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Middle East and Central Asia > Jordan

You are looking at 1 - 2 of 2 items for :

  • Type: Journal Issue x
  • Prices, Business Fluctuations, and Cycles: General (includes Measurement and Data) x
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Cover IMF Working Papers
Business Cycles and Workers' Remittances: How Do Migrant Workers Respond to Cyclical Movements of GDP At Home?
Mr. Serdar Sayan
Workers' remittances are often argued to have a tendency to move countercyclically with the GDP in recipient countries since migrant workers are expected to remit more during down cycles of economic activity back home. Yet, how much to remit is a complex decision involving other factors, and different variables driving remittance behavior are differently affected by the state of economic activity over the business cycle. This paper investigates the behavior of workers' remittances flows into 12 developing countries over their respective business cycles during 1976-2003 and finds that countercyclicality of receipts is not commonly observed across these countries.
Keywords:
WP; remittance; role remittances play; remittance behavior; spending; workers’ remittances; business cycles; consumption vs. investment motive; remittance receipt; remittances cycle; remittances series; workers' remittance; Bangladesh's remittances receipt; remittance flow; Remittances; Migrant labor; Income; Procyclicality; Africa; Middle East
Cover IMF Working Papers
Estimating Indexes of Coincident and Leading Indicators: An Application to Jordan
Mr. Joannes Mongardini
and
Tahsin Saadi Sedik
The analysis of coincident and leading indicators can help policymakers gauge the short-term direction of economic activity. While such analysis is well established in advanced economies, it has received relatively little attention in many emerging market and developing economies, reflecting in part the lack of sufficient historical data to determine the reliability of these indicators. This paper presents an econometric approach to deriving composite indexes of coincident and leading indicators for a small open economy, Jordan. The results show that, even with limited monthly observations, it is possible to establish meaningful economic and statistically significant relations between indicators from different sectors of the economy and the present and future direction of economic activity.
Keywords:
WP; leading indicator; economic activity; composite index; Jordan; coincident indicators; leading indicators; Jordanian dinar; composite index of leading economic indicators; confidence interval; adjusted leading indicators; OECD methodology; composite indexes of coincident and leading economic indicators; leading indicators of economic activity; share price; Cyclical indicators; Business cycles; Industrial production; Emerging and frontier financial markets; Production index; Global