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Asia and Pacific > India

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Cover IMF Working Papers
The Sovereign-Bank Nexus in Emerging Markets in the Wake of the COVID-19 Pandemic
Andrea Deghi
,
Mr. Salih Fendoglu
,
Tara Iyer
,
Mr. Hamid R Tabarraei
,
Yizhi Xu
, and
Mustafa Yenice
The COVID-19 pandemic has brought the relationship between sovereigns and banks—the so-called sovereign-bank nexus—in emerging market economies to the fore as bank holdings of domestic sovereign debt have surged. This paper examines the empirical relevance of this nexus to assess how it could amplify macro-financial stability risks. The findings show that an increase in sovereign credit risk can adversely affect banks’ balance sheets and credit supply, especially in countries with less-well-capitalized banking systems. Sovereign distress can also impact banks indirectly through the nonfinancial corporate sector by constraining their funding and reducing their capital expenditure. Notably, the effects on banks and corporates are strongly nonlinear in the size of the sovereign distress.
Keywords:
Sovereign-bank nexus; emerging markets; financial stability; sovereign risk; COVID-19; banking sector; corporate investment; outcome variable; Annex I. data description; summary statistics; Emerging and frontier financial markets; Capital adequacy requirements; Commercial banks; Credit default swap; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
Bank Capital and the Cost of Equity
Mohamed Belkhir
,
Samy Ben Naceur
,
Mr. Ralph Chami
, and
Anis Semet
Using a sample of publicly listed banks from 62 countries over the 1991-2017 period, we investigate the impact of capital on banks’ cost of equity. Consistent with the theoretical prediction that more equity in the capital mix leads to a fall in firms’ costs of equity, we find that better capitalized banks enjoy lower equity costs. Our baseline estimations indicate that a 1 percentage point increase in a bank’s equity-to-assets ratio lowers its cost of equity by about 18 basis points. Our results also suggest that the form of capital that investors value the most is sheer equity capital; other forms of capital, such as Tier 2 regulatory capital, are less (or not at all) valued by investors. Additionally, our main finding that capital has a negative effect on banks’ cost of equity holds in both developed and developing countries. The results of this paper provide the missing evidence in the debate on the effects of higher capital requirements on banks’ funding costs.
Keywords:
WP; bank capital; capital requirement; financial risk; capital measure; Cost of equity; Banking regulation; Financial stability; return on equity; bank capitalization; bank cost; capitalized bank; bank capital measure; funding cost; financial leverage decrease; risk profile; Stocks; Capital adequacy requirements; Stock markets; Return on investment; Loan loss provisions; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
Financial Frictions, Underinvestment, and Investment Composition: Evidence from Indian Corporates
Miss Sonali Das
and
Mr. Volodymyr Tulin
This paper studies private investment in India against the backdrop of a significant investment decline over the past decade. We analyze the potential causes of weaker investment at the firm level, using both firm-level financial statements and a novel dataset on firms’ investment project decisions, and find that financial frictions have played a role in the slowdown. Firms with higher financial leverage invest less, as do firms with lower earnings relative to their interest expenses. Consistent with the notion of credit constraints leading to pro-cyclical investment, we also find that firms with higher leverage are (i) less likely to undertake new investment projects, (ii) less likely to complete investment projects once begun, and (iii) undertake shorter-term investment projects.
Keywords:
WP; firm; investment; investment rate; financial leverage; Corporate Leverage; India; investment project; Project length; firm investment; investment expenditure; investment decision; investment slowdown; Stocks; Exports; Capital adequacy requirements; Financial frictions; Private investment; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
Real and Financial Vulnerabilities from Crossborder Banking Linkages
Kyunghun Kim
and
Ms. Srobona Mitra
This paper looks at the vulnerabilities stemming from banking sector linkages between countries and their macroeconomic effects. It finds that credit risks (from a banking system’s claims on other countries) and funding risks (from a banking system’s liabilities to another) have declined over the past five years. It also finds that funding vulnerabilities have real effects. During normal times, funding vulnerabilities are associated with significant positive GDP growth surprises. During crisis times, funding vulnerabilities are associated with significant negative GDP growth surprises. The results tell us that policymakers should pay more attention to understanding crossborder funding risks.
Keywords:
WP; banking system; GDP; capital; Network Linkages; Banking; Funding Risks; Credit Risks; GDP surprises; funding shock; growth surprise; counterparty banking systems; banking system fail; funding risk; vulnerabilities from crossborder network linkage; funding index; creditor banking systems; funding vulnerability; capital depletion; Commercial banks; Credit; Credit risk; Countercyclical capital buffers; Foreign currency exposure; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
India: Financial Sector Assessment Program—Detailed Assessments Report on Basel Core Principles for Effective Banking Supervision
International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
This paper discusses the findings of the assessments on Basel Core Principles for Effective Banking Supervision in India. The Reserve Bank of India is to be commended for its tightly controlled regulatory and supervisory regime, consisting of higher than minimum capital requirements; frequent, hands-on, and comprehensive onsite inspections; and a conservative liquidity risk policy and restrictions on banks’ capacity to take on more volatile exposures. Despite this strong performance, several gaps and constraints in the implementation of the regulatory and supervision framework remain. The most significant gaps are in the area of international and, to a lesser extent, domestic supervisory information sharing and cooperation.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; banking company; risk management; banking group; interest rate; RBI examiner; senior management; business strategy; managing director; legal power; credit risk; board of directors; internal audit; Bank supervision; Commercial banks; Market risk; Operational risk; Capital adequacy requirements; Global
Cover Current Developments in Monetary and Financial Law, Volume 6
Current Developments in Monetary and Financial Law, Volume 6
Restoring Financial Stability--The Legal Response
International Monetary Fund. Legal Dept.

Abstract

“Restoring Financial Stability-The Legal Response” is the theme of the sixth volume of “Current Developments in Monetary and Financial Law.” The book covers a range of issues: frameworks and regulatory reforms in the United States, European Union, and Japan that address systemic risk; the international dimension of financial stability; the regulation of complex financial products; cross-border banking supervision; capital adequacy; and corporate and household debt restructuring. The chapters are based on presentations from a seminar hosted by the IMF Legal Department, the Ministry of Finance of Japan, the Financial Services Agency of Japan, and the Bank of Japan, with the assistance of the IMF Institute. The contributors to the volume come from both the public and private sectors, and include academics, lawyers practicing in the fields of banking and financial law, and officials from central banks, supervisory and regulatory agencies, and standard-setting bodies.

Keywords:
SEM; bank; market; rating agency; CDR mechanism; ratings quality; requirement ratio; fair value accounting; Credit; Debt restructuring; Capital adequacy requirements; Financial sector stability; Global; Europe; Securities
Cover IMF Working Papers
Managing the Interest Rate Risk of Indian Banks’ Government Securities Holdings
Mr. Amadou N Sy
The large holdings of government securities by banks in India draw attention to their risk as interest rates are at historical low levels. This paper measures such a risk using duration and value-at-risk methods and assesses its current management by banks. The main finding is that some public sector and old private banks are vulnerable to a reversal of the interest rate cycle, while foreign and new private banks have built adequate defenses. In this regard, the paper makes a number of recommendations regarding government policies and individual bank practices to manage interest rate risk.
Keywords:
WP; bank; securities; interest rate; banking system; a number of bank; bank regulator
Cover Primary Dealers in Government Securities
Primary Dealers in Government Securities
Mr. Marco Arnone
and
Mr. Piero Ugolini

Abstract

In the past 10 years a growing number of countries have established or began establishing a primary dealer system. This paper discusses the role of primary dealers, as well as theoretical, operational, and technical issues related to the establishment of a primary dealer system, in the overall management of public debt for countries that may be considering taking this step. Drawing on a 2001 survey of country practices, the paper discusses the rationale, costs and benefits, and key prerequisites, as well as selection criteria, obligations, and privileges of a primary dealer system. It also attempts to determine the conditions under which a primary dealer system would make a positive contribution to the functioning and development of the government securities market.

Keywords:
ISI; SI; dealer; system characteristic; PD system; market; primary dealer; government securities market; dealer system; government debt management agency; Government securities; Securities markets; Open market operations; Capital adequacy requirements; Global; Australia and New Zealand; dealer market structure; Central bank financial reporting
Cover Financial Soundness Indicators
Financial Soundness Indicators
Analytical Aspects and Country Practices
International Monetary Fund

Abstract

The financial turmoil of the late 1990s prompted a broad search for tools and techniques for detecting and preventing financial crises, and more recent episodes of instability have high lighted the importance of continuous monitoring of financial systems as a tool for preventing crises. This paper looks at the development of measures of financial sector soundness and of methods to analyze them. The authors propose two sets of financial soundness indicators that are considered useful for periodic monitoring, and for compilation and dissemination efforts by national authorities. They highlight the substantial advance made in recent years in measuring and analyzing financial soundness indicators, and specify areas where more work is needed.

Keywords:
OP; ratio; market; asset; foreign currency; asset quality; market liquidity indicator; average equity; on-balance-sheet assets; Financial soundness indicators; Real estate prices; Loans; Stress testing; Capital adequacy requirements; Global; Europe; Africa; Middle East; Western Hemisphere; Credit risk
Cover IMF Working Papers
How Intensive Is Competition in the Emerging Markets? An Analysis of Corporate Rates of Return from Nine Emerging Markets
Ajit Singh
,
Mr. Rudolph Matthias
, and
Mr. Jack D. Glen
This large empirical study of corporate profitability in emerging markets during the 1980s and 1990s measures the intensity of competition. Data on corporate rates of return, profit margins, and output-capital ratios reveal that the recent liberalization has been associated with reduced corporate profit margins and improved capital utilization efficiency. The paper also analyzes persistency in corporate profitability and finds that competitiveness was no less intense in developing countries than in advanced countries. Although the paper is not directly concerned with the Asian crisis, it provides evidence on important structural hypotheses about the crisis.
Keywords:
WP; liberalization firm; firm's earnings; developing country; market share; Corporate Rates of Return; Intensity of Competition; Emerging Markets; Peruvian cement company; time series; textile company; ith firm; regression coefficient; return on assets; Competition; Capital adequacy requirements; Emerging and frontier financial markets; Business enterprises; Manufacturing; East Asia