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Europe > Ireland

You are looking at 1 - 4 of 4 items for :

  • Type: Journal Issue x
  • International trade x
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Cover IMF Working Papers
Trade Uncertainty and Investment in the Euro Area
Mr. Christian H Ebeke
and
Jesse Siminitz
We analyze the impact of trade policy uncertainty on investment in the euro area. Our identification strategy assumes that countries that are relatively more dependent on global trade networks exhibit a higher sensitivity of investment with respect to trade uncertainty. We find that the investment-to-GDP ratio is on average 0.8 percentage points lower for five quarters following a one standard deviation increase in the level of trade uncertainty. We demonstrate that these results are unlikely to be driven by omitted variables and that they are robust to different measures of trade uncertainty and trade openness. Our analysis suggests that the detrimental effect of trade tensions goes beyond lower trade growth, as uncertainty can reduce investment and the economy’s long-term growth potential.
Keywords:
trade tensions; uncertainty; trade openness; investment; euro area; trade uncertainty; uncertainty shock; area trade flow; trade growth; trade openness variable; tension indicator; trade measure; trade tension level; uncertainty variable; Trade policy; Trade balance; Protectionism; Exports; Global
Cover IMF Survey
Calendario
International Monetary Fund. External Relations Dept.
La edición en Internet del Boletín del FMI, que se actualiza varias veces a la semana, contiene numerosos artículos sobre temas de actualidad en el ámbito de las políticas y la economía. Consulte las últimas investigaciones del FMI, lea entrevistas y escuche podcasts de los principales economistas del FMI sobre importantes temas relacionados con la economía mundial. www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/survey/so/home.aspx
Keywords:
SV; IMF-World Bank; SDR interest rate; Inter-American Development Bank Annual Meeting
Cover IMF Survey
IMF Survey, Volume 34, Issue 01
International Monetary Fund. External Relations Dept.
The Web edition of the IMF Survey is updated several times a week, and contains a wealth of articles about topical policy and economic issues in the news. Access the latest IMF research, read interviews, and listen to podcasts given by top IMF economists on important issues in the global economy. www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/survey/so/home.aspx
Keywords:
SV; IMF-World Bank; SDR interest rate; Inter-American Development Bank Annual Meeting; growth Facility; fund Facility; IMF survey; Income inequality; Trade liberalization; Natural disasters; Inflation; Europe; Africa; Global; Western Europe; Maghreb
Cover IMF Working Papers
Is Regionalism Simply a Diversion? Evidence from the Evolution of the EC and EFTA
Mr. Tamim Bayoumi
and
Mr. Barry J. Eichengreen
This paper considers the impact on trade of preferential arrangements in Europe since the 1950s. Using a first difference version of the gravity model, we find that the EEC and EFTA altered the pattern of international trade. We also find evidence of trade diversion in several cases, notably that of the EEC in the 1960s.
Keywords:
WP; EEC trade; trade creation; EEC membership; free trade; EFTA country; constant term; third-country effect; Customs unions; Gravity models; Purchasing power parity; Plurilateral trade; Trade agreements; Europe; Global; Asia and Pacific