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Africa > Madagascar, Republic of

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Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Republic of Madagascar: Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
This Selected Issues paper analyses tax revenue mobilization potential in Madagascar and lessons learned from successful episodes in sub-Saharan African (SSA) countries. The analysis shows that there is a significant tax potential including through a possible broadening of the tax base, notably for consumption taxation; and underscores the importance of a comprehensive revenue strategy, including by combining reforms in tax policy and in tax and customs administrations. Significant progress has been made in terms of organization, simplification of procedures, management, and dialogue with the taxpayers. Communication between the two tax administrations could be improved. The tax administrations should notify each other if a case of fraud. Also, the domestic tax administration should have access to customs import/export data: many importers are active and make customs declarations without being identified by the domestic tax administration. Given the weaknesses in the provision of public services, social dialogue and consultation are important to explain the rationality of the tax system and the use of the tax revenue by the State.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; investment; country; public investment; theorical tax potential; audit performance; tax frontier; PPP investment portfolio; investment-growth linkage; Public investment spending; Public investment and public-private partnerships (PPP); Credit; Central bank policy rate; Sub-Saharan Africa
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Republic of Madagascar: 2019 Article IV Consultation and Sixth Review Under the Extended Credit Facility Arrangement-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Republic of Madagascar
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
This paper presents 2019 Article IV Consultation with the Republic of Madagascar and its Sixth Review Under the Extended Credit Facility (ECF) Arrangement. Madagascar’s performance under its economic program supported by the ECF arrangement has been broadly satisfactory with solid growth, moderate single digit inflation, and a robust external position. As a fragile, low-income country, Madagascar continues to face risks associated with weak implementation capacity, potential fiscal slippages, social fragility in a context of widespread poverty, and vulnerability to exogenous shocks including to terms of trade and natural disasters. Going forward, a commitment to strong policies and an ambitious agenda to complete outstanding structural reforms remains crucial to mitigate internal and external risks, strengthen macroeconomic stability, and achieve higher, sustainable, and inclusive growth. The authorities’ economic reform agenda summarized in the Plan Emergence Madagascar aims to raise economic growth through increased public and private investment, strengthening human capital, and improving governance. Creating additional fiscal space by further improving revenue mobilization through a medium-term tax revenue strategy, containing lower priority spending, and enhancing investment implementation capacity is essential for scaling-up priority investment and social spending in education, health, and housing.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; Malagasy authorities; Executive Board discussion; ECF arrangement; investment implementation capacity; reform agenda; scaling-up priority investment; Public investment and public-private partnerships (PPP); Credit; Sub-Saharan Africa; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Republic of Madagascar: Fourth Review Under the Extended Credit Facility and Request for Modification of Performance Criteria-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for the Republic of Madagascar
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Madagascar’s economic recovery continued in 2018, notwithstanding challenges related to the presidential election in November/December 2018. While some economic pressures developed in the second half of 2018, economic conditions remained generally positive. Completion of the presidential election, continued implementation of the economic reform program, and stable functioning of public institutions have buttressed confidence, and the newly-elected President has committed to pursuing the country’s reform program, including plans to address some slippages.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; fuel distributor; minister of energy; public utility JIRAMA; JIRAMA; budget
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Republic of Madagascar: Fourth Review Under the Extended Credit Facility and Request for Modification of Performance Criteria-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for the Republic of Madagascar
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
