Narrow Your Choices

Refine By Topic

Refine By Series

Refine By Language

Refine By Date

—

Refine By IMF Taxonomy

Refine By JEL Taxonomy

Refine by LOC Taxonomy

Refine By THEMA Taxonomy

  • Print
  • Save

Western Hemisphere > Dominica

You are looking at 1 - 10 of 43 items for :

  • Type: Journal Issue x
  • Finance, Public x
Clear All Modify Search
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Dominica: 2024 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Dominica
International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
The 2024 Article IV Consultation discusses that the Dominican economy has recovered strongly following the pandemic shock. Real gross domestic product grew by 5.6 percent in 2022 and an estimated 4.7 percent in 2023 returning to pre-pandemic output levels. Policy responses have eroded essential fiscal buffers, despite large Citizenship by Investment (CBI) revenues, which have supported reconstruction, infrastructure development, and climate adaptation. The country remains exposed to shocks, while tight fiscal space constrains development initiatives. The ongoing economic expansion provides an opportunity to rebuild essential buffers and reorient policies toward increasing prospects for more sustained and resilient growth. Dominica’s output has recovered to its pre-pandemic level, reflecting a rebound in tourism and public investment, supported by buoyant CBI revenues. Inflation has subsided from its 2022 peak, but external imbalances have deteriorated modestly. Banks remain well capitalized and liquid although credit unions suffer from persistent weak capital and asset quality. The outlook is subject to downside risks, especially from climate change, volatile tourism receipts, commodity prices, and CBI revenues. Meanwhile, longstanding impediments to private investment and employment weigh on growth and productivity. Policy priorities are to address fiscal and external imbalances while enhancing the basis for sustained and resilient growth.
Keywords:
CBI revenue; CBI program framework; financing strategy; core price inflation; macroeconomic policy; Fiscal stance; Credit; Caribbean; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
St. Kitts and Nevis: 2018 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for St. Kitts and Nevis
International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
Growth decelerated marginally in 2017, as the continued decline in CBI inflows slowed growth in construction. Consumer inflation was low, partly due to a small contraction in food prices. The overall fiscal balance remained in surplus but has deteriorated markedly since its 2013- peak, and the debt-to-GDP ratio increased marginally from the previous year. The current account deficit remains high and only marginally declined in 2017, as the decline in CBI receipts was more than offset by growing tourism receipts and a significant decrease in imports. Foreign reserves at the ECCB remained at comfortable levels, well above the various reserve-adequacy metrics. The banking sector has reported capital and liquidity ratios that are well above the regulatory minimum but has elevated NPLs and risks, including delays in completing the debt-land swap arrangement and loss of Corresponding Banking Relationships (CBRs).
Keywords:
SKN government; SKN economy; CBI program; NPL resolution strategy; due diligence; Commercial banks; Public sector; Government finance statistics; Credit; Caribbean
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Eastern Caribbean Currency Union: 2018 Discussion on Common Policies of Member Countries-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for the Eastern Caribbean Currency Union
International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
This 2018 discussion on common policies of the Eastern Caribbean Currency Union (ECCU) highlights that the member countries are gradually recovering following the catastrophic impact of Hurricanes Irma and Maria in 2017. Conditions remain favorable to growth, however, risks are increasing. The fiscal balance for the region as a whole worsened in 2017, reflecting lower inflows from citizenship-by-investment programs and higher reconstruction and current spending. The IMF team made several policy recommendations including shifting focus from the current emphasis on recovery from natural disasters to building ex-ante resilience. The report also recommends intensifying decisive and timely actions to resolve weaknesses in the financial sector, including longstanding problems in the banking sector and emerging risks in the non-banking sector. The authorities expressed commitment to the acceleration of key reforms to upgrade and strengthen the financial sector regional oversight framework. In addition to fiscal consolidation, injecting new vigor into the structural policy agenda will help enhance competitiveness and make growth more inclusive.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; ECCU country; ECCU price aggregate; Cartac; ECCU debt target; ECCU authority; ECCU region; ECCU work program; ECCU aggregate; Natural disasters; Insurance; Nonperforming loans; Credit bureaus; Caribbean; Global; staff advice; IMF's transparency policy; IMF's article
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Dominica: 2018 Article IV Consultation-Press Release and Staff Report
International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
This 2018 Article IV Consultation highlights that in 2018, Dominica’s output is projected to decline by 14 percent and to take about 5 years to recover to pre-hurricane levels. The fall in output and government revenue, coupled with increased expenditure for rehabilitation and reconstruction, will lead to a substantial worsening of fiscal and external deficits. However, signs of recovery, particularly in construction and the public sector, have already started to emerge. The risks to the outlook include the budget becoming financially constrained and unable to sustain adequate investment given high debt, limited buffers, weak revenue, and urgent needs for reconstruction spending. Other risks include financial instability stemming from undercapitalization of systemic financial institutions, recurrent natural disasters, and external competitiveness challenges.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; Dominica; cost; director; output collapse; recovery spending; costs of reconstruction; category 5 Hurricane Maria; zoning regulation; vulnerability to natural disasters; Natural disasters; Credit bureaus; Public sector; Caribbean; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
St. Kitts and Nevis: 2017 Article IV Consultation- Press Release; Staff Report
