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Middle East and Central Asia > Jordan

You are looking at 1 - 7 of 7 items for :

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Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Jordan: Technical Assistance Report-Monetary and Financial Statistics Mission
International Monetary Fund. Statistics Dept.
This Technical Assistance report on Jordan discusses that financial system of Jordan is dominated by other depository corporations (ODC), which constitute around 63 percent of the financial system’s assets. The technical assistance mission delivered objectives and agreed with the authorities on an action plan to improve the country’s monetary statistics. Some progress has been made in the Central Bank trial accounts regarding the sectorization and classification of the financial instruments. The Central Bank of Jordan (CBJ) has made substantive progress in improving human resource skills among staff. The accounting principles are found to be broadly in line with the methodology of the IMF with some departures related to market valuation. The accounting and valuation methodology implemented by the ODCs in Jordan are broadly in line with the recommended compilation practices identified in the Monetary and Financial Statistics Manual and Compilation Guide. Considering the change in the source data since 2014, the mission re-mapped the source data, using data from the aggregated balance sheet of the banking sector and the accompanying schedules through a bridge table. The mission built a time series for all the required data and created a tool linking the data to the Standardized report forms. The tool provides CBJ staff with a simpler method for data compilation.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; CBJ source data; CBJ trial; CBJ supervision; CBJ staff; CBJ datum; Financial statements; Business enterprises; Commercial banks; Financial statistics
Cover IMF Working Papers
FinTech in Financial Inclusion: Machine Learning Applications in Assessing Credit Risk
Majid Bazarbash
Recent advances in digital technology and big data have allowed FinTech (financial technology) lending to emerge as a potentially promising solution to reduce the cost of credit and increase financial inclusion. However, machine learning (ML) methods that lie at the heart of FinTech credit have remained largely a black box for the nontechnical audience. This paper contributes to the literature by discussing potential strengths and weaknesses of ML-based credit assessment through (1) presenting core ideas and the most common techniques in ML for the nontechnical audience; and (2) discussing the fundamental challenges in credit risk analysis. FinTech credit has the potential to enhance financial inclusion and outperform traditional credit scoring by (1) leveraging nontraditional data sources to improve the assessment of the borrower’s track record; (2) appraising collateral value; (3) forecasting income prospects; and (4) predicting changes in general conditions. However, because of the central role of data in ML-based analysis, data relevance should be ensured, especially in situations when a deep structural change occurs, when borrowers could counterfeit certain indicators, and when agency problems arising from information asymmetry could not be resolved. To avoid digital financial exclusion and redlining, variables that trigger discrimination should not be used to assess credit rating.
Keywords:
WP; ML model; bears risk; machine learning technique; ML analysis; ML evaluation; FinTech Credit; Financial Inclusion; Machine Learning; Credit Risk Assessment; ML analyst; credit risk driver; FinTech credit company; credit scoring; supervised machine learning model; capital structure; borrower default; neural network; Credit risk; Credit; Credit ratings; Loans; Global
Cover Policy Papers
Ensuring Financial Stability in Countries with Islamic Banking
International Monetary Fund
This paper discusses the need for ensuring financial stability in countries with Islamic Banking (IB). IB continues to grow rapidly, in size and complexity, posing a challenge to supervisory authorities and central banks. The legal environment within which IBs operate can be complex and challenging and may have implications for financial stability. IBs operate in diverse legal environments, some of which are more evolved than others in providing strong legal underpinnings for IB. International governance standards apply to IB but need to be customized to consider IBs’ distinct governance features. Significant progress has been achieved in developing prudential standards for IB, although broader implementation and more consistent application are needed. Progress has been slow in developing IB’s liquidity management and money markets. In recent years, hybrid financial products in IB have emerged that replicate aspects of conventional finance in an IB context, raising financial stability concerns. The IMF has played an important role in promoting financial stability in IB jurisdictions, working closely with IB standard setters, and international organization to shape IB standards and promote best practices.
Keywords:
PP; IB jurisdiction; balance sheet; IB industry; IB operation; IB practice; IB product; IB service; IB depositor; IB activity; IB products; IB governance; IBS stability; Islamic banking; Legal support in revenue administration; Deposit insurance; Capital adequacy requirements; Global; Middle East; East Asia; Central Asia; Sub-Saharan Africa
Cover IMF Working Papers
The Jordanian Stock Market—Should You Invest in It for Risk Diversification or Performance?
Mr. Martin Petri
and
Tahsin Saadi Sedik
We analyze the performance of the Amman Stock Exchange (ASE) and its integration with other markets. Using cointegration techniques, we find that the ASE and other Arab stock markets are cointegrated, which implies little long-run risk diversification. However, there is no cointegrating relationship between the ASE and other emerging or developed stock markets. Two of the main regional stock markets-Kuwait and Saudi Arabia-Grangercause the Jordanian stock market. The paper finds that there may have been some overvaluation at end-2005, but that the market correction in early 2006 and strong recent earnings growth have reduced overvaluation concerns.
Keywords:
WP; ASE index; dividend yield; U.S. dollar; price index
Cover Financial Development and Growth in the Middle East and North Africa
Financial Development and Growth in the Middle East and North Africa
Ms. Susan Creane
,
Mr. Ahmed Mushfiq Mobarak
,
Miss Randa Sab
, and
Rishi Goyal