This paper discusses Madagascar’s Fourth Review under the Extended Credit Facility (ECF) and Request for Modification of Performance Criteria. Madagascar’s economic recovery continued in 2018, notwithstanding challenges related to the presidential election in November/December 2018. While some economic pressures developed in the second half of 2018, economic conditions remained generally positive. The discussions focused on maintaining progress on the key objectives of the program, especially boosting fiscal space for priority investment and social spending by containing lower priority spending. The main challenges involved fuel pricing and transfers to the public utility, JIRAMA. Other issues included structural reforms to promote inclusive growth, most notably in investment capacity, the financial sector, and governance. The outlook continues to be generally positive. Pursuit of economic reforms should yield results, while the pressures in 2018 from higher oil prices and pre-electoral weakness in confidence abate under the baseline. As a low-income country with an open economy, Madagascar remains vulnerable to exogenous shocks.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; fuel distributor; minister of energy; public utility JIRAMA; JIRAMA; budget; executive board discussion; reform effort; disbursement of SDR; Public investment spending; Fiscal stance; Credit; Public investment and public-private partnerships (PPP); Global; Southern Africa; East Africa
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Republic of Madagascar: Third Review Under the Extended Credit Facility and Request for Modification of Performance Criteria-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Republic of Madagascar
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
The gradual economic recovery in this fragile state has persisted, with solid growth for the second consecutive year. Fiscal performance has been strong, inflation contained, and the external position robust. Implementation of the authorities’ economic program, supported by an Extended Credit Facility (ECF) arrangement approved in July 2016, has been generally strong, buttressing the recovery.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; government; staff appraisal; presidential election date; parliament
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Republic of Madagascar: Third Review Under the Extended Credit Facility and Request for Modification of Performance Criteria-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Republic of Madagascar
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
The gradual economic recovery in this fragile state has persisted, with solid growth for the second consecutive year. Fiscal performance has been strong, inflation contained, and the external position robust. Implementation of the authorities’ economic program, supported by an Extended Credit Facility (ECF) arrangement approved in July 2016, has been generally strong, buttressing the recovery.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; government; staff appraisal; presidential election date; parliament; Extended Credit Facility arrangement; executive board discussion; ECF arrangement; Debt sustainability analysis; Public and publicly-guaranteed external debt; Fiscal stance; Sub-Saharan Africa; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Republic of Madagascar: Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
Selected Issues
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; investment project; infrastructure investment; private sector; investment efficiency; Malagasy authorities
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Republic of Madagascar: Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
This Selected Issues paper surveys the economic costs of corruption in Madagascar, and provides a few ideas on how to advance anticorruption reforms. Madagascar’s governance indicators weakened significantly during the transition period 2009–13. Governance indicators that generally were on par with middle-income countries in Sub-Saharan Africa (SSA) ten years ago have regressed and converged to the average of fragile SSA countries. After the return of constitutional order in 2014, the government has started to address corruption, mainly through the introduction of new laws so far. More emphasis is needed on effective implementation and raising sufficient resources to fight corruption.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; investment project; infrastructure investment; private sector; investment efficiency; Malagasy authorities; anti-corruption agency; investment coordination unit; Public investment and public-private partnerships (PPP); Public investment spending; Corruption; Infrastructure; Global; Africa; Sub-Saharan Africa
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Republic of Madagascar: 2017 Article IV Consultation, First Review Under the Extended Credit Facility Arrangement, and Request for Waiver of Nonobservance of Performance Criterion, Modification of Performance Criterion and Augmentation of Access-Press Release; Staff Report; Informational Annex, Debt Sustainability Analysis, and Statement by the Executive Director for Republic of Madagascar
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
This 2017 Article IV Consultation highlights that economic developments in Madagascar were encouraging in 2016. Driven by public investment, increasing textile exports, and accelerating activity in agroindustry, economic growth reached 4.2 percent in 2016—the highest level since 2008. Reforms continued in revenue administration, and fiscal revenue exceeded targets. Inflation was contained at 7.0 percent at end-2016. The external position strengthened significantly, benefitting from a positive shock to vanilla export prices and strong growth in manufacturing exports. In spite of current challenges, the medium term outlook is favorable. Growth is projected to accelerate, driven by the investment scaling up, tourism, garments and other light manufacturing, mining, and productivity gains in agriculture.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; authority; public utility company JIRAMA; current account; exchange rate; ECF arrangement; Executive Board assessment; investment program; one-off recapitalization; Public investment and public-private partnerships (PPP); Sub-Saharan Africa