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International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
La croissance du PIB réel a marqué le pas à 3,8 % en 2023, ralentie par la dégradation des perspectives de l’économie mondiale et l’effet négatif de l’incertitude électorale sur l’investissement. Après avoir atteint un pic en mars 2023, les pressions inflationnistes se sont atténuées. Sous la direction du Président réélu, les autorités sollicitent l’annulation de l’accord en cours au titre de la facilité élargie de crédit (FEC), qui s’achève en juillet 2024, ainsi que de nouveaux accords au titre de la FEC et de la facilité pour la résilience et la durabilité (FRD). Les décaissements cumulés effectués dans le cadre de l’accord en cours au titre de la FEC s’élèvent à 171,08 millions de DTS (70 % de la quote-part, environ 78 % du montant total approuvé).
International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.
Ce rapport résume les ateliers de formation dispensés par la mission en matière de la législation sur les prix de transfert et évalue les progrès du gouvernement dans la mise en œuvre des recommandations précédentes de FAD. Il conclut que l'élaboration de la législation sur les prix de transfert et les conventions fiscales reste incomplète et nécessitera d'autres modifications.
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
This paper presents Republic of Madagascar’s Request for an Arrangement under the Extended Credit Facility (ECF) and Cancellation of the Current Arrangement under the ECF and Request for an Arrangement under the Resilience and Sustainability Facility (RSF). The RSF arrangement will underpin reforms to strengthen adaptation to climate change and resilience against natural disasters, support climate change mitigation efforts, enhance the protection of ecosystems, and create conditions for green private sector investment. Madagascar continues to face challenges, with economic growth easing in a context of weak fiscal performance and gradual reform progress. Going forward, climate change poses significant risks to Madagascar’s economy. The authorities are implementing measures to create fiscal space for much needed social spending and investment. These include medium-term revenue mobilization efforts through tax policy and revenue administration measures. Tackling climate change challenges will be critical for Madagascar’s medium-term macroeconomic resilience. The report suggests that the authorities should take full advantage of the support provided by the IMF and the World Bank through the Enhanced Cooperation Framework for Climate Action, and by other development partners to catalyze private climate financing.
Mr. Rodolfo Maino
,
Theodore Pierre Bikoi
,
Mr. Marcelo Dinenzon
,
Dilek Goncalves
, and
Nelnan Fidèle Koumtingué
This technical note provides an assessment of how external sector statistics capacity development has improved the availability of balance of payments and international investment position data in select countries of sub-Saharan Africa over the period FY2015–22. All countries assessed have made strides to sustain the benefits of capacity development despite continuing challenges.
Lorena Rivero del Paso
,
Sailendra Pattanayak
,
Gerardo Uña
, and
Hervé Tourpe
The Digital Solutions Guidelines for Public Financial Management (Guidelines) are intended to serve as a comprehensive reference material for the assessment, design, and improvement of digital initiatives in the public financial management (PFM) area. To support the digital transformation of PFM functions, the Guidelines are structured around three Pillars – Functional, IT Architectural, and Governance and Management. Each pillar comprises six principles, which are further broken down into one to four attributes to promote more efficient and transparent PFM operations while fostering innovation and managing digital risks. These Guidelines also allow a graduated approach to digital transformation of PFM through three levels of maturity for each Attribute – foundational, intermediate, and advanced – to help take into account country-specific contexts and capacities in digital transformation strategies.
Jean-François Wen
Turnover taxes are prevalent in developing countries as a simple form of presumptive taxation of business income. Such simplified tax regimes can reduce the relatively high compliance costs of micro and small enterprises, which might otherwise discourage entrepreneurs from formalizing their activities and paying taxes. The note addresses design issues for a turnover tax regime—which taxes it replaces, what the criteria are for eligibility, how to determine the optimal threshold, and how to set the tax rate. A key observation is that, although low turnover tax rates may incite larger firms to artificially reduce their sales, the rate should also not be so high as to discourage formalization of activities. A table of tax rates and turnover thresholds observed internationally is provided. The note concludes by suggesting analytical steps to guide practitioners in designing turnover tax regimes.
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
En 2022, le PIB réel a dépassé son niveau antérieur à la pandémie. Cela étant, le repli de la demande émanant des partenaires commerciaux, les phénomènes météorologiques récents et le risque d’accentuation des tensions politiques à l’approche des élections présidentielles, prévues en novembre 2023, continueront de peser sur les perspectives en 2023. Le déficit budgétaire s’est creusé dernièrement, mais le règlement des dettes croisées avec les distributeurs de pétrole devrait améliorer le solde budgétaire en 2023 et réduire les risques budgétaires à l’avenir.
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
This paper discusses Republic of Madagascar’s Fourth Review under the Extended Credit Facility Arrangement and Requests for a Waiver of Nonobservance of Performance Criteria and Modification of Performance Criteria. Madagascar’s growth has decelerated, and inflation remains high. Program performance remains mixed with a breach of the 2022 deficit target but progress on the structural reform agenda. The authorities have also adopted the necessary changes to the public procurement legal framework to allow for the collection and publication of ultimate beneficiary owner information and submitted a revised mining code in line with IMF staff recommendations to Parliament. The authorities are taking measures to adjust non-priority spending in the face of lower-than-expected revenue in 2023. It is proposed to relax the 2023 domestic primary deficit target to accommodate higher transfers to the electricity state-owned enterprises that reported record losses in 2022 and accumulated large arrears. Related modifications of other quantitative performance criteria are also proposed. Improvement in budget execution, transparency, and governance are critically needed to foster stronger and sustainable growth.
International Monetary Fund. Fiscal Affairs Dept.
and
International Monetary Fund. Strategy, Policy, & Review Department
This paper reviews the two Climate Macroeconomic Assessment Program (CMAP) pilots and proposes a way forward. It builds on the experience of the previous six Climate Change Policy Assessment (CCPA) pilots, and the recent rollout of the World Bank’s Country Climate and Development Report (CCDR). It also accounts for early experience with countries requesting support under the Fund’s Resilience and Sustainability Trust (RST). Based on the lessons from pilots and recent developments, staff proposes to streamline the CMAP to focus on the Fund’s comparative advantages in the areas of mitigation, PFM and macro-fiscal impact of climate change policies, provide a streamlined CMAP in exceptional circumstances, and expand more targeted CD in particular in support of RSF countries. This focused and tailored approach would benefit members as it is more agile, allows the Fund to serve more members within the same resource envelope and enhance synergies with other Fund products and the World Bank’s CCDR.
Dominique Fayad
Food insecurity dramatically increased in Madagascar over the last 10 years, hampering human development. Using most recent data and surveys conducted by UN Agencies and local authorities, this paper analyzes the root causes of food insecurity in Madagascar related to demographic vulnerabilities, multidimensional poverty, lack of education, as well as structural weaknesses in the food value chain and the lack of basic infrastructure, such as irrigation and transportation, that hamper agricultural activity development. Moreover, Madagascar is exposed to a large variety of climate shocks that climate change will likely exacerbate. This paper formulates country specific macroeconomic and operational policy recommendations in collaboration with the World Food Program to reduce food insecurity, which include i) measures to improve the emergency response and preparedness, ii) policies to address structural food insecurity, by improving the food chain and addressing challenges posed by climate shocks, and iii) measures to improve Green PFM and climate related public investment management to invest in long-term resilience and mobilize external financing.