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Middle East and Central Asia > Kyrgyz Republic

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Cover Policy Papers
Use of Third-Party Indicators in Fund Reports
International Monetary Fund
Fund staff use indicators developed by other organizations as input into analysis in surveillance and, to a lesser extent, in program work. While the Fund has been able to rely on data and statistics provided by member countries and compiled internally, continued efforts to foster global economic and financial stability require staff to work with indicators drawn from numerous third-party compilers. These indicators of varied qualities are used to measure concepts such as business environment, competitiveness, and quality of governance. It is anticipated that staff will continue to draw on other institutions’ expertise and estimates. This practice is consistent with the Executive Board’s guidance in areas where internal expertise is lacking or limited. It also puts a premium on staff’s understanding of the third-party indicators (TPIs) used to add analytical value, avoid flawed conclusions and presentation, and support traction with the membership. This paper outlines a framework to promote best practice with respect to use of TPIs in Fund reports. The framework will apply to all documents that are subject to the Fund’s Transparency Policy. Staff are encouraged to follow similar guidelines for other Fund documents. It draws on lessons from the current practice in the Fund and other selected international organizations (IOs), and insights from the application of an adapted data quality assessment framework (DQAF) to a subset of TPIs commonly used by Fund staff. Common good practices across IOs include the emphasis on staff judgment, review, and consultation with stakeholders.
Keywords:
PP; third-party indicator; director; fund staff; indicator; staff effort; staff analysis; staff report; Data Quality Assessment Framework (DQAF); Business environment; Corruption; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Kyrgyz Republic: Third Review Under the Three-Year Arrangement Under the Extended Credit Facility, and Request for Modification of Performance Criteria-Press Release; Staff Report
International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
This paper discusses the Kyrgyz Republic’s Third Review under the Three-Year Arrangement under the Extended Credit Facility (ECF) and the Request for Modification of Performance Criteria (PCs). Program conditionality has been broadly met. All end-June 2016 quantitative PCs and indicative targets have been met. All but two structural benchmarks were met. The review of subsidies was not completed on time owing to limited capacity. The authorities are requesting modification of PCs to reflect the revised macroeconomic outlook and the availability of the fourth disbursement on completion of the review. The IMF staff supports completing the third review of the authorities' program under the ECF arrangement.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; Kyrgyz authorities; real GDP; Kyrgyzstan; exchange rate; national bank of the Kyrgyz Republic; expenditure measure; Kyrgyz government; policy slippage; authorities' effort; Loans; Anti-money laundering and combating the financing of terrorism (AML/CFT); Central Asia
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Kyrgyz Republic: Second Review Under the Three-Year Arrangement Under the Extended Credit Facility, and Request for Modification of Performance Criteria-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for the Kyrgyz Republic
International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
External shocks continue to shape both the outlook and policies. A weaker-than-expected external environment is hurting growth, straining the budget, and raising public debt and banking sector vulnerabilities. The authorities’ response to shocks has focused on exchange rate flexibility and unorthodox stimulus measures, although the budget deficit in 2015 was well within the program target. For 2016, the authorities are undertaking additional efforts to adhere to the program’s fiscal commitments. Financial sector vulnerabilities and risks are high and rising. Slow progress toward passing the Banking Law that aims to introduce a modern bank resolution system and increase the independence of the National Bank of the Kyrgyz Republic remains a concern. The change in the cabinet just six months after the elections underlines the fluidity of the country’s political situation.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; Kyrgyz authorities; Kyrgyzstan; exchange rate depreciation; authority; SDR; national bank of the Kyrgyz Republic; disbursement of SDR; Kyrgyz economy; Kyrgyz government; Loans; Anti-money laundering and combating the financing of terrorism (AML/CFT); Central Asia; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Kyrgyz Republic: Request for a Three-Year Arrangement Under the Extended Credit Facility
International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
This paper discusses the Kyrgyz Republic’s Request for a Three-year Arrangement Under the Extended Credit Facility (ECF). Performance under the previous ECF arrangement, which expired last July, was good. Macroeconomic stability was restored, fiscal consolidation was stronger than planned, monetary policy was enhanced through a new interest rate-based framework, and supervision was strengthened in the financial sector. Although performance under the last ECF arrangement was good, new challenges have emerged, and some key reforms have yet to be implemented. The IMF staff supports the authorities’ request for a three-year arrangement under the ECF.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; government; Kyrgyzstan; ECF arrangement; Kyrgyz authorities; debt management strategy; Extended Credit Facility arrangement; Kyrgyz government; development fund; Credit; Anti-money laundering and combating the financing of terrorism (AML/CFT); Central Asia; Europe
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Kyrgyz Republic: Sixth Review Under the Three-Year Arrangement Under the Extended Credit Facility; Staff Report; and Press Release
International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY Political context. On April 3, 2014, parliament approved a new government, led by Mr. Otorbaev, the new Prime Minister. The ministers of economy and finances kept their positions. Moreover, on May 7, 2014, a new chairperson was appointed for the National Bank of the Kyrgyz Republic (NBKR). No major changes in economic policies are expected. In February 2014, parliament approved a new deal with Centerra, ending a two-year dispute over the Kumtor gold mine. Background. In the first quarter, growth moderated to 5.6 percent (year-on-year) after the 2013 growth spike at 10.5 percent related to an unexpectedly high level of gold production. In the same period, inflation picked up slightly, owing to depreciation of the som in response to pressures from the depreciation of the Russian ruble and the devaluation of the Kazakh tenge. The NBKR intervened heavily to mitigate these pressures, but has recently rebuilt reserves to ensure a more comfortable level of over three months of imports. The current account is expected to deteriorate this