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Asia and Pacific > India

You are looking at 1 - 10 of 11 items for :

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  • Environmental policy x
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Cover IMF Working Papers
Climate Policies and External Adjustment
Rudolfs Bems
,
Luciana Juvenal
,
Weifeng Liu
, and
Warwick J. McKibbin
This paper assesses the economic effects of climate policies on different regions and countries with a focus on external adjustment. The paper finds that various climate policies could have substantially different impacts on external balances over the next decade. A credible and globally coordinated carbon tax would decrease current account balances in greener advanced economies and increase current accounts in more fossil-fuel-dependent regions, reflecting a disproportionate decline in investment for the latter group. Green supply-side policies—green subsidy and infrastructure investment—would increase investment and saving but would have a more muted external sector impact because of the constrained pace of expansion for renewables or the symmetry of the infrastructure boost. Country characteristics, such as initial carbon intensity and net fossil fuel exports, ultimately determine the current account responses. For the global economy, a coordinated climate change mitigation policy package would shift capital towards advanced economies. Following an initial rise, the global interest rates would fall over time with increases in the carbon tax. These external sector effects, however, depend crucially on the degree of international policy coordination and credibility.
Keywords:
Global climate policies; carbon tax; net-zero emissions; current account balances; international capital flows; dynamic general equilibrium modelling; G-Cubed; climate change mitigation policy package; current account response; IMF working paper 24/162; infrastructure investment; investment response; Current account; Greenhouse gas emissions; Productivity; Global; Europe
Cover IMF Working Papers
Policy Options for Climate Mitigation: Emissions Trading Schemes in Asia-Pacific
Margaux MacDonald
and
Ian W.H. Parry
Large reductions in global emissions are needed for the world to be on track to meet global temperature goals. Asia-Pacific countries have a critical role in emissions reduction given their large and rising share in global emissions. This paper discusses the main opportunities and behavioral responses for reducing emissions, and commonly used mitigation instruments. It then considers key design issues for carbon pricing, with a focus on emissions trading schemes (ETS), describes measures to overcome the obstacles to carbon pricing, and discusses experiences with carbon pricing relevant for Asia-Pacific economies. Lastly, the paper covers complementary policy reforms, including reinforcing mitigation instruments, public investment, fuel tax reform, green industrial policies, and supporting reforms to the energy sector. Carbon pricing, including ETSs can be the centerpiece of climate mitigation strategies for most countries, particularly if ETSs are designed to mimic some of the administrative and economic attractions of carbon taxes and implemented appropriately.
Keywords:
Emissions trading scheme; climate; Asia; mitigation instrument; climate mitigation strategy; mitigation opportunity; Asia-Pacific country; policy reform; transmission company; Carbon tax; Greenhouse gas emissions; Non-wage benefits; Asia and Pacific; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
Fiscal Implications of Global Decarbonization
Simon Black
,
Ruud de Mooij
,
Vitor Gaspar
,
Ian W.H. Parry
, and
Karlygash Zhunussova
Internationally coordinated climate mitigation policies can effectively put the world on a path toward achieving the agreed Paris temperature goals. Such coordination could be initiated by large players, such as China, the US, India, the African Union, and the European Union. We find that the implications for fiscal revenues over time will be shaped by a combination of rising carbon prices, the gradual erosion of existing fuel tax bases, and possible revenue sharing arrangements. Public spending rises during the transition to build green public infrastructure, promote innovation, and support clean technology deployment. Countries will also need financing for compensating vulnerable households and industries, and to transfer funds to poor countries. With well-designed climate-fiscal policy relying on carbon pricing, global decarbonization will have anything from moderately positive to moderately negative impacts on fiscal balances in high-income countries. For middle and low-income countries, net fiscal impacts are generally positive and can be significant. Revenue sharing at the global level would make an historical contribution to breaching the financial divide between rich and poor countries.
