Europe > Montenegro

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Francesco Spadafora
,
Mr. Emidio Cocozza
, and
Mr. Andrea Colabella
This paper analyzes the impact of the global crisis on six South-Eastern European countries. The main objective is to compare macro-financial conditions and policies in the run-up to the crisis as well as to compare the policy responses to it, so as to highlight, inter alia, possible country-specific constraints. While sharing a common pre-crisis pattern of strong capital inflows and robust growth, a key difference in the conduct of macroeconomicpolicies is that some countries adopted expansionary (and procyclical) fiscal policies. These moves exacerbated external vulnerabilities and compromised the ability to discretionarily use the fiscal instrument in acountercyclical fashion.
International Monetary Fund
This paper highlights the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia’s Second Review Under the Stand-By Arrangement and Modification of Performance Criteria. Economic activity is recovering from low levels in the Republic, while progress has been made in lowering inflation. Adjusting for large increases in administered prices and indirect taxes, core inflation is tentatively estimated at about 15–20 percent. The balance of payments feature a widening trade deficit and robust invisible receipts. The authorities are grateful for the wide range of technical assistance they received from the IMF and the World Bank.
International Monetary Fund
The Federal Republic of Yugoslavia is faced with the task of stabilizing and reviving a devastated economy after years of military conflicts, sanctions, and economic mismanagement. A weakened institutional capacity and the still evolving political situation is a cause for concern. A short-term macroeconomic strategy is required to bring down inflation. The fiscal position should be improved, and the continued incurrence of expenditure arrears should be avoided. The government should adopt a comprehensive economic program of stabilization and reform that can be supported by the IMF.