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Middle East and Central Asia > Kyrgyz Republic

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  • Type: Journal Issue x
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Cover Departmental Papers
Macroprudential Policies to Enhance Financial Stability in the Caucasus and Central Asia
Padamja Khandelwal
,
Ezequiel Cabezon
,
Mr. Sanan Mirzayev
, and
Rayah Al-Farah
Limited economic diversification has made the economies of the Caucasus and Central Asia particularly vulnerable to external shocks. The economies in the region are heavily reliant on oil and mining exports as well as remittances. In some countries, tourism and capital flows also play a prominent role in aggregate economic activity.
Keywords:
Financial risks; financial supervision and regulation; macroprudential policy; credit cycles; CCA country; CCA economy; CCA contribution; economies of the Caucasus and Central Asia; credit downturn; banking sector crisis; credit cycle analysis methodology; Macroprudential policy; Credit; Credit gaps; Countercyclical capital buffers; Macroprudential policy instruments; Central Asia and the Caucasus
Cover Departmental Papers
Managing Financial Sector Risks from the COVID-19 Crisis in the Caucasus and Central Asia
Iulia Ruxandra Teodoru
and
Klakow Akepanidtaworn
The COVID-19 crisis raises the risk of renewed financial sector pressures in the Caucasus and Central Asia (CCA) region in the period ahead. Bank distress and its economic and fiscal fallout have been recurring features of many CCA countries, as seen after the global financial crisis and the 2014–15 oil price shock. Strong policy responses have delayed the full impact of the COVID crisis so far, but financial sector risks will increase once public support is phased out. If these risks are not preemptively addressed, banks’ ability to lend during the recovery phase could be impaired and there may be a need for costly public interventions, as in the past.
Keywords:
Financial risks; stress tests; financial supervision and regulation; CCA country; CCA banking systems; FX risk; CCA bank's capital adequacy ratios; FX-induced credit risk; Financial sector risk; Commercial banks; Credit risk; Nonperforming loans; Central Asia and the Caucasus
Cover IMF Working Papers
Macroprudential Policies, Economic Growth, and Banking Crises
Mohamed Belkhir
,
Samy Ben Naceur
,
Bertrand Candelon
, and
Jean-Charles Wijnandts
Using a sample that covers more than 100 countries over the 2000-2017 period, we assess the impact of macroprudential policies on financial stability. In particular, we examine whether the activation of macroprudential policies is conducive to a lower incidence of systemic banking crises. Our empirical setup is designed to account for the potential direct and indirect effects that macroprudential policies can have on banking crises. We find that while macro-prudential policies exert a direct stabilizing effect, they also have an indirect destabilizing effect, which works through the depressing of economic growth. A Generalized Impulse Response Function analysis of a dynamic system composed of the probability of a banking crisis and economic growth reveals, however, that macroprudential policies have a positive net effect on financial stability (lower likelihood of systemic banking crises).
Keywords:
WP; policy; policy tightening; Macroprudential Policies; Banking crises; Economic Growth; prudential policy; macroprudential policy; crisis probability; macropru-dential policy; crisis index; tools lead; countercyclical policy tool; banking crisis database; policy instrument; policy tool; macropudential policy; Macroprudential policy; Systemic crises; Emerging and frontier financial markets; Global; aggregate mpi
Cover Spillover Notes
The Spillover Effects of Russia’s Economic Slowdown on Neighboring Countries
Ara Stepanyan
,
Agustin Roitman
,
Gohar Minasyan
,
Ms. Dragana Ostojic
, and
Mr. Natan P. Epstein
In the face of sharply lower oil prices and geopolitical tensions and sanctions, economic activity in Russia decelerated in late 2014, resulting in negative spillovers on Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) and, to a lesser extent, on Baltic countries. The spillovers to eastern Europe have been limited. The degree of impact is commensurate with the level of these countries’ trade, remittances, and foreign direct investment (FDI) links with Russia. So far, policy action by the affected countries has focused on mitigating the immediate consequences of spillovers.
Keywords:
SN; Russia; exchange rate; CIS country; CIS oil importer; growth slowdown; import ban; exchange rate depreciation; growth shock; Spillovers; Oil prices; Exchange rates; Depreciation; Remittances; Baltics; Eastern Europe
Cover Departmental Papers
The Spillover Effects of Russia’s Economic Slowdown on Neighboring Countries
Ara Stepanyan
,
Agustin Roitman
,
Gohar Minasyan
,
Ms. Dragana Ostojic
, and
Mr. Natan P. Epstein
In the face of sharply lower oil prices and geopolitical tensions and sanctions, economic activity in Russia decelerated in late 2014, resulting in negative spillovers on Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) and, to a lesser extent, on Baltic countries. The spillovers to eastern Europe have been limited. The degree of impact is commensurate with the level of these countries’ trade, remittances, and foreign direct investment (FDI) links with Russia. So far, policy action by the affected countries has focused on mitigating the immediate consequences of spillovers.
Keywords:
DPPP; DP; Russia; exchange rate; dollar; CIS country; CIS oil importer; import ban; growth slowdown; exchange rate depreciation; growth shock; Spillovers; Oil prices; Exchange rates; Currencies; Depreciation; Baltics; Eastern Europe; Global
Cover Policy Papers
FY2016 - FY2018 Medium-Term Budget
International Monetary Fund
For the net administrative budget, the FY 16–18 medium-term budget (MTB) proposal includes: In FY 16, an unchanged budget envelope in real terms, for the fourth year in a row. To accommodate new and ongoing strategic priorities of the Fund within a flat envelope, efforts to reallocate resources away from lower-priority activities and achieve efficiency gains were stepped up both at the departmental level and across the institution. Savings measures implying a reallocation of resources of close to 5 percent of the net administrative budget were identified through this process. The bulk of these savings would be used to help meet the new priorities highlighted in the Global Policy Agenda and in Management’s Key Goals, while preserving room at the departmental level to further reduce work pressures, phase in the new streamlining measures and, more generally, cope with business uncertainties and unanticipated demands. This robust prioritization effort implies difficult trade-offs and the willingness to cut lower-priority activities in order to create space for new initiatives. For FY 17–18, as a baseline assumption, a flat real budget envelope as well. Against the backdrop of a robust income position, the Fund’s medium-term budget formulation is guided primarily by considerations of prudence and credibility. The medium-term spending path will depend on new demands placed on the institution, and the scope for further reprioritization, and will be reassessed in the context of the FY 17–19 budget.
Keywords:
PP; right; PPM discussion; Fund; budget envelope; program review; Fund resource; staff paper; Budget planning and preparation; Personal income; Credit; Financial Sector Assessment Program; Global
Cover International Monetary Fund Annual Report 2009
International Monetary Fund Annual Report 2009
Fighting the Global Crisis
International Monetary Fund

