss; Climate change; Climate finance; COVID-19; Exports; Global; South Asia; Total factor productivity
Cover Departmental Papers
Is South Asia Ready for Take Off?: A Sustainable and Inclusive Growth Agenda
Ms. Manuela Goretti
,
Mr. Daisaku Kihara
,
Mr. Ranil M Salgado
, and
Ms. Anne Marie Gulde
Since the mid-1980s, durable reforms coupled with prudent macroeconomic management have brought steady progress to the South Asia region, making it one of the world’s fastest growing regions. Real GDP growth has steadily increased from an average of about 3 percent in the 1970s to 7 percent over the last decade. Although growth trajectories varied across countries, reforms supported strong per capita income growth in the region, lifting over 200 million people out of poverty in the last three decades. Today, South Asia accounts for one-fifth of the world’s population and, thanks to India’s increasing performance, contributes to over 15 percent of global growth. Looking ahead, the authors find that South Asia is poised to play an even bigger role in the global economy, in both relative and absolute terms. India has overtaken China as the fastest growing large economy and South Asia’s contribution to global growth is set to increase, while more mature economies decelerate. Greater economic diversification, with an expansion of the service sector, improvements in education, and a still sizable demographic dividend are among the key elements underpinning this performance. Based on demographic trends, more than 150 million people in the region are expected to enter the labor market by 2030. This young and large workforce can be South Asia’s strength, if supported by a successful high-quality and job-rich growth strategy. Amid a changing global economic landscape, the authors argue that South Asia will need to leverage on all sectors of the economy in a balanced way, supporting improvements in agricultural productivity and a sustainable expansion of manufacturing, while promoting higher-skill services, to achieve this goal.
Keywords:
DPPP; DP; India; economy; IMF staff calculation; service sector; South Asia region; FDI liberalization; growth strategy; employment elasticity; liberalization path; pro-business reform; reform scenario; export-led growth; Labor force; Income; Productivity; South Asia; Global; Asia and Pacific
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Maldives: 2010 Article IV Consultation: Staff Report; Staff Statement and Supplement; Public Information Notice on the Executive Board Discussion; and Statement by the Executive Director for Maldives
International Monetary Fund
Owing to severe fiscal and external imbalances, the Maldives government adopted an IMF program in 2009. Despite some crucial initial actions, fiscal slippages and political polarization have undermined the restoration of sustainability. The key policy challenge is to prevent a fiscal crisis, achieve macroeconomic sustainability, and stimulate growth. The authorities concur with the need to tighten monetary policy. The authorities have welcomed the IMF program as a useful framework to guide and reinforce their efforts to restore external balance and fiscal sustainability.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; consultation informational annex; consultation; expenditure information point; debt; financing; staff appraisal; outturn data; data revision; Fiscal consolidation; Public and publicly-guaranteed external debt; Global; Asia and Pacific; I. fund relation; World Bank-IMF Joint Management Action Plan; Debt sustainability analysis
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Maldives: First Review Under the Stand-By Arrangement and the 24-Month Arrangement Under the Exogenous Shocks Facility and Requests for Waivers of Nonobservance of Performance Criteria and Modification of Performance Criterion: Staff Report; Press Release on the Executive Board Discussion; and Statement by the Executive Director for Maldives.
International Monetary Fund
The first review of Maldives’ economic performance under the Stand-By Arrangement (SBA) and the Arrangement under the Exogenous Shocks Facility is discussed. The fiscal deficit in 2009 was estimated at 26¼ percent of GDP, 2½ percentage points lower than previously projected. The growth of monetary aggregates slowed down in line with projections. A key risk concerns the ability of the government to maintain the public sector wage cuts. A negative outcome on this would have a large fiscal impact.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; SDR; economy; debt; monetization; executive board discussion; liquidity absorption effort; restraining expenditure; vulnerability to external shocks; deficit monetization; MMA credit; Public sector wages; Monetary base; Government debt management; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Maldives: 2009 Article IV Consultation: Staff Report; Staff Supplements; Public Information Notice on the Executive Board Discussion; Press Release on the Executive Board Discussion; and Statement by the Executive Director for Maldives
International Monetary Fund
This paper examines the Maldives’ 2009 Article IV Consultation on economic developments and policies. The Maldivian economy is facing large external and fiscal imbalances, resulting from the severe impact of the global financial crisis and exacerbated by an unsustainable fiscal expansion. The global crisis has led to sharp declines in tourism and related investment, other net capital flows, and exports. This has caused a significant fall in fiscal revenue, compounding a large increase in public spending, and pushed the economy into recession. A rising share of the resulting fiscal deficit has been financed by monetization.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; financing; government; deficit; GDP; IMF facility; policy support; Maldivian economy; debt service; IFC assistance program; Fiscal consolidation; Civil service; Global