International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
This 2017 Article IV Consultation highlights that the economic performance of St. Kitts and Nevis moderated in 2016. Growth moderated, reflecting the deceleration in tourism-linked sectors and contraction in manufacturing output, while still exceeding the average growth in the Eastern Caribbean Currency Union region. Consumer inflation was negative, reflecting the favorable tax environment and low international fuel prices, but end-year inflation turned positive as these effects started to subside. Growth is expected to average at about 3 percent in the medium term. Inflation is projected to rise with the expected rise in fuel prices, remaining about 2 percent in the medium term.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; CBI inflow; consumer inflation; w CBI fee; inflow; SIDF grant; oil-price weakness; correspondent banking risk; Fiscal stance; Public sector; External sector statistics; Caribbean; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Eastern Caribbean Currency Union: 2016 Discussion on Common Policies of Member Countries-Press Release and Staff Report
International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
This IMF Staff Report for the 2016 Discussion on Common Policies of Eastern Caribbean Currency Union (ECCU) Member Countries highlights that the regional recovery in ECCU is gaining ground, supported by continued low oil prices, strong tourism arrivals, and robust citizenship-by-investment receipts. Risks to the near-term outlook are balanced, but growth in the ECCU continues to be hindered by weak competitiveness, banking sector fragilities, susceptibility to natural disasters, and large public debt. The Executive Directors have encouraged the authorities to press ahead with sound macroeconomic policies and structural reforms to decisively address these issues and strengthen the conditions for robust long term growth.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; Anguilla CARTAC; country authorities; ECCU; aggregate; discussion; ECCU price aggregate; ECCU well; FAD tax mission; ECCU aggregate; CARTAC framework; Natural disasters; Commercial banks; Interest rate parity; Caribbean; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
St. Kitts and Nevis: 2016 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; and Staff Report
International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
This 2016 Article IV Consultation highlights that economy of St. Kitts and Nevis continued its strong growth at about 5 percent, recording the strongest growth in the region during 2013–15. Strong growth has been underpinned by construction and tourism sector activity and their favorable spillovers on the rest of the economy, supported by surging inflows from its Citizenship-by-Investment (CBI) program. Large CBI inflows continued in 2015, albeit at a slower pace. The medium-term outlook is positive, but remains dependent on developments in CBI inflows. Growth is expected to moderate to 3.5 percent in 2016 and 3 percent, on average, over the medium term.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; CBI inflow; Citizenship-by-Investment; CBI program; construction activity; SIDF grant; CBI receipts; CBI flow; Fiscal stance; Public sector; Caribbean; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Dominica: 2016 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; and Statement by the Executive Director for Dominica
International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
This 2016 Article IV Consultation highlights that the Dominican economy was hit hard by tropical storm Erika in 2015. Agricultural output and manufacturing declined sharply, as the storm affected crops and access to arable land, and prompted the closure of operations of the main industrial plant. Inflation has remained subdued, mainly as a result of falling fuel prices. Notwithstanding weak exports of agriculture and tourism, the 2015 current account deficit remained contained on the back of lower oil imports. Output growth is expected to remain subdued in 2016 at 1.3 percent as the economy slowly recovers from the storm and investment in reconstruction picks up.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; ECP revenue; financing constraint; authority; ECP; expenditure projection; budget proposal; budget projection; Fiscal consolidation; Natural disasters; Fiscal stance; Caribbean
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
St. Lucia: 2015 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; and Staff Report
International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
A moderate economic recovery is taking hold in St. Lucia. Favorable international conditions have contributed to improved demand for tourism, St. Lucia’s main economic sector, and the external current account deficit has narrowed significantly. The authorities have made some progress in addressing a weak fiscal position. However, the financial sector continues to be impaired by nonperforming loans, public debt keeps rising, and unemployment remains very high, while external sector competitiveness continues to be weakened by an overvalued exchange rate, economies of scale disadvantages, and structural bottlenecks.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; tourism inflow; balance of payments; private sector; fiscal year; economic activity; debt target; reform agenda; youth unemployment; excess reserves; growth prospect; Capital spending; Fiscal stance; Natural disasters; Caribbean; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Dominica: Request for Disbursement Under the Rapid Credit Facility-Press Release; Staff Report; for Dominica
International Monetary Fund. Western Hemisphere Dept.
This paper discusses Dominica’s Request for Disbursement Under the Rapid Credit Facility (RCF). Tropical Storm Erika had a devastating effect on Dominica’s economy. Total damage and loss is estimated at 96 percent of GDP. Real GDP is projected to decline by 3 percent in 2015, and reconstruction expenditures and the impact on agriculture and tourism activities are putting pressure on the fiscal and external accounts. Despite the high capital expenditures, the 2015 budget deficit will be contained to 2.4 percent of GDP reflecting strong grants, and the current account balance could deteriorate to a deficit of about 15 percent of GDP. The IMF staff supports the authorities’ request for a disbursement under the RCF.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; balance of payments position; fiscal policy framework; RCF financing; balance of payments difficulty; market price; IMF staff estimate; Capital spending; Credit; Public sector; Caribbean; Global