Narrow Your Choices

Refine By Topic

Refine By Series

Refine By Language

Refine By Date

—

Refine By IMF Taxonomy

Refine By JEL Taxonomy

Refine by LOC Taxonomy

Refine By THEMA Taxonomy

  • Print
  • Save

Europe > Ireland

You are looking at 1 - 10 of 33 items for :

  • Type: Journal Issue x
  • Investments: General x
Clear All Modify Search
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Euro Area Policies: Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
This Selected Issues paper highlights quantitative tightening (QT) by the European Central Bank (ECB). It uses evidence from the literature on the impact of central bank bond purchases and sales on bond yields, and the monetary policy stance, to outline a roadmap for reducing the Euro system’s bond holdings. The current tightening cycle provides an opportunity to revisit the ECB’s balance sheet policy. With inflation running above target, the monetary accommodation provided by the ECB’s bond holding is no longer necessary. The current tightening cycle provides an opportunity to revisit the ECB’s balance sheet policy. With inflation running above target, the monetary accommodation provided by the ECB’s bond holding is no longer necessary. The paper concludes that the ECB’s short term policy rates should be the main choice for adapting the monetary policy stance to changing circumstances and QT should proceed in a gradual, predictable manner as outlined by the ECB.
Keywords:
ECB Policy rate; ECB balance sheet; app portfolio; C. Policy consideration; bond supply net of ECB; Financial statements; Unconventional monetary policies; Central bank policy rate; Monetary stance; Securities
Cover IMF Working Papers
Investor Information and Bank Instability During the Euro Crisis
Silvia Iorgova
Outside of financial crises, investors have little incentive to produce private information on banks’ short-term liabilities held as information-insensitive safe assets. The same does not hold true during crises. We measure daily information production using data from credit default swap spreads during the global financial crisis and the subsequent European debt crisis. We study abnormal information production around major events and interventions during these crises and find that, on average, capital injections reduced abnormal information production while early European stress tests increased it. We also link information production to outcomes: high levels of information production predict bank balance sheet contraction and higher government expenditures to support financial institutions. In an addendum, we show information production on nonfinancials dramatically increased relative to financials at the height of the COVID-19 crisis, reflecting the nonfinancial nature of the initial shock.
Keywords:
information production; safe asset; WP; reference securities; information-production ratio; banking system; debt crisis; rate of change; reference security model; unsecured debt
Cover IMF Working Papers
Banks’ Holdings of Government Securities and Credit to the Private Sector in Emerging Market and Developing Economies
Romain Bouis
This paper studies the relationship between banks’ holdings of domestic sovereign securities and credit growth to the private sector in emerging market and developing economies. Higher banks’ holdings of government debt are associated with a lower credit growth to the private sector and with a higher return on assets of the banking sector. Analysis suggests that the negative relationship between banks’ claims on the government and private sector credit growth mainly reflects a portfolio rebalancing of banks towards safer, more liquid public assets in stress times and provides only limited evidence of a crowding-out effect due to financial repression.
Keywords:
WP; return on assets; banks' claim; Sovereign debt; credit growth; bank profitability; nonperforming loans; portfolio rebalancing; financial repression; crowding-out; banks' holding; growth in EMDEs; crowding-out effect; private sector lending; growth to the private sector; credit growth to the private sector; government security holding; Credit; Government securities; Commercial banks; Bank soundness; Sub-Saharan Africa
Cover IMF Working Papers
Unemployment Surges in the EU: The Role of Risk Premium Shocks
Mr. Bas B. Bakker
,
Marta Korczak
, and
Mr. Krzysztof Krogulski
In the last decade, over half of the EU countries in the euro area or with currencies pegged to the euro were hit by large risk premium shocks. Previous papers have focused on the impact of these shocks on demand. This paper, by contrast, focuses on the impact on supply. We show that risk premium shocks reduce the output level that maximizes profit. They also lead to unemployment surges, as firms are forced to cut costs when financing becomes expensive or is no longer available. As a result, all countries with risk premium shocks saw unemployment surge, even as euro area core countries managed to contain unemployment as firms hoarded labor during the downturn. Most striking, wage bills in euro area crisis countries and the Baltics declined even faster than GDP, whereas in core euro area countries wage shares actually increased.
Keywords:
WP; risk premium shock; risk premium; interest rate; GDP; Risk premia; interest rates; Euro area crisis; global economic; fincanial crisis; debt ratio; risk premium surge; unemployment surge; financing cost; Return on investment; Unemployment; Employment; Sovereign bonds; Baltics
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Euro Area Policies: Financial Sector Assessment Program-Technical Note-Stress Testing the Banking Sector
International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
The FSAP team undertook a thorough top-down stress testing analysis using end-2017 data. This note covers the methodology and results of the scenario-based solvency tests, the single factor sensitivity tests, and the liquidity tests. The stress test exercise was carried out on a sample of major euro area banks supervised by the Single Supervisory Mechanism (SSM). The analysis is heavily dependent on comprehensive and granular supervisory data on individual banks’ positions shared by the European Central Bank (ECB). While FSAP results are not directly comparable to the 2018 EU-wide stress test results due to differences in scenarios, methodologies, and objectives, they provide an assessment of the system-wide resilience of the euro area banking sector at the current juncture.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; central bank; interest rate; bank deposit; credit risk; implied rate; balance sheet; government bond; money market; financial institution; banking system; sensitivity analysis; liquidity risk; real interest rate; monetary policy; capital ratio; Stress testing; Credit risk; Liquidity risk; Securities; Market risk; Global; Europe
