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Europe > Switzerland

You are looking at 1 - 10 of 27 items for :

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Cover IMF Working Papers
Central Banks Casting a Global Financial Safety Net: What Drives the Supply of Bilateral Swaps?
Jakree Koosakul
and
Alexei Miksjuk
The expansion of bilateral swap arrangements (BSAs) since the Global Financial Crisis has led to a substantial reconfiguration of the Global Financial Safety Net (GFSN). This paper examines the drivers of BSA supply using a novel dataset on all publicly documented BSAs. It finds that countries with well-developed financial markets and institutions and high trade openness are more likely to backstop other economies by establishing BSAs. In addition, their choice of BSA counterparts is driven by strong investment and trade exposures to these countries, with variation in the relative importance of these factors across major BSA providers. The paper shows that geopolitical considerations often affect such decisions, as BSAs are less likely to be established between geopolitically distant countries and more likely between countries in the same regional economic bloc.
Keywords:
Bilateral swap arrangements; geoeconomic fragmentation; global financial safety net; liquidity provision; BSA supply; BSA source country; GFSN evolution; BSA counterpart; Liquidity; Financial sector development; Financial safety nets; International reserves; Global financial crisis of 2008-2009; Global
Cover Global Financial Stability Notes
Commercial Real Estate Prices During COVID-19: What is Driving the Divergence?
Andrea Deghi
,
Mr. Fabio M Natalucci
, and
Mahvash S Qureshi
After dropping sharply in the early phases of the COVID-19 pandemic, commercial real estate prices are on the mend. However, the initial price decline, as well as the pace of recovery, vary widely across regions and different segments of the commercial real estate market. This note analyzes the factors that explain this divergence using city-level data from major advanced and emerging market economies. The findings show that pandemic-specific factors such as the stringency of containment measures and the spread of the virus are strongly associated with a decline in prices, while fiscal support and easy financial conditions maintained by central banks have helped to cushion the shock. A higher vaccination rate has aided the recovery of the sector, especially in the retail segment. Structural changes in private behavior such as the trend toward teleworking and e-commerce have also had an impact on commercial property prices in some segments. The outlook of the sector across regions thus remains closely tied to the trajectory of the pandemic and broader macroeconomic recovery, financial market conditions, and the pace of structural shifts in the demand for specific property types. In an environment of tightening financial conditions and a slowdown in economic activity, continued vigilance is warranted on the part of financial supervisors to minimize financial stability risks stemming from potential adverse shocks to the sector.
Keywords:
commercial real estate; COVID-19; pandemic; commercial property; vaccination; real estate prices; price divergence; shut-downs; e-commerce; work from home; price decline; CRE price; vaccination rate; recovery of the sector; price growth; Land prices; North America; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Switzerland: Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Selected Issues
Keywords:
D. policy implication; policies equity; liquidity gap; liquidity shortfall; solvency risk; Housing prices; Foreign assets; Pension spending; Retirement; Global financial crisis of 2008-2009; Global; Europe
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Switzerland: Financial Sector Assessment Program; Technical Note- Financial Safety Net and Crisis Management Arrangements
International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Financial Sector Assessment Program; Technical Note- Financial Safety Net and Crisis Management Arrangements
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; State secretariat; insurance fund; financial market; resolution power; steering committee; bridge bank tool; payout capability; government guarantee; State secretary; financial support; pertinent divisions meet; FINMA CEO; deposit insurance; Bank resolution framework; Bank resolution; Lender of last resort; Crisis management framework; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Switzerland: Financial System Stability Assessment
International Monetary Fund. Monetary and Capital Markets Department
Swiss financial institutions are well capitalized and could withstand the severe shocks under the adverse stress test scenarios, but macrofinancial vulnerabilities are deepening. Important reforms have been made since the 2014 FSAP, but several critical recommendations and emerging challenges have yet to be fully addressed. Capital buffers have increased across all categories of banks, and while the two global systemically important banks have downsized and deleveraged significantly since the global financial crisis, since 2013 they have been growing again. Macroprudential measures have not been taken since 2014 and is constrained by having only one mandated tool and a self-regulation agreement with banks. The financial supervisor (FINMA) has developed into a trusted supervisor, but as a small entity, it relies heavily on external auditors to conduct on-site supervision; the associated conflict of interest and supervisory objectivity risks need to be carefully managed. The combination of an ex-post funding mechanism, a low cap on banks’ contributions, and a private deposit insurance agency run by active bankers, weakens the crisis management arrangements.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; interest rate; banking sector; financial system; return on equity; market share; resolution regime; cantonal bank; staffing resource; risk profile; investment funds; Insurance companies; Stress testing; Mortgages; Commercial banks; Bank resolution framework; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
Covered Interest Parity Deviations: Macrofinancial Determinants
Mr. Eugenio M Cerutti
,
Mr. Maurice Obstfeld
, and
Haonan Zhou
For about three decades until the Global Financial Crisis (GFC), Covered Interest Parity (CIP) appeared to hold quite closely—even as a broad macroeconomic relationship applying to daily or weekly data. Not only have CIP deviations significantly increased since the GFC, but potential macrofinancial drivers of the variation in CIP deviations have also become significant. The variation in CIP deviations seems to be associated with multiple factors, not only regulatory changes. Most of these do not display a uniform importance across currency pairs and time, and some are associated with possible temporary considerations (such as asynchronous monetary policy cycles).