year because of higher imports related to large public investments and FDI-financed infrastructure projects. Fiscal performance in 2013 was better than expected, with a deficit of 4 percent of GDP, but revenue headwinds call for a cautious budget in 2014. The medium-term outlook remains broadly favorable, provided prudent macroeconomic policies continue and are supported with structural reforms, including tax policy and administration reforms, public financial management (PFM) reforms, and implementation of FSAP recommendations, in particular the Banking Code. Program. The program is broadly on track, with all end-December 2013 quantitative performance criteria and all but one indicative targets (IT) met for end-December 2013. Although three March 2014 ITs were missed, since then there has been progress in rebuilding reserves and enhancing tax collections. The two structural benchmarks (SBs) for end-December were met, and the SB on signing the contract with one of the big four audit companies to audit the Debt Resolution Agency (DEBRA) is expected to be completed with delay. The remaining SB on introducing the Treasury Single Account (TSA) on a pilot basis was missed. Overall, the Kyrgyz authorities are completing a broadly successful three-year ECF arrangement, although further reforms will be needed to preserve and deepen the accomplishments. Despite occasional domestic political turmoil, the authorities have regained and maintained macroeconomic stability, consolidated the fiscal position, implemented a new monetary framework, and embarked on a comprehensive banking sector reform. The authorities have not yet expressed their intentions regarding a successor program.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; government; ECF arrangement; Kyrgyz authorities; SDR
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Kyrgyz Republic: Kyrgyz Republic—Sixth Review Under the Three-Year Arrangement Under the Extended Credit Facility
International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
This paper discusses Kyrgyz Republic’s Sixth Review Under the Three-Year Arrangement Under the Extended Credit Facility. Following exceptionally strong performance in 2013, growth is moderating to a more sustainable pace. The program is broadly on track, with all end-December 2013 quantitative performance criteria and all but one indicative targets (IT) met for end-December 2013. Although three March 2014 ITs were missed, since then there has been progress in rebuilding reserves and enhancing tax collections. The two structural benchmarks for end-December were met. The IMF staff supports the completion of the sixth and final review.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; government; ECF arrangement; Kyrgyz authorities; SDR; Kyrgyz government; state government; Kyrgyz portfolio; Kyrgyz program; private sector; bank resolution; Central Asia
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Kyrgyz Republic: 2013 Article IV Consultation and Fourth Review Under the Three-Year Arrangement Under the Extended Credit Facility, Request for Waiver of Nonobservance of a Performance Criterion, and Request for Modification of Performance Criteria—Staff Report; Public Information Notice and Press Release on the Executive Board Discussion; and Statement by the Executive Director for the Kyrgyz Republic
International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
In recent years, the IMF has released a growing number of reports and other documents covering economic and financial developments and trends in member countries. Each report, prepared by a staff team after discussions with government officials, is published at the option of the member country.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; Kyrgyz authorities; Kyrgyzstan; SDR; authority; IMF's executive board
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Kyrgyz Republic: 2013 Article IV Consultation and Fourth Review Under the Three-Year Arrangement Under the Extended Credit Facility, Request for Waiver of Nonobservance of a Performance Criterion, and Request for Modification of Performance Criteria—Staff Report; Public Information Notice and Press Release on the Executive Board Discussion; and Statement by the Executive Director for the Kyrgyz Republic
International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
The shift to a parliamentary democracy in 2010 provided an impetus for the Kyrgyz Republic to reform the economy. Despite the recent progress, the Kyrgyz Republic faces significant economic challenges, which will require actions on many fronts. Improving the business climate, governance, and institutions remains a key pillar of sustainable and inclusive growth. Restoring fiscal sustainability will be essential, as the budget has become more dependent on external assistance since the 2009 global and 2010 domestic crises. Tight monetary policy continues to be warranted to keep inflation at bay.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; Kyrgyz authorities; Kyrgyzstan; SDR; authority; IMF's executive board; executive board's decision; state government; transmission mechanism; Anti-money laundering and combating the financing of terrorism (AML/CFT); Global; Central Asia
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Kyrgyz Republic: Third Review Under the Three-Year Arrangement Under the Extended Credit Facility and Request for Modification of Performance Criteria—Staff Report; Staff Supplement and Statement; Press Release on the Executive Board Discussion; and Statement by the Executive Director for Kyrgyz Republic.
International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.
The Kyrgyz Republic has stabilized with the formation of a new coalition, but political uncertainty remains. Despite a slump in gold production and delays in donor financing, monetary and fiscal policies remained prudent. Improving the business climate, good governance, and strong institutions remain key to sustaining strong growth over the medium term. Fiscal consolidation with strong revenue measures and prudent expenditure policies are instrumental in safeguarding macroeconomic stability. More forceful reform efforts are needed to ensure long-term viability of the banking sector.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; Kyrgyz authorities; revenue shortfall; government's priority expenditure; staff appraisal; SDR; IMF's executive board; Anti-money laundering and combating the financing of terrorism (AML/CFT); Total expenditures; Global; Central Asia
Cover Improving Governance and Fighting Corruption in the Baltic and CIS Countries
Improving Governance and Fighting Corruption in the Baltic and CIS Countries
The Role of the IMF
International Monetary Fund

Abstract

Drawing on recent examples of corruption in the Baltics and former Soviet Union, this pamphlet analyzes the links between governance and corruption, and emphasizes the high economic cost that corruption exacts. The pamphlet outlines how the IMF is working with the countries of the former Soviet Union to curb corruption, and put in place the regulatory and legal changes needed to support good government.

Keywords:
EI; state; enterprise; governance; state energy company; textile plant; CIS country; country self-assessments; governance problem; government transparency; accountancy firm; Corruption; Baltics