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Asia and Pacific > India

You are looking at 1 - 10 of 13 items for :

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Cover IMF Working Papers
The Economic Impacts and the Regulation of AI: A Review of the Academic Literature and Policy Actions
Mariarosaria Comunale
and
Andrea Manera
We review the literature on the effects of Artificial Intelligence (AI) adoption and the ongoing regulatory efforts concerning this technology. Economic research encompasses growth, employment, productivity, and income inequality effects, while regulation covers market competition, data privacy, copyright, national security, ethics concerns, and financial stability. We find that: (i) theoretical research agrees that AI will affect most occupations and transform growth, but empirical findings are inconclusive on employment and productivity effects; (ii) regulation has focused primarily on topics not explored by the academic literature; (iii) across countries, regulations differ widely in scope and approaches and face difficult trade-offs.
Keywords:
Artificial Intelligence (AI); labor market; task exposure; productivity; regulation; governance.; productivity effect; regulation of AI; AI system; AI model; AI technology; Artificial intelligence; Machine learning; Automation; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
Inclusive GovTech: Enhancing Efficiency and Equity Through Public Service Digitalization
Manabu Nose
How could the GovTech improve budget processes and execution efficiency? Could the GovTech strengthen redistributive function of public expenditure? Based on an event-study method, this paper finds that the introduction of digital budget payments and e-procurement could significantly enhance budget transparency and help expand the coverage of social assistance to reach the most vulnerable population. Exploiting staggered adoption of digital budget payments, a synthetic control regression identifies meaningful increase in pre-tax income shares among the bottom 50th percentile and female workers, especially for emerging market and developing countries, with effects materializing gradually over 10-year period. The paper delves into the potential mechanism driving these equity benefits, highlighting the reduction in business informality as a primary channel. However, the paper emphasizes that the mere adoption of GovTech strategies or digital technologies is insufficient to unlock its full potential. The outcomes are intricately linked to supporting policies, regulations, organizational and system integration, and robust digital connectivity. The paper underscores that inter-agency coordination facilitated by a dedicated GovTech institution emerges as a critical factor for reaping both efficiency and equity gains from GovTech initiatives.
Keywords:
GovTech; Inclusion; Staggered technology adoption; Synthetic control; Expenditure efficiency; Coordination in organizations; budget transparency; GovTech adoption; GovTech maturity; budget payment; inclusive GovTech; Digital financial services; Digitalization; Income; Budget planning and preparation; Asia and Pacific; Sub-Saharan Africa; Middle East and Central Asia; Western Hemisphere
Cover Staff Discussion Notes
Transforming Public Finance Through GovTech
David Amaglobeli
,
Ruud A. de Mooij
,
Andualem Mengistu
,
Mariano Moszoro
,
Manabu Nose
,
Soheib Nunhuck
,
Sailendra Pattanayak
,
Lorena Rivero del Paso
,
Frankosiligi Solomon
,
Ms. Rebecca Sparkman
,
Hervé Tourpe
, and
Gerardo Uña
Digital divide across countries and within countries continues to persist and even increased when the quality of internet connection is considered. The note shows that many governments have not been able to harness the full potential of digitalization. Governments could play important role to facilitate digital adoption by intervening both on supply (investing in infrastructure) and demand side (increase internet affordability). The note also documents significant dividends from digital adoption for revenue collection and spending efficiency, and for outcomes in education, health and social safety nets. The note also emphasizes that digitalization is not a substitute for good governance and that comprehensive reform plans embedded in National Digital Strategies (NDS) combined with legal and institutional reforms are needed to ensure that governments can reap full benefits from digitalization and manage the risks appropriately.