Keywords:
WP; U.S. dollar; cross-currency basis; cross-currency dollar basis; basis calculation; Covered Interest Parity; Interest Rate Differentials; Forward FX Market; dollar strength; investment option; time-series regression; dollar appreciation; Interest rate parity; Currencies; Global financial crisis of 2008-2009; Interbank rates; Money markets; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
Can Good Governance Lower Financial Intermediation Costs?
Mariusz Jarmuzek
and
Mr. Tonny Lybek
This paper argues that better governance practices can reduce the costs, risks and uncertainty of financial intermediation. Our sample covers high-, middle- and low-income countries before and after the global financial crisis (GFC). We find that net interest margins of banks are lower if various governance indicators are better. More cross-border lending also appears conducive to lower intermediation costs, while the level of capital market development is not significant. The GFC seems not to have had a strong impact except via credit risk. Finally, we estimate the size of potential gains from improved governance.
Keywords:
WP; intermediation cost; bank-dealership model; bank characteristic; banks capital; transaction size; financial intermediation costs; governance; corruption; bank-dealership framework; Credit risk; Global financial crisis of 2008-2009; Capital markets; Competition; Inflation; Global
Cover IMF Working Papers
Friend or Foe? Cross-Border Linkages, Contagious Banking Crises, and “Coordinated” Macroprudential Policies
Mr. Seung M Choi
,
Ms. Laura E. Kodres
, and
Jing Lu
This paper examines whether the coordinated use of macroprudential policies can help lessen the incidence of banking crises. It is well-known that rapid domestic credit growth and house price growth positively influence the chances of a banking crisis. As well, a crisis in other countries with high trade and financial linkages raises the crisis probability. However, whether such “contagion effects” can operate to reduce crisis probabilities when highly linked countries execute macroprudential policies together has not been fully explored. A dataset documenting countries’ use of macroprudential tools suggests that a “coordinated” implementation of macroprudential policies across highly-linked countries can help to stem the risks of widespread banking crises, although this positive effect may take some time to materialize.
Keywords:
WP; break; banking crisis; center; house price growth; Trade Linkages; Financial Linkages; Financial Crisis; Macroprudential Policies; trade partner; credit growth; loan recipient; crisis probability; Housing prices; Banking crises; Credit; Macroprudential policy; Macroprudential policy instruments; Global
Cover Policy Papers
New Common Evaluation Framework for IMF Capacity Development
International Monetary Fund
new common evaluation framework for the Fund’s capacity development (CD) activities. The new common evaluation framework is intended to streamline current practices and increase comparability and use of results by adopting for all CD evaluations a common four-step process that includes use of the OECD Development Assistance Committee (DAC) evaluation criteria. Around this common approach, there is flexibility to adapt evaluations to reflect the wide range of CD activities. Key elements of the framework are grouped around the objectives of: producing shorter, more focused, and more comparable evaluations; improving the information supporting evaluations;spending the same level of resources on evaluations while allocating these scarce resources more efficiently; and using the information from evaluations to alter practices or shift the targeting of CD resources.
Keywords:
PP; evaluation framework; evaluation work plan; Fund training evaluation; a bit of TA evaluation; course test; self-assessment evaluation; DAC evaluation criteria; TA project; evaluation summary; evaluation resource; Data collection; Development strategy; Public expenditure review; External balance assessment (EBA); Early warning systems
Cover IMF Working Papers
Whose Credit Line is it Anyway: An Update on Banks' Implicit Subsidies
Tryggvi Gudmundsson
The post-crisis financial sector framework reform remains incomplete. While capital and liquidity requirements have been strengthened, doubts remain over other aspects, including the fact that expectations of government support for systemically-important banks (SIBs) remain intact. In this paper, we use a jump diffusion option-pricing approach to provide estimates of implicit subsidies gained by these banks due to the expectation of protection to creditors provided by governments. While these subsidies have declined in the post-crisis era as volatility has declined and capital levels have increased, they remain non-trivial. Even conservative parameterizations of default and loss probabilities lead to macroeconomically significant figures.
Keywords:
WP; fair value; Implicit subsidies; systemically-important banks; capital regulation; bank assets; asset price assumption; asset volatility; recovery rate; bank's assets; market value of assets; value destruction; Asset prices; Stocks; Asset valuation; Global systemically important banks; Global