Abstract

The IMF's 2009 Annual Report chronicles the response of the Fund's Executive Board and staff to the global financial crisis and other events during financial year 2009, which covers the period from May 1, 2008, through April 30, 2009. The print version of the Report is available in eight languages (Arabic, Chinese, English, French, German, Japanese, Russian, and Spanish), along with a CD-ROM (available in English only) that includes the Report text and ancillary materials, including the Fund's Financial Statements for FY2009.

Keywords:
AR; AREA; Fund; country; The Fund; lending; financial crisis; CIS economy; IMF activity; CIS export market; prices of commodity export; IMF headquarters; Budget planning and preparation; Human capital; Poverty reduction strategy; Financial Sector Assessment Program; Global; Africa; Europe
Cover IMF Survey
IMF Survey, Volume 36 Issue 10
International Monetary Fund. External Relations Dept.
IMF work agenda; IMF exchange rate advice; Asia's trade pacts; Central Asia: economic cooperation; Cameroon after debt relief; spread of Austrian banks; conference on financial soundness indicators; Caruana on shifting roles in financial globalization.
Keywords:
SV; SDR; country; IMF Survey MAGAZINE; print version; exchange rate; IMF survey; IMF quota; e-mail notification service; unit of account of the IMF; Exchange rate policy; Exchange rates; Financial soundness indicators; Trade agreements; Trade liberalization; Global; Asia and Pacific; Central Asia; Europe; South Asia; Sub-Saharan Africa
Cover IMF Survey
IMF Survey, Volume 35, Issue 20
International Monetary Fund. External Relations Dept.
Murilo Portugal, Agustin Carstens, Kyrgyz Republic, HIPC, central Asia, Indonesian debt, Saudi Arabian economy, Peter Kenen, European Central Bank, ECB, Danish economy, flexicurity,Burundi's economy, aid volatility, Indian and China, Doing Business.
Keywords:
SV; Rodrigo de Rato; Agustín Carstens; economy; Kyrgyz authorities; IMF quota; papers IMF; IMF executive director; management team; Labor markets; Unemployment; Dutch disease; Financial sector stability; Europe; Global; Africa; Central Asia; Asia and Pacific
Cover Policy Papers
Operational Framework for Debt Sustainability Assessments in Low-Income Countries - Further Considerations
International Monetary Fund
Building on initial discussions of the proposed framework in February/March 2004, and further considerations in September 2004, this paper responds to remaining concerns that need to be resolved to make the framework operational. These concerns relate to the indicative debt-burden thresholds (Section II); the interaction of the framework with the HIPC Initiative (Section III); and the modalities for Bank-Fund collaboration in deriving a common assessment of sustainability (Section IV). This note should be read in conjunction with the original proposal, which presented the wider issues on the use of the indicative thresholds, the evaluation of policies and institutions, and the need for discretion when assessing sustainability on a forward-looking basis.
Keywords:
PP; country; NPV; debt-burden threshold; policy; medium-policy country; country team; debt sustainability; country economist; member country authorities; debt outlook; risk of debt distress; Debt sustainability; Debt sustainability analysis; Debt relief; Stress testing; Debt service; Global