Keywords:
GovTech; Digitalization; Inequality; Public Finance; Social Dividends; governance pillar; A. government strategy; assessment tool; A. digital divide; government transfer; staff discussion note SDN2023/004; management information system; government technology; PFM information systems; Caribbean; Middle East; North Africa; Global; Europe; Asia and Pacific
Cover IMF Research Perspectives
IMF Research Perspectives: Spring-Summer 2020
IMF Research Perspectives Spring-Summer 2020
Keywords:
IRB; worker; view IMF research; MARTINEZ PERIA interview
Cover IMF Working Papers
The Real Effects of Mobile Money: Evidence from a Large-Scale Fintech Expansion
Manasa Patnam
and
Weijia Yao
Mobile money services have rapidly expanded across emerging and developing economies and enabled new ways through which households and firms can conduct payments, save and send remittances. We explore how mobile money use can impact economic outcomes in India using granular data on transactions from Paytm, one of the largest mobile money service provider in India with over 400 million users. We exploit the period around the demonetization policy, which prompted a surge in mobile money adoption, and analyze how mobile money affects traditional risk-sharing arrangements. Our main finding is that mobile money use increases the resilience to shocks by dampening the impact of rainfall shocks on nightlights-based economic activity and household consumption. We complement these findings by conducting a firm survey around a phased targeting intervention which incentivized firms to adopt the mobile payment technology. Our results suggest that firms adopting mobile payments improved their sales after six-months of use, compared to other firms. We also elicit firms’ subjective expectations on future sales and find mobile payment adoption to be associated with lower subjective uncertainty and greater sales optimism.
Keywords:
WP; control firm; control group firm; firm sale; rainfall shock; treatment firm; treatment group firm; economic activity; Mobile banking; Mobile internet; Currency reform; Fintech; South Asia; Global; payment technology
Cover IMF Working Papers
Automation, Skills and the Future of Work: What do Workers Think?
Mr. Carlos Mulas-Granados
,
Mr. Richard Varghese
,
Vizhdan Boranova
,
Alice deChalendar
, and
Judith Wallenstein
We exploit a survey data set that contains information on how 11,000 workers across advanced and emerging market economies perceive the main forces shaping the future of work. In general, workers feel more positive than negative about automation, especially in emerging markets. We find that negative perceptions about automation are prevalent among workers who are older, poorer, more exposed to job volatility, and from countries with higher levels of robot penetration. Perceptions over automation are positively viewed by workers with higher levels of job satisfaction, higher educational attainment, and from countries with stronger labor protection. Workers with positive perceptions of automation also tend to respond that re-education and retraining will be needed to adapt to rapidly evolving skill demands. These workers expect governments to have a role in shaping the future of work through protection of labor and new forms of social benefits. The demand for protection and benefits is more significant among women and workers that have suffered job volatility.
Keywords:
WP; worker; Automation; Future of Work; Robotization; Education; Reskilling; Retraining; more-on-the job training; employment characteristic; job happiness; middle-age worker; Emerging technologies; Labor markets; Europe; Africa; Global
Cover IMF Research Bulletin
IMF Research Perspectives: Spring-Summer 2019
The Spring-Summer 2019 issue of the IMF Research Perspectives explores how technology deals with old questions. Articles discuss the ways technological progress and the increased availability of data have helped in some areas, while presenting new challenges for analyzing various matters. The issue also includes an interview with Gita Gopinath, the new director of the IMF Research Department.
Keywords:
IRB; economy; heightened economic risk; investor; energy consumption; asset price; work agenda; investor sentiment; dream job; modeling work; Global; Sub-Saharan Africa; Africa; Consumption; Asset prices; Personal income; Robotics; Income; IMF research perspective; measuring sentiment; director of the research DepartmentTechnological change; future of work; impact of Africa
Cover Finance & Development
Finance & Development, June 2018
International Monetary Fund. Communications Department
Finance & Development, June 2018
Keywords:
FD; F&D; economist; currency; banknote; money; value
Cover Finance & Development
Finance & Development, June 2018
International Monetary Fund. Communications Department
Finance & Development, June 2018
Keywords:
FD; F&D; economist; currency; banknote; money; value
Cover Finance & Development
Finance & Development, June 2018
International Monetary Fund. Communications Department
Finance & Development, June 2018
Keywords:
FD; F&D; economist; currency; banknote; money; value