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Europe > Montenegro

You are looking at 1 - 5 of 5 items for :

  • Type: Journal Issue x
  • Books and Analytical Papers x
  • Trade Policy; International Trade Organizations x
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Cover IMF Working Papers
Does A Regional Trade Agreement Lessen or Exacerbate Growth Volatility? An Empirical Investigation
Mr. Kangni R Kpodar
and
Patrick A. Imam
This paper assesses how regional trade agreements (RTAs) impact growth volatility on a worldwide sample of 170 countries with data spanning the period 1978-2012. Notwithstanding concerns that trade openness through RTAs can heighten exposure to shocks, in particular when it leads to increased product specialization, RTAs through enhanced policy credibility, improved policy coordination, and reduced risk of conflicts can ease growth volatility. Empirical estimations suggest the benefits outweigh the costs as RTAs are consistently associated with lower growth volatility, after controlling for trade openness and other determinants of growth volatility. Furthermore, regression results also suggest that countries that are more prone to shocks are more likely to join a RTA, in particular with countries with relatively less volatile growth, additionally enhancing the stabilization effect.
Keywords:
WP; growth volatility; regional trade agreement; trade openness; RTA member; trade partner; standard deviation; mega-RTAs agreement; growth rate; RTA dummy variable; affect growth volatility; trade creation; RTA member country; Regional trade; Exports; Imports; Trade agreements; Terms of trade; West Africa; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Republic of Kosovo: Selected Issues Paper
International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
This Selected Issues paper on the Republic of Kosovo’s 2013 Article IV Consultation highlights growth and Kosovo’s external environment. In the wake of the global financial crisis, Kosovo’s economic growth slowed but remained positive, while most other Western Balkans slipped into recession. Moreover, the annual average growth rate has been among the highest in the Western Balkans since the onset of the financial crisis in 2007. Kosovo’s tax-to-GDP ratio is comparable to the average of Southeastern Europe, although its tax system relies significantly more on indirect taxation—including a high share of trade taxes. Kosovo’s reliance on trade taxes may create budgetary pressures in the event of further trade liberalization.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; Kosovo; tax; trade; trade liberalization; FDI inflow; IMF BOP manual; trade tax; FX financing need; banking sector development; Taxes on trade; Trade liberalization; Remittances; Income and capital gains taxes; Global; Europe; Eastern Europe; Central Asia
Cover IMF Working Papers
Trade Liberalization Strategies: What Could South Eastern Europe Learn From Cefta and Bfta?
Antonis Adam
,
Mr. James McHugh
, and
Mr. Theodora Kosma
This paper explores the effectiveness of the Central European Free Trade Area (CEFTA) and the Baltic Free Trade Area (BFTA). Estimates from a gravity model and bilateral trade data support the view that both CEFTA and BFTA helped expand regional trade and limit the emergence of a "hub-and-spoke" relationship between the CEECs and the European Union (EU). These empirical conclusions carry some important policy implications for the "second wave" of prospective EU members among Southeastern European Countries (SEECs). The paper argues that the SEECs should reconsider their bilateral approach to trade liberalization and move towards a multilateral free-trade area as exemplified by both the CEFTA and BFTA.
Keywords:
WP; BFTA agreement; EU agreement; market share; CEFTA membership; EU accession process; Trade liberalization; gravity models; stability pact; CEFTA; BFTA; EU enlargement; EU membership; BFTA country; CEFTA exports to the EU; Customs unions; Exports; Trade agreements; Trade balance; Europe; Eastern Europe; Baltics
Cover Policy Papers
Building Peace in South East Europe - Macroeconomic Policies and Structural Reforms Since the Kosovo Conflict
International Monetary Fund
NULL
Keywords:
PP; SEE country; FYR Macedonia; FR Yugoslavia; country authorities; foreign direct investment; free trade; Foreign direct investment; Trade liberalization; Trade facilitation; Privatization; Tariffs; Eastern Europe; Southern Europe; Europe; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Federal Republic of Yugoslavia: Request for a Stand-By Arrangement
International Monetary Fund
The new government of the Federal Republic of Yugoslavia has formulated and started to implement an ambitious program of stabilization and reform with impressive speed and commitment. The program provides for macroeconomic policies designed to reduce inflation and support reconstruction coupled with bold reforms. The policy achievements so far have been impressive. Prudent policies alone cannot ensure progress toward sustainable growth and external viability. The program sets the basis for the country in achieving sustainable output growth and a viable external position.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; FRY authorities; Yugoslavia; stand-by credit; financial asset; agreement; FRY economy; executive board discussion; tariff schedule; Commercial banks; Arrears; Debt service