Keywords:
Climate mitigation policy; Fiscal impact; Global coordination; Carbon pricing; climate policy assessment tool; decarbonization scenario; sectoral mitigation option; climate-fiscal policy; Greenhouse gas emissions; Climate policy; Carbon tax; Global; Europe
Cover Departmental Papers
Asia’s Perspectives on Climate Change: Policies, Perceptions, and Gaps
Ms. Era Dabla-Norris
,
Mr. Thomas Helbling
,
Kenichiro Kashiwase
,
Giacomo Magistretti
, and
Mouhamadou Sy
Asia and the Pacific’s green transition will have far-reaching implications for the global economy. Over the past decades, the region has become the engine of global economic growth. With relatively heavy reliance on coal and high energy intensity, the region has recently become the largest contributor to growth in global GHG emissions, accounting for nearly 40 percent of the total emissions in 2020. Achieving net zero by 2050 requires an energy transition at an unprecedented scale and speed, even as the region must ensure energy security and affordability. The region must also address its vulnerability to climate change as it comprises many countries highly exposed to climate hazards increasing in severity and frequency with global warming. If managed well, the green transformation in Asia and the Pacific will create opportunities for economies not only in the region, but also around the world for inclusive and sustainable growth. The global economy is still far from achieving net zero by 2050, and the Asia and the Pacific region must play its part to deliver on mitigation and adaptation goals. Understanding Asia’s perspectives on the constraints and issues with climate ambitions, climate policy actions, and constraints is central for devising climate strategies to meet climate goals. To this end, this chapter draws on novel surveys of country authorities and public in the region to distill climate ambitions and challenges faced and identify sources of major gaps in achieving mitigation and adaptation goals. Measures to help close the gaps are drawn from policy discussions with country authorities in bilateral surveillance and related studies.
Keywords:
Asia; Climate Change; Mitigation; Adaptation; Nationally Determined Contributions (NDCs); Industrial Policy; Energy Transition; Renewables; Green Technology; Climate Finance; Critical Minerals; IMF country authority climate survey; IMF country staff report; mitigation policy; Policy instrument; IMF Library; Greenhouse gas emissions; Climate policy; Asia and Pacific; Global; Middle East
Cover IMF Working Papers
Climate Policy Options: A Comparison of Economic Performance
Jean Chateau
,
Ms. Florence Jaumotte
, and
Gregor Schwerhoff
We use a global computable general equilibrium model to compare the economic performance of alternative climate policies along multiple dimensions, including macroeconomic outcomes, energy prices, and trade competitiveness. Carbon pricing which keeps the aggregate cost lower and preserves better the overall competitiveness than across-the-board regulation is the first-best policy, especially in energy intensive and trade exposed industries. Regulations and feebates are good alternatives in the power sector, where technological substitution is possible. Feed-in subsidies, if used alone, are not cost effective.
Keywords:
Climate policy; policy coordination; carbon leakage; carbon tax; regulation.; climate policy option; Policy stringency; EITE sectors scenario; ambition level; Policy instrument; Greenhouse gas emissions; Non-renewable resources; Global
Cover Staff Climate Notes
Getting on Track to Net Zero: Accelerating a Global Just Transition in This Decade
Mr. Simon Black
,
Jean Chateau
,
Ms. Florence Jaumotte
,
Ian W.H. Parry
,
Gregor Schwerhoff
,
Sneha D Thube
, and
Karlygash Zhunussova
To contain global warming to between 2°C and 1.5°C, global greenhouse gas emissions must be cut 25 to 50 percent below 2019 levels by 2030. Even if fully achieved, current country pledges would cut global emissions by just 11 percent. This Note presents illustrative options for closing this ambition gap equitably and discusses their economic impacts across countries. Options exist to accelerate a global just transition in this decade, involving greater emission reductions by high-income countries and climate finance, but further delays in climate action would put 1.5°C beyond reach. Global abatement costs remain low under 2°C-consistent scenarios, with burdens rising with income levels. With efficient policies of carbon pricing with productive revenue use, welfare costs become negative when including domestic environmental co-benefits, before even counting climate benefits. GDP effects from global decarbonization remain uncertain, but modeling suggests they exceed abatement costs especially for carbon-intensive and fossil-fuel-exporting countries. Ratcheting up climate finance can help make global decarbonization efforts more progressive.
Keywords:
Climate change mitigation; ambition gap; policy gap; mitigation pledges; differentiated responsibilities; abatement costs; welfare costs; GDP; burden sharing; carbon pricing; climate finance; IMF staff climate note; abatement cost; welfare cost; climate benefit; IMF staff climate Note 2022/010; Greenhouse gas emissions; Climate change; Climate policy; Global; Africa; Eastern Europe; East Asia; Caribbean
Cover Departmental Papers
Economic and Environmental Benefits from International Cooperation on Climate Policies
Jean Chateau
,
Ms. Florence Jaumotte
, and
Gregor Schwerhoff
This paper discusses and analyzes various international mechanisms to scale up global action on climate mitigation and address the policy gap in this area. Despite the new commitments made at COP 26, there is still an ambition and a policy gap at the global level to keep temperature increases below the 2°C agreed in Paris. Avoiding the worst outcomes of climate change requires an urgent scaling up of climate policies. Recent policy proposals include the idea of common minimum carbon prices, which underlie the IMF’s international carbon price proposal (Parry, Black, and Roaf 2021) and the climate club proposal of the German government. While global carbon prices are not a new idea, the new elements are the use of carbon price floors—which allow countries to do more if they wish—and the differentiation of carbon price floors by level of development. In the absence of international coordination, countries with ambitious climate policies are considering introducing a border carbon adjustment mechanism to prevent domestic producers from being at a competitive disadvantage due to more ambitious domestic climate policies. An interesting question from the global perspective is whether border carbon adjustment would deliver substantial additional emissions reductions or incentivize other countries to join a carbon price floor agreement.