Cover IMF Working Papers
Where Does Multinational Investment Go with Territorial Taxation? Evidence from the UK
Ms. Li Liu
In 2009, the United Kingdom changed from a worldwide to a territorial tax system, abolishing dividend taxes on foreign repatriation from many low-tax countries. This paper assesses the causal effect of territorial taxation on real investments, using a unique dataset for multinational affiliates in 27 European countries and employing the difference-in-difference approach. It finds that the territorial reform has increased the investment rate of UK multinationals by 15.7 percentage points in low-tax countries. In the absence of any significant investment reduction elsewhere, the findings represent a likely increase in total outbound investment by UK multinationals.
Keywords:
WP; gross investment; tax rate; UK affiliate; retained earnings; foreign direct investment; corporate tax policy; multinational firms; UK multinational; investment by UK; tax country; investment response; Dividend tax; Corporate income tax; Wages; Private investment; Currencies; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
Liquidity Stress Tests for Investment Funds: A Practical Guide
Antoine Bouveret
This paper outlines a framework to perform liquidity stress tests for investment funds. Practical aspects related to the calibration of the redemption shock, the measurement of liquidity buffers and the assessment of the resilience of investment funds are discussed. The integration of liquidity stress tests with banking sector stress tests and possible bank-fund interlinkages are also covered.
Keywords:
WP; fund; liquidity; redemption shock; stress test; investment funds; redemption; HY fund; liquidity buffer; fund manager; bank-fund interlinkage; Liquidity stress testing; Mutual funds; Securities; Bonds; Liquidity requirements; Europe
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Ireland: 2017 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; and Staff Report
International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
This 2017 Article IV Consultation highlights Ireland’ continued position among the euro area’s top growth performers. Real GDP expanded by 5.2 percent in 2016, supported by a healthy expansion of private consumption and buoyant investment, including construction. Strong broad-based job creation brought unemployment down to 6.4 percent in May, its lowest level in a decade, while inflation remained low as the recent pickup in energy prices and upward pressure from services were partly offset by the impact of weakness in the British pound. The outlook remains positive, but with substantial, mainly externally driven, downside risks. Real GDP is projected to grow at 3.9 percent in 2017, propelled by strong domestic demand.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; IMF staff; holding; Q4; market; money market rate; economic statistics; liability positions vis-à-vis nonresident; potential GDP; Wages; Income; Housing; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
International Financial Integration in the Aftermath of the Global Financial Crisis
Mr. Philip R. Lane
and
Mr. Gian M Milesi-Ferretti
This paper documents the evolution of international financial integration since the global financial crisis using an updated dataset on external assets and liabilities, covering over 210 economies for the period 1970-2015. It finds that the growth in cross-border positions in relation to world GDP has come to a halt. This reflects much weaker capital flows to and from advanced economies, with diminished cross-border banking activity, and an increase in the weight of emerging economies in global GDP, as these economies have lower external assets and liabilities than advanced economies. Cross-border FDI positions have continued to expand, unlike positions in portfolio instruments and other investment. This expansion reflects primarily positions vis-à-vis financial centers, suggesting that the complexity of the corporate structure of large multinational corporations is playing an important role. The paper also explores the cross-country drivers of foreign ownership of domestic debt securities, highlighting in particular the role of the euro debt crisis in explaining its evolution.
Keywords:
WP; debt securities; financial crisis; aggregate portfolio debt category; central bank; country group; International financial integration; financial globalization; portfolio debt liability; portfolio holding; equity liability; world GDP share; portfolio debt position; portfolio debt securities; portfolio equity liability; portfolio equity positions; World GDP; portfolio debt claim; Securities; Government securities; Foreign direct investment; Global financial crisis of 2008-2009; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Ireland: Financial Sector Assessment Program: Technical Note-Asset Management and Financial Stability
International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
This Technical Note discusses the findings and recommendations made in the Financial Sector Assessment Program for Ireland in the areas of asset management and financial stability. Most of the potential avenues for domestic financial instability from Irish-domiciled money market funds and investment funds appear to be contained. The potential for destabilizing spillovers from Irish-domiciled money market and investment funds to the domestic economy appears limited. The Central Bank of Ireland has made important progress in addressing long-standing data gaps as they pertain to the asset management industry. A number of initiatives could be helpful in further strengthening industry oversight.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; Ireland; asset; central bank of Ireland; CNAV MMFs; hedge fund; government MMFs; liquidity risk; collective investment vehicles; imprudent asset-liability management; domiciled MMFs; data strategy; CIV assets; Asset management; Mutual funds; Hedge funds; Bonds; Securities; Global