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Middle East and Central Asia > Kyrgyz Republic

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Cover Technical Notes and Manuals
Understanding Artificial Intelligence in Tax and Customs Administration
Joshua Aslett
,
Stuart Hamilton
,
Ignacio Gonzalez
,
David Hadwick
, and
Michael A Hardy
This technical note provides an overview of current thinking on artificial intelligence (AI) in tax and customs administration. Written primarily for senior officials, the intent of the note is to provide an awareness of AI that can help inform decision making and planning. The note opens with an exploration of historic and ongoing AI developments. It then provides an overview of legal and ethical concerns, AI use cases, guidance on how to promote AI's responsible use, and logic for introducing AI use cases into an operational setting. The note closes by presenting a selection of questions being debated by experts. In its annexes, the note includes (1) an example of an AI policy; (2) references to help develop AI strategy; and (3) methodology to risk assess AI use cases.
Keywords:
tax administration; customs administration; artificial intelligence; generative artificial intelligence; AI regulation; strategy and planning; use case; AI strategy; understanding AI; AI Policy; risk assessment; Tax administration core functions; Customs administration core functions; Training and development in revenue administration; Europe; Global
Cover Policy Papers
Use of Third-Party Indicators in Fund Reports
International Monetary Fund
Fund staff use indicators developed by other organizations as input into analysis in surveillance and, to a lesser extent, in program work. While the Fund has been able to rely on data and statistics provided by member countries and compiled internally, continued efforts to foster global economic and financial stability require staff to work with indicators drawn from numerous third-party compilers. These indicators of varied qualities are used to measure concepts such as business environment, competitiveness, and quality of governance. It is anticipated that staff will continue to draw on other institutions’ expertise and estimates. This practice is consistent with the Executive Board’s guidance in areas where internal expertise is lacking or limited. It also puts a premium on staff’s understanding of the third-party indicators (TPIs) used to add analytical value, avoid flawed conclusions and presentation, and support traction with the membership. This paper outlines a framework to promote best practice with respect to use of TPIs in Fund reports. The framework will apply to all documents that are subject to the Fund’s Transparency Policy. Staff are encouraged to follow similar guidelines for other Fund documents. It draws on lessons from the current practice in the Fund and other selected international organizations (IOs), and insights from the application of an adapted data quality assessment framework (DQAF) to a subset of TPIs commonly used by Fund staff. Common good practices across IOs include the emphasis on staff judgment, review, and consultation with stakeholders.
Keywords:
PP; third-party indicator; director; fund staff; indicator; staff effort; staff analysis; staff report; Data Quality Assessment Framework (DQAF); Business environment; Corruption; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
A Quality of Growth Index for Developing Countries: A Proposal
Mr. Montfort Mlachila
,
Rene Tapsoba
, and
Mr. Sampawende J Tapsoba
This paper proposes a new quality of growth index (QGI) for developing countries. The index encompasses both the intrinsic nature and social dimensions of growth, and is computed for over 90 countries for the period 1990-2011. The approach is premised on the fact that not all growth is created equal in terms of social outcomes, and that it does matter how one reaches from one level of income to another for various theoretical and empirical reasons. The paper finds that the quality of growth has been improving in the vast majority of developing countries over the past two decades, although the rate of convergence is relatively slow. At the same time, there are considerable cross-country variations across income levels and regions. Finally, emprirical investigations point to the fact that main factors of the quality of growth are political stability, public pro-poor spending, macroeconomic stability, financial development, institutional quality and external factors such as FDI.
Keywords:
WP; correlation matrix; composite index; final period; standard deviation; Quality of growth; social indicators; QGI score; benchmark QGI; QGI process; QGI dynamics; growth fundamentals; QGI value; QGI performance; Inclusive growth; Personal income; Income inequality; Sub-Saharan Africa; Africa
Cover IMF Working Papers
Measuring the Informal Economy in the Caucasus and Central Asia
Mr. Yasser Abdih
and
Leandro Medina
This study estimates the size of the informal economy, and the relative contribution of each underlying factor, for the Caucasus and Central Asia countries in 2008. Using a Multiple Indicator-Multiple Cause model, we find that a burdensome tax system, rigid labor market, low institutional quality, and excessive regulation in financial and products markets are determinant factors in explaining the size of the informal economy, which ranges from 26 percent of GDP in Kyrgyz Republic to around 35 percent of GDP in Armenia. Furthermore, the results show that higher levels of informality increase the levels of self employment and the percentage of currency held outside the banking system.