Keywords:
climate policy; border carbon adjustment; international coordination; global minimum carbon prices; ICPF scenario; carbon price floor agreement; B. policy scenario overview; baseline emission projection; GDP cost; Greenhouse gas emissions; Climate policy; Climate change; Global; Africa; East Asia; Caribbean
Cover IMF Working Papers
Impact of COVID-19 on Attitudes to Climate Change and Support for Climate Policies
Mr. Adil Mohommad
and
Evgenia Pugacheva
This paper inquires into how individual attitudes to climate issues and support for climate policies have evolved in the context of the pandemic. Using data from a unique survey of 14,500 individuals across 16 major economies, this study shows that the experience of the COVID-19 pandemic increased concern for climate change and public support for green recovery policies. This suggests that the global health crisis has opened up more space for policy makers in key large economies to implement bolder climate policies. The study also finds that support for climate policies decreases when a person has experienced income and/or job loss during the pandemic. Protecting incomes and livelihoods in the near-term is thus important also from a climate policy perspective.
Keywords:
Climate change; climate policy; public opinion; COVID-19; climate policy perspective; climate policies decrease; health shock; climate issue; climate mitigation policy; Climate policy; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
Employment Effects of Environmental Policies – Evidence From Firm-Level Data
Mr. Adil Mohommad
The employment impact of environmental policies is an important question for policy makers. We examine the effect of increasing the stringency of environmental policy across a broad set of policies on firms’ labor demand, in a novel identification approach using Worldscope data from 31 countries on firm-level CO2 emissions. Drawing on evidence from as many as 5300 firms over 15 years and the OECD environmental policy stringency (EPS) index, it finds that high emission-intensity firms reduce labor demand upon impact as EPS is tightened, whereas low emission-intensity firms increase labor demand, indicating a reallocation of employment. Moreover, tightening EPS during economic contractions appears to have a positive effect on employment, other things equal. Quantifications exercises show modest positive net changes in employment for market-based policies, and modest negative net changes for non-market policies (mainly emission quantity regulations) and for the combined aggregate EPS. Within market-based policies, the percent decline in employment in high-emission firms (correspondingly the increase in low-emission firms) for a unit change in a policy index is smallest (largest) for trading schemes (“green” certificates, and “white” certificates)—although stringency is not comparable across indices. Finally, the employment effects of EPS are not persistent.
Keywords:
IMF working paper research Department; employment effect; emission-intensity firm; policy index; intensity firm; Employment; Environmental policy; Greenhouse gas emissions; Labor demand; Non-renewable resources; Global
Cover Departmental Papers
Fiscal Policies to Address Climate Change in Asia and the Pacific
Ms. Era Dabla-Norris
,
Mr. James Daniel
,
Mr. Masahiro Nozaki
,
Cristian Alonso
,
Vybhavi Balasundharam
,
Mr. Matthieu Bellon
,
Chuling Chen
,
David Corvino
, and
Mr. Joey Kilpatrick
Climate change is one of the greatest challenges facing policymakers worldwide, and the stakes are particularly high for Asia and the Pacific. This paper analyzes how fiscal policy can address challenges from climate change in Asia and the Pacific. It aims to answer how policymakers can best promote mitigation, adaptation, and the transition to a low-carbon economy, emphasizing the economic and social implications of reforms, potential policy trade-offs, and country circumstances. The recommendations are grounded in quantitative analysis using country-specific estimates, and granular household, industry, and firm-level data.
Keywords:
Fiscal policy; Climate change; Environmental taxes; Green economy; Climate change mitigation; Climate change adaptation; Asia and the Pacific; private cost; composite index; air pollution; IMF staff calculation; firm incidence analysis; greenhouse gas; performance measure; adaptation investment; low-carbon economy; indirect cost; firms time; price elasticity of demand; Carbon tax; Greenhouse gas emissions; Natural disasters; Energy prices; Asia and Pacific; Global; Pacific Islands; North America; South Asia