Middle East and Central Asia > Kyrgyz Republic

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International Monetary Fund. Middle East and Central Asia Dept.

Abstract

This issue discusses economic developments in the Middle East, North Africa, Afghanistan, and Pakistan (MENAP), which continue to reflect the diversity of conditions prevailing across the region. Most high-income oil exporters, primarily in the GCC, continue to record steady growth and solid economic and financial fundamentals, albeit with medium-term challenges that need to be addressed. In contrast, other countries—Iraq, Libya, and Syria—are mired in conflicts with not only humanitarian but also economic consequences. And yet other countries, mostly oil importers, are making continued but uneven progress in advancing their economic agendas, often in tandem with political transitions and amidst difficult social conditions. In most of these countries, without extensive economic and structural reforms, economic prospects for the medium term remain insufficient to reduce high unemployment and improve living standards.

International Monetary Fund
This Ex Post Assessment of Longer-Term Program Engagement for the Kyrgyz Republic explains macroeconomic and structural performance. External debt service claimed a steadily increasing share of fiscal revenues, but a strengthened commitment to prudent fiscal policies and improved policy capacity have helped to turn around macroeconomic performance. Fiscal policy must deliver on its revenue targets, while addressing poverty and servicing large external debt obligations. Debt reduction must continue to be a main objective of any IMF-supported program.
International Monetary Fund
This paper examines the Kyrgyz Republic’s 2002 Article IV Consultation, Second Review Under the Poverty Reduction and Growth Facility (PRGF), and a Request for Waiver of Performance Criterion. All performance criteria but one were observed for the period under review (April 1, 2002–September 30, 2002). The end-September targets on net international reserves and net domestic assets were met with wide margins. The fiscal deficit was within the program limit, despite the shortfall in revenues owing to the decline in real GDP. The target on tax collection was met thanks to improved tax administration.
International Monetary Fund
This paper evaluates the Kyrgyz Republic’s First Review Under the Three-Year Arrangement Under the Poverty Reduction and Growth Facility (PRGF). All quantitative performance criteria have been observed, and the program is on track. The end-March net international reserves target was exceeded by 20 percent of reserve money, and net domestic assets remained below the program ceiling by 4 percent of reserve money. The program’s fiscal performance criteria were also met. The program conditionality on structural reforms was satisfied.
International Monetary Fund
Executive Directors commend the government for their achievements in macroeconomic stabilization. Continuing growth, low inflation, and stability in the foreign exchange market provide a solid foundation for the new program. Renewed effort to strengthen tax administration is required. Success in fiscal consolidation depends on streamlining public investment. The National Bank of the Kyrgyz Republic (NBKR) has to balance between maintaining low inflation and satisfying the economy's liquidity needs. A continuation of the tight monetary policy is needed. The Kyrgyz Republic's external debt is a serious problem.