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Europe > Switzerland

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Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Switzerland: Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
This Selected Issue Paper studies the relationship between monetary policy, financial conditions, and real activity during the current monetary policy-tightening episode in Switzerland. After a review of various channels through which monetary policy changes affect financial conditions, the paper shows that the transmission of policy rates to market rates has been swift and that the exchange rate is an important channel. The response of real activity to tightening financial conditions has remained broadly in line with past tightening episodes. The interest rate increase has influenced cash flows for households due to higher mortgage interest expenses. Higher interest rates also lead to higher rental cost for non-homeowners. Policy rate adjustments affect the average interest rates of mortgages and thus the mortgage reference interest rate, which is a factor for rent adjustments by Swiss regulation. Monetary tightening has contributed to a slowdown of private credit and house-price growth. Growth of mortgage loans, which represent 85 percent of bank lending, moderated to 2.4 percent in 2023 from 3.5 percent in 2022.
Keywords:
mortgage price; market valuation; real estate price development; monetary policy transmission; B. Beveridge Curve dynamics; Real estate prices; Mortgages; Labor markets; Inflation; Central bank policy rate; Global; Europe
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Switzerland: 2024 Article IV Consultation-Press Release; Staff Report; Informational Annex; and Statement by the Executive Director for Switzerland
International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
The 2024 Article IV Consultation discusses that growth is recovering gradually after slowing in 2023 in Switzerland. In order to counter risks of inflation moving to and settling at very low rates, the rate cut ahead of other central banks was appropriate. Going forward, monetary policy should remain responsive to incoming data, while taking into account international monetary policy developments. Banks have strong buffers, but vulnerabilities related to real estate persist. Ample capital buffers should be maintained, the macroprudential toolkit expanded, supply-side actions to stem pressure on the residential housing market advanced and data gaps closed. The authorities should continue to promote labor market and pension reforms to incentivize labor force participation of women, older workers, and immigrants and address labor shortages, skills gaps, and potential fiscal imbalances. The revised CO2 Act clarifies the policy framework for 2025–2030 but is less ambitious than initially proposed and might require acquiring more emissions-reduction credits from internationally. Advancing negotiations with the EU and enhancing cooperation with other key partners would mitigate uncertainty and strengthen resilience against geo-economic fragmentation risks.
Keywords:
SNB data portal; banking stress test model; climate policy framework; financial system stability assessment update; IMF of exchange restriction; policy stance; Inflation; Labor markets; Anti-money laundering and combating the financing of terrorism (AML/CFT); Financial sector stability; Global
Cover Finance & Development
Finance & Development, March 2024: Economics - How Should It Change?
International Monetary Fund. Communications Department
This issue of F&D takes a fresh look at the discipline of economics. We invited prominent economists with different perspectives to tell us how the profession can become better at answering 21st century challenges.
Keywords:
Economics teaching; world happiness report; IMF staff calculation; labor economist; accessibility Economist; Labor markets; Stock markets; Climate change; Climate finance; Global; Africa; Europe; Central Asia
Cover IMF Working Papers
The Leisure Gains from International Trade
Agustin Velasquez
The average number of hours worked has been declining in many countries. This can be explained if workers have preferences with income effects outweighing substitution effects. Then, an optimal response to rising income is to reduce labor supply to enjoy more leisure. In this paper, I develop a novel structural link between trade and aggregate labor supply. Using a multi-country Ricardian trade model, I show that reducing trade barriers leads to fewer hours worked while being compatible with an increase in welfare. In addition, I derive an hours-to-trade elasticity and estimate it by exploiting exogenous income variation generated by aggregate trade. On average, I quantify that the rise in trade openness between 1950 and 2014 explains 7 percent of the total decline in hours per worker in high-income countries.
Keywords:
Hours worked; leisure; labor supply; Marshallian elasticity; uncompensated elasticity; international trade; Ricardian trade model; trade share; trade openness; hours-to-trade elasticity; Income; Real wages; Employment rate; Consumption; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Kingdom of the Netherlands—the Netherlands: Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
Selected Issues
Keywords:
labor market slack; teaching staff; policy implication; support program; C. employment support scheme coverage; B. labor market development; efficiency frontier; education outcome; Employment; Education spending; Labor markets; COVID-19; Europe; North America; Caribbean; Global; Africa; Asia and Pacific
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Kingdom of the Netherlands-Netherlands: Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund. European Dept.
This Selected Issues paper focuses on a steady increase in current account surpluses in ”Surplus 3” countries—Germany, the Netherlands, and Switzerland—since the mid-1990s. In Germany and the Netherlands, nonfinancial corporations seem to be behind the rising surpluses. In these countries, increasing corporate profits have not been converted into dividends, keeping a lid on consumption. In Switzerland, household savings seem to explain the bulk of the current account surplus: both mandatory and voluntary savings have been on an increasing trend since 2000. Trending net contributions to pension funds since 2000 and rising equity contribution for housing purchases are likely drivers.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; current account surplus; NICs; surplus; income; elasticity assumption; income effect; inflation expectation; elasticity case; labor tax wedge; lending-borrowing balance; substitution effect; government savings-investment balance; current account dynamics; savings-investment surplus; Current account surpluses; Labor supply; Current account; Real effective exchange rates; Trade balance; Global; Europe
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Austria: 2012 Article IV Consultation: Staff Report; Informational Annex; Statement by the Staff Representative; Public Information Notice on the Executive Board Discussion; and Statement by the Executive Director for Austria
International Monetary Fund
Austria has relatively strong macroeconomic fundamentals, but also deep ties with the rest of the euro area. The legacy of an overly ambitious eastward financial sector expansion has created substantial challenges to its policymakers. Policies have been designed to preserve market confidence, increase resilience against future adverse external spillovers, and boost potential growth. The Austrian supervisory authorities have also introduced a set of macroprudential guidelines to strengthen the resilience of the banking sector. However, improvements in the fiscal governance framework have not advanced as expected.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; flash estimate; deceleration; flash release; growth; GDP series; staff appraisal; consultation discussion; Loans; Fiscal rules; Social security contributions; Global; Eastern Europe; Central and Eastern Europe; Asia and Pacific; Middle East; Western Hemisphere
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Euro Area Policies: Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund
To reduce the negative effects of a bank-lending crunch on economic activity, adequate credit provision should be ensured. Further bank recapitalization, restructuring and consolidation of the banking sector, and regulatory reform decisions will reduce uncertainty. A long-lasting configuration of the euro-area’s fiscal architecture can be achieved by tightly coordinated reforms of national fiscal frameworks. Substantial benefits will emanate from deepening further structural reforms. Financial sector reform in the EU is proceeding at a rapid pace, and poses challenges and opportunities for the EU.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; bank loan; bank; lending; GDP; european financial stability facility; member state; regime; single banking market; bank resolution regime; government solvency; bank lending crunch; reform labor market policy; Bank credit; Labor markets; Labor market reforms; Systemic risk; Europe; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Switzerland: 2005 Article IV Consultation-Staff Report; Public Information Notice on the Executive Board Discussion; and Statement by the Executive Director for Switzerland
International Monetary Fund
This 2005 Article IV Consultation highlights that the Swiss economy has returned to growth with supportive external demand and domestic policies. However, the recovery has been fragile, and business indicators suggest that activity is currently experiencing a soft patch. The IMF staff projects growth of 1¼ percent in 2005, from 1.7 percent in 2004, with some risks on the downside if demand from partner countries were to falter. Potential growth is estimated at 1½ percent and is projected to decline in the medium term to ¾ percent as a result of population aging.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; authority; deficit; government; rate; General government balance; labor market; IMF staff projection; development expenditure; expenditure side; federal government; Income; Labor markets; Global
Cover IMF Staff Country Reports
Germany: Selected Issues
International Monetary Fund
This Selected Issues paper on Germany reviews investment trends and business capital stock in Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) countries. Sharp wage increases are found to boost capital formation in the short term as employers substitute capital for labor at a rate that adjusts to the higher relative price for labor. To limit the political economy biases to fiscal policy, the paper explores options to strengthen budgetary institutions, notably more transparency; stronger budgetary rules; and more room for Länder governments to mobilize revenue and tailor spending to local circumstances.
Keywords:
ISCR; CR; growth rate; government; payroll burden; social security contribution rate; inflation differential; capital accumulation; equilibrium exchange rate; payroll cost; Unemployment; Labor force participation; Wages; Employment; Europe