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Africa > Madagascar, Republic of

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Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Republic of Madagascar: Request for Disbursement under the Rapid Credit Facility-Press Release and Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for the Republic of Madagascar
International Monetary Fund. African Dept.
This paper discusses Republic of Madagascar’s Request for Disbursement Under the Rapid Credit Facility (RCF). The coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic is having a severe impact on Madagascar’s economy. Due to dramatic declines in tourism and disruptions to manufacturing and extractive industry exports, as well as transport, communications, and services, real gross domestic product growth is likely to decline sharply. The fiscal situation is also deteriorating rapidly with additional health and social spending outlays and a significant shortfall in tax revenue. Fund support under the RCF is expected to help the authorities meet the urgent fiscal and external financing needs to mitigate the impact of the pandemic. The authorities are taking immediate measures to address the human and economic impact of the pandemic, while preserving macroeconomic stability. These include increases in health spending, help to the most vulnerable, support to the private sector, and actions to preserve the stability of the financial sector and maintain the flexible exchange rate regime.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; IMF support; financing; RCF disbursement; SDR; disbursement; executive board discussion; SDR exchange rate; disbursement under the Rapid Credit Facility; Credit; COVID-19; Imports; Fiscal stance; Global; Budget planning and preparation
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Republic of Madagascar: Second and Third Review Under the Three-Year Arrangement Under the Poverty Reduction and Growth Facility and Request for Waiver and Modification of Performance Criteria—Staff Report; Staff Statement; Press Release on the Executive Board Discussion; and Statement by the Executive Director for Republic of Madagascar
International Monetary Fund
There has been progress in strengthening public financial management; however, improving budget execution and strengthening public finances is required. The tax and custom administration reforms will help bolster private sector-led growth and meet the ambitious revenue target to finance priority expenditure. Monetary and exchange rate policy is required to reduce inflation while preventing an overshooting of the exchange rate. Further progress is needed to foster financial sector development. A more ambitious rehabilitation plan for the electricity sector needs to be designed and implemented with urgency.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; customs revenue; staff appraisal; tax revenue collection; authority; IMF staff representative; PRGF arrangement; Poverty reduction strategy; Monetary base; Imports; Southern Africa; Africa; Global; East Africa
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Republic of Madagascar: Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund
This Selected Issues paper on the Republic of Madagascar reports on the several key themes associated with longer-term development issues in Madagascar. As one of the poorest countries in sub-Saharan Africa, Madagascar suffers from low levels of social indicators across all fronts including education, health, water and sanitation, and infrastructure. To make progress toward the Millennium Development Goals, the country will need to scale up substantially both public and private investment while taking actions to increase absorptive and institutional capacity and implementing supportive policies in each of the priority sectors.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; Madagascar; trade; tariff; core inflation measure; Madagascar imports; core rate; inflation trend; SADC imports; Inflation; Imports; Tariffs; Africa; Sub-Saharan Africa; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Republic of Madagascar: Selected Issues and Statistical Appendix
International Monetary Fund
This Selected Issues paper and Statistical Appendix analyzes the relationship among prices, income, and money in Madagascar over the period 1982–2004. It finds that a stable long-run relationship for the price level exists, but that the adjustment toward this long-term equilibrium is quite slow. The paper presents an assessment of the real effective exchange rate. It also presents some qualitative competitiveness indicators and examines the performance of exports in Madagascar at an aggregate and product level.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; exchange rate; inflation expectation; chapter III; exchange rate regime; export base; inflation inertia; competitiveness indicator; Real effective exchange rates; Exchange rate arrangements; Exports; Terms of trade; Inflation; Europe
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Republic of Madagascar: Staff Report for the 2005 Article IV Consultation
International Monetary Fund
This 2005 Article IV Consultation highlights that macroeconomic developments in Madagascar in 2003 and 2004 were dominated by the sharp depreciation of the national currency, and rising inflation pressures, with year-over-year consumer price inflation reaching 30 percent at end-February 2005. At the same time, the current account deficit widened considerably in 2004. In the medium term, real GDP growth is expected to average 6 percent per year, and fiscal consolidation is projected to continue, driven by an improvement of revenue performance and modest expenditure increases.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; authority; policy; plan; program ownership; Malagasy authorities; revenue performance; authorities consent; policy slippage; revenue-to-GDP ratio; donor assistance; revenue-enhancing policy; Credit; Exports; Southern Africa
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Republic of Madagascar: Fourth Review Under the Poverty Reduction and Growth Facility and Requests for Extension of the Arrangement and Additional Interim Assistance Under the Enhanced Initiative for Heavily Indebted Poor Countries
International Monetary Fund
Madagascar showed strong economic growth and low inflation under the Poverty Reduction and Growth Facility (PRGF) Arrangement. Executive Directors commended these developments, and stressed the need to restore fiscal discipline, improve governance, strengthen the business climate to encourage private investment, and accelerate structural reforms. They welcomed the plan to privatize and rehabilitate the telecom, cotton, sugar, and utility companies, and agreed that Madagascar has successfully completed the fourth review under the PRGF program, and approved waiver, additional interim assistance, and an extension of the arrangement.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; SDR; PRGF arrangement; staffs assessment; tariff relief law; cyclone Gafilo; vanilla export; PRGF loan; Poverty reduction strategy; Exports; Tariffs; Southern Africa; East Africa; Africa
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Madagascar: Third Review Under the Poverty Reduction and Growth Facility
International Monetary Fund
Madagascar showed satisfactory performance under the Poverty Reduction and Growth Facility (PRGF) program. Executive Directors agreed that the crisis has undermined the timely achievement of the program, requiring the government to redouble its efforts. They welcomed the 2003 budget and stressed the need for strengthening fiscal and monetary policies and accelerating structural reforms. They urged the need to address the problems of inefficiency and corruption in the public administration. They emphasized the need to decisively implement the strategy, and successfully complete the third review under the PRGF arrangement.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; currency conversion; PRGF arrangement; information campaign; joint staff assessment; PRGF loan; price data; two-step approach; Debt relief; Exports; Southern Africa
Cover IMF Working Papers
The Equilibrium Real Exchange Rate of the Malagasy Franc: Estimation and Assessment
Mr. John Cady
Employing cointegration techniques, the long-run determinants of Madagascar's real exchange rate are examined from a stock-flow perspective. The long-run behavior of the real effective exchange rate is explained by the net foreign asset position and factors affecting trade flows. An index of the long-run equilibrium real exchange rate is developed to assess the degree of misalignment. The general conclusions are that the Malagasy franc has experienced significant misalignment in the past, but that the recent appreciation of the real effective exchange rate is consistent with changes in the fundamentals, particularly anticipated improvements in the net foreign assets position stemming from Madagascar's eligibility for assistance under the enhanced HIPC Initiative.
Keywords:
WP; estimation; coefficient; Madagascar; vector; real exchange rate; cointegration; exchange rate misalignment; coefficient estimate; Engle-granger estimation technique; Johansen estimation technique; integration vector; cointigration estimation technique; Johansen method estimate; estimation period; test statistics; Real exchange rates; Real effective exchange rates; Terms of trade; Estimation techniques; Foreign assets
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Madagascar: Staff Report for the 2002 Article IV Consultation, Second Review Under the Poverty Reduction and Growth Facility, and Requests for Extension of Arrangement, Waiver of Performance Criteria, and for Interim Assistance under the Enhanced Initiative for Heavily Indebted Poor Countries
International Monetary Fund
This paper examines Madagascar’s 2002 Article IV Consultation, Second Review Under the Poverty Reduction and Growth Facility (PRGF), and Requests for Extension of Arrangement. Madagascar’s performance under the PRGF-supported program in 2001 was strong, with the exception of weak revenue collection, an issue that the new government has begun to address. The budget for 2003 is consistent with the macroeconomic constraints, and places an appropriate emphasis on revenue mobilization and on wage restraint. Administrative procedures need to be streamlined to ensure faster expenditure commitment and execution of donor-funded projects.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; poverty reduction strategy paper; authority; financing; PRGF arrangement; poverty alleviation effort; PRGF loan; expenditure prioritization; Structural reforms; Credit; Debt relief; Exports; Southern Africa; East Africa
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Madagascar: Selected Issues and Statistical Appendix
International Monetary Fund
This Selected Issues paper analyzes recent economic developments and policies in Madagascar. Real GDP growth in 2001 was 6 percent, continuing the trend of sustained increase in per capita real GDP that began during the period 1997–2000. The secondary and tertiary sectors were the main sources of growth. The value added of the secondary sector, which accounts for only 13.3 percent of output, increased by 7.6 percent in 2001, following an annual average increase of 5 percent in 1997–2000.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; government; firm; Madagascar; tertiary sector; country; EPZ firm; primary sector; Malagasy authorities; state petroleum company; telecommunication company; market share; EPZ regime; factor cost; Exports; Export performance; Real exchange rates; Foreign direct investment; Real effective exchange rates; Southern Africa; East Africa