Abstract

In this study, the authors assess financial sector development in the MENA regionand propose several policy measures, which include reinforcing the institutional environment and promoting nonbank financial sector development, to enhance this sector’s performance.

Keywords:
MISC PUBS; Misc.; MENA region; bank; Jordan; nonbank financial system; banking sector theme; rediscount subsidy; audit bank; repurchase agreement; deposit money bank; public sector bank; loan interest rates; physical capital; corporate bond bond market; banking sector development; Financial sector development; Financial sector; Commercial banks; Nonbank financial institutions; Credit; North Africa; East Africa; Middle East; East Asia
Cover IMF Working Papers
Informational Efficiency in Developing Equity Markets
Mr. C. John McDermott
and
Mr. Paul Cashin
The issue of informational efficiency in the evolution of asset prices is examined using data on equity markets in Jordan, Turkey and Pakistan over the period 1986–93. The analysis is carried out in two steps. The parameters of agents’ dynamic consumption and investment decisions are first estimated, and then the implied equity market price, based on market fundamentals, is compared with the actual evolution of equity market prices. While the informational efficiency of each of the three markets is found to be deficient, the causes of market inefficiency are varied. For Jordan it appears that a large negative shock to economic activity in the late 1980s caused agents to discount market fundamentals. For Turkey and Pakistan it is likely that institutional and legal rigidities in equity and banking markets resulted in these markets being illiquid, although this lack of market depth did reduce in severity for Turkey over the sample period, as liberalization of financial markets occurred.
Keywords:
WP; informational efficiency; utility function; market fundamentals; banking market; asset market liberalization; rate of return; market efficiency; market movement; financial market regulation; market information; Stock markets; Stocks; Asset prices; Consumption; Estimation techniques; Global; Middle East
Cover IMF Working Papers
Emerging Equity Markets in Middle Eastern Countries
Mr. Mohamed A. El-Erian
and
Mr. Manmohan S. Kumar
Within a broad framework for analyzing portfolio capital flows to developing countries, the paper undertakes a comparative analysis of equity markets in six Middle Eastern countries. The analysis, based primarily on a range of quantitative indicators, identifies the principal characteristics of these markets, including relative to international comparators, and examines associated structural features. This, along with an analysis of the informational efficiency of selected markets in the region, provides a basis for the subsequent review of policies for enhancing the role of equity markets in the macroeconomy of Middle Eastern countries.
Keywords:
WP; secondary market; constant dollars; market capitalization; price change; private sector; intrinsic value; rate of return; bull market; export market opportunity; financial support; reduction operation; market place; opportunity cost; Stock markets; Emerging and frontier financial markets; Stocks; Capital markets; International capital markets; Middle East