Keywords:
WP; financial market; regulation; unobserved informal economy; Informal economy; latent variable; Caucasus and Central Asia; informal economy variance; product market restriction; size of the informal economy; informal economy size; informal economy for the Caucasus and Central Asia; Commodity markets; Tax incidence; Self-employment; Central Asia and the Caucasus
Cover IMF Working Papers
Global Shocks and their Impacton Low-Income Countries: Lessons From theglobal Financial Crisis
Mr. Chris Papageorgiou
,
Hans Weisfeld
,
Ms. Catherine A Pattillo
,
Mr. Martin Schindler
,
Mr. Nikola Spatafora
, and
Mr. Andrew Berg
This paper investigates the short-run effects of the 2007-09 global financial crisis on growth in (mainly non-fuel exporting) low-income countries (LICs). Four conclusions stand out. First, for many individual LICs, 2009 was not extraordinarily calamitous; however, aggregate LIC output declined sharply because LICs were unusually synchronized. Second, the growth declines are on average well explained by the decline in export demand. Third, if the external environment facing LICs improves as forecast, their growth should rebound sharply. Finally, and contrary to received wisdom, there are few robust relationships between the cross-country growth variation and the policy and structural environment; the main exceptions are reserve coverage and labor-market flexibility.
Keywords:
WP; growth rate; Per-Capita GDP Growth; Global financial crisis; Low-income countries; External shocks; Short-run growth; external demand; non-fuel-exporting middle-income countries; regression analysis; demand growth; FDI shock; terms of trade growth; Terms of trade; Foreign direct investment; Production growth; Labor market flexibility; Exchange rate arrangements; Global
Cover Policy Papers
Kyrgyz Republic - Joint Economic Assessment Report for the Kyrgyz Republic Donor Conference, Bishkek, July 27, 2010
International Monetary Fund
At the time of the 2005 review of the Fund’s transparency policy, it was agreed that information on key trends in implementation of the transparency policy would be circulated to the Board regularly, along with lists indicating the publication status of reports discussed by the Board. The set of tables provided in this report updates the last Key Trends2 with information on documents published through December 2009.
Keywords:
PP; private sector; economic crisis; Kyrgyz authorities; interim government; economic activity; economic recovery; Infrastructure; Budget planning and preparation; Housing; Securities; Global; Central Asia; Asia and Pacific
Cover IMF Working Papers
Mainstreaming Statistics in the Poverty Reduction Strategy Approach to Provide for More Effective Technical Assistance: Some Experience at the IMF
Mr. Robin D Kibuka
The paper reviews the Poverty Reduction Strategy (PRS) approach and efforts to build institutional statistical capacity to permit evidence-based monitoring of the Poverty Reduction Strategy Papers (PRSPs). Integrating the PRS approach and statistical development strategies could provide significant synergies in improving the monitoring of the PRSP goals. Mainstreaming the statistical strategies in such development plans should enhance the national priority for statistical reforms and provide a basis for costing such reforms for their incorporation into the medium-term expenditure framework. The paper concludes that such an outcome is likely to facilitate funding for the implementation of these reforms and boost the effectiveness of statistical technical assistance.
Keywords:
WP; information; sc; country; process
Cover IMF Survey
Bulletin du FMI vol. 36, n° 10, juin 2007
International Monetary Fund. External Relations Dept.
Programme de travail du FMI ; recommandations du FMI sur le taux de change ; accords commerciaux asiatiques ; Asie centrale ; coopération économique ; le Cameroun après l'allègement de la dette ; spread des banques autrichiennes ; conférence sur les indicateurs de solidité financière ; Caruana : évolution des responsabilités en matière de mondialisation financière.
Keywords:
SV; SDR; country; IMF Survey MAGAZINE; print version; exchange rate
Cover IMF Survey
IMF Survey, Volume 36 Issue 10
International Monetary Fund. External Relations Dept.
IMF work agenda; IMF exchange rate advice; Asia's trade pacts; Central Asia: economic cooperation; Cameroon after debt relief; spread of Austrian banks; conference on financial soundness indicators; Caruana on shifting roles in financial globalization.
Keywords:
SV; SDR; country; IMF Survey MAGAZINE; print version; exchange rate; IMF survey; IMF quota; e-mail notification service; unit of account of the IMF; Exchange rate policy; Exchange rates; Financial soundness indicators; Trade agreements; Trade liberalization; Global; Asia and Pacific; Central Asia; Europe; South Asia; Sub-Saharan Africa
Cover IMF Survey
Boletín del FMI Vol.36, No.10 junio de 2007
International Monetary Fund. External Relations Dept.
Programa de trabajo del FMI; asesoramiento del FMI sobre tipos de cambio; pactos comerciales en Asia; cooperación económica en Asia central; Camerún tras el alivio de la deuda; expansión de los bancos de Austria; conferencia sobre indicadores de solidez financiera; Caruana aborda los cambios de funciones que trae aparejados la globalización financiera.
Keywords:
SV; SDR; country; IMF Survey MAGAZINE; print version; exchange rate