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Middle East and Central Asia > Jordan

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  • Economic Forecasting x
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Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Jordan: Technical Assistance Report-Forecasting Framework for Currency in Circulation
International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
The currency in circulation forecasting model presently used by the Central Bank of Jordan is aligned with international practices and provides a solid basis for liquidity management. The central bank uses an Auto Regressive Integrated Moving Average (ARIMA) model with many indicator variables to model binary seasonality and to capture special events. The ARIMA model is fitted on daily currency in circulation data using a standard maximum likelihood estimator. This ARIMA approach is aligned with the models traditionally used by central banks in emerging and middle-income countries.
Keywords:
moving average; staff level agreement; IMF team; hierarchy forecasting; ARIMA model; Monetary base; Currency issuance; Open market operations; Global
Cover IEO Annual Report 2014
IEO Annual Report 2014
International Monetary Fund. Independent Evaluation Office

Abstract

The 2014 Annual Report of the Independent Evaluation Office of the International Monetary Fund.

Keywords:
IEOR; IEO; evaluation; IEO evaluation; IEO FY2015; IEO work program; budget proposal; IMF statistics; IEO budget; IEO's objective; Capital account liberalization; Fiscal consolidation; Poverty reduction strategy; Budget planning and preparation; Human capital; Global; Sub-Saharan Africa