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Europe > Latvia, Republic of

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Cover Staff Discussion Notes
Emigration and Its Economic Impact on Eastern Europe
Mr. Ruben V Atoyan
,
Lone Engbo Christiansen
,
Allan Dizioli
,
Mr. Christian H Ebeke
,
Mr. Nadeem Ilahi
,
Ms. Anna Ilyina
,
Mr. Gil Mehrez
,
Mr. Haonan Qu
,
Ms. Faezeh Raei
,
Ms. Alaina P Rhee
, and
Ms. Daria V Zakharova
This paper analyses the impact of large and persistent emigration from Eastern European countries over the past 25 years on these countries’ growth and income convergence to advanced Europe. While emigration has likely benefited migrants themselves, the receiving countries and the EU as a whole, its impact on sending countries’ economies has been largely negative. The analysis suggests that labor outflows, particularly of skilled workers, lowered productivity growth, pushed up wages, and slowed growth and income convergence. At the same time, while remittance inflows supported financial deepening, consumption and investment in some countries, they also reduced incentives to work and led to exchange rate appreciations, eroding competiveness. The departure of the young also added to the fiscal pressures of already aging populations in Eastern Europe. The paper concludes with policy recommendations for sending countries to mitigate the negative impact of emigration on their economies, and the EU-wide initiatives that could support these efforts.
Keywords:
SDN; CESEE country; CESEE emigration; labor force; CESEE emigrant; migration flow; Emigration; remittances; growth; convergence; Eastern Europe; EU migration scenario; remittance inflow; Migration; Income; Labor force participation; Baltics; Western Europe; Europe; EU policy scenario; UN migration scenario; income convergence; impact of emigration; emigration from CESEE; Skilled labor
Cover Staff Discussion Notes
A Strategy for Resolving Europe's Problem Loans
Mr. Shekhar Aiyar
,
Mr. Wolfgang Bergthaler
,
Jose M Garrido
,
Ms. Anna Ilyina
,
Andreas Jobst
,
Mr. Kenneth H Kang
,
Dmitriy Kovtun
,
Ms. Yan Liu
,
Mr. Dermot Monaghan
, and
Ms. Marina Moretti
Europe’s banking system is weighed down by high levels of non-performing loans (NPLs), which are holding down credit growth and economic activity. This discussion note uses a new survey of European country authorities and banks to examine the structural obstacles that discourage banks from addressing their problem loans. A three pillared strategy is advocated to remedy the situation, comprising: (i) tightened supervisory policies, (ii) insolvency reforms, and (iii) the development of distressed debt markets.
Keywords:
SDN; book value; unsecured debt; expected return; profit sharing; NPL ratio; NPL resolution; bank capitalization; area bank; real GDP; bank profitability; capital buffer; Nonperforming loans; Distressed assets; Loans; Solvency; Debt restructuring; Europe; Global
Cover Staff Discussion Notes
Tax Biases to Debt Finance: Assessing the Problem, Finding Solutions
Ruud A. de Mooij
Staff Discussion Notes showcase the latest policy-related analysis and research being developed by individual IMF staff and are published to elicit comment and to further debate. These papers are generally brief and written in nontechnical language, and so are aimed at a broad audience interested in economic policy issues. This Web-only series replaced Staff Position Notes in January 2011.
Keywords:
SDN; CIT rate; debt issuance; income tax; cost of capital; debt-equity choice; intracompany debt; debt holder; debt-asset ratio; debt level; pre-existing debt; Debt bias; Corporate income tax; Allowance for corporate equity; Comprehensive business income tax; Stocks; Europe
Cover Staff Discussion Notes
A Fiscal Indicator for Assessing First and Second Pillar Pension Reforms
Mauricio Soto
,
Frank Eich
, and
Mr. Benedict J. Clements
Staff Discussion Notes showcase the latest policy-related analysis and research being developed by individual IMF staff and are published to elicit comment and to further debate. These papers are generally brief and written in nontechnical language, and so are aimed at a broad audience interested in economic policy issues. This Web-only series replaced Staff Position Notes in January 2011.
Keywords:
SDN; budget balance; Fiscal policy; explicit and implicit government debt; pension obligations and reforms; population aging; pension balance; group liability; pension-adjusted balance; current-period balance; Pension spending; Budget planning and preparation; Pension reform; Fiscal stance; Fiscal sustainability; Central and Eastern Europe; Eastern Europe
Cover Guidelines for Foreign Exchange Reserve Management
Guidelines for Foreign Exchange Reserve Management
Accompanying Document and Case Studies
International Monetary Fund

Abstract

This accompanying document to the Guidelines for Foreign Exchange Reserve Management, which the IMF published in 2004, presents case studies prepared by reserve management entities in 20 countries. These sample case studies illustrate how a range of countries from around the world, at different stages of economic and financial development and institutional structure, have developed their capacity in reserve management in the areas covered by the Guidelines. The various strategies adopted by the countries, which are based on the country-specific policy environment, offer useful insights and suggestions to countries seeking to strengthen their policy frameworks for reserve management.

Keywords:
M&G; portfolio; reserve; risk; market; ST debt; securities lending; portfolio management statistics; ratio of reserve; credit card ABS; portfolio manager; Reserves management; Currencies; International reserves; Market risk; Liquidity; Global; Europe; East Asia; liquidity portfolio; reserves portfolio; country case studies; currency risk